GM, PLEASE FILE FOR REORGANIZATION AND STOP BURNING THROUGH OUR MONEY, PLEASE! NOTE TO GOVERNMENT, BUY SOME OTHER STOCK INSTEAD, NOT GM STOCK FOR ME!

Posted in Auto Industry, Government, Taxes with tags , , , , , , , , , on May 7, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

GM HQ DetroitGENERAL MOTORS is burning through OUR money, it announced today. Nice going GM, it burned through $10 BILLION or so, out of the $15 BILLION it received.

Now over the years I have done my part in helping GM by buying their cars, practically resisting buying “foreign” cars, even those made in the USA by the “foreign” companies employing thousands of Americans right here in the good ole USA. I wanted to help American companies.

Let’s see if I can remember my list of GM cars over the years ( I have also bought my share of other American cars too, including Fords, Lincolns, Chryslers, Mercurys and Dodge): 6 Cadillacs of every type (one of them a stretch limo bought from the dealer who used it as a model car with 100 miles on it even though it was 3 years old at the time), 5 Pontiacs, 1 Chevy G20 Conversion Van with custom captain chairs ( when those were the rage) and even 1 Chevy Vega purchased for my mom (remember those cars?). There may have been another one somewhere but I just can’t remember it.

So I have done my part, what else could I do personally for GM.

I stopped buying GM cars after the local dealership shafted me on servicing my Van, and I never went back for any GM automobile. Writing a complaint letter to the factory, I received no reply, so I was finished with GM. I thought that after all that money I spent, it would be nice if they sent me a $10 off coupon for an oil change for instance, but no, GM could care less that I bought no less than 13 cars from them; I deserved nothing for that loyalty.

So I became loyal no more.

Could this be the story of other GM customers? Probably not, I’m sure that nobody else ever had my similar experience with GM, that’s why they are now so popular, NOT!

Now GM is getting the shaft from the government, from its customers and from the stock market, that it deserves. Like every business, it has management to blame, and nobody else, and it needs to sink or swim within the marketplace, not being propped up by my TAX money.

So why is it that I/WE have to bail out this company, with our TAX money? Why?

There are over 1,500 different car models to choose, most of which are not being made with my tax money.

PLEASE GM, STOP BURNING THOUGH MY MONEY AND FILE FOR THE REORGANIZATION so that the pain of paying $75/hour for your employee costs is not MY PROBLEM!

ALSO, PLEASE DO NOT LET THE GOVERNMENT START MAKING GM CARS (GOVERNMENT MOTORS)..PLEASE SAVE US.

General Motors Corp said it burned through $10.2 billion in the first quarter as it failed to cut costs fast enough to offset a sharp decline in global sales and was kept afloat by a federal bailout.

Revenue dropped by almost half to $22.4 billion as the company cut production by about 900,000 vehicles and tried to run down costly inventories on dealer lots in the United States and Europe.

Chief Financial Officer Ray Young said there was evidence consumers were scared away from GM cars and trucks because of concern the automaker was headed for bankruptcy.

“You could not offset the revenue implosion that we experienced here,” Young told reporters following release of the quarterly results on Thursday.

He said GM still hoped to complete a debt restructuring out of court but was ready for bankruptcy if that proved necessary. He said GM was pressing ahead with contingency plans for a quick bankruptcy process, drawing on the experience of Chrysler LLC, which filed for bankruptcy last week.

“We are very very cognizant of this issue of revenue perishability and how consumers react to the threat of bankruptcy,” Young said.

“So that’s from our perspective the importance of avoiding bankruptcy at all costs. But if we have to go through a bankruptcy, the importance of doing it quickly — get in and out very very quickly — in order to alleviate the concerns of consumers,” he said.

Young said GM would make a decision at the end of this month on whether an offer to extinguish $24 billion in bond debt in exchange for new shares had garnered enough support for the company to avoid a bankruptcy filing.

GM lost market share in the quarter as its global sales fell 28 percent, compared with an industry wide decline of 21 percent.

DEADLINE LOOMS

GM posted a first-quarter net loss of $6 billion, compared with a loss of $3.3 billion a year earlier.

Excluding $73 million of one-time net charges, it lost $9.66 per share. That was within the wide range of analysts’ expectations.

GM is facing a government-imposed June 1 deadline to reach agreements to overhaul its operations and cut more than $40 billion in debt. To date, the company has taken $15.4 billion in emergency loans from the U.S. Treasury.

The first quarter was also marked by GM’s failure to win federal backing for a turnaround plan that the U.S. autos task force concluded was too slow-moving to succeed.

The Obama administration ousted Rick Wagoner as GM chief executive at the end of the quarter.

Creditors have been looking beyond GM’s results, focusing instead on whether it succeeds in winning debt concessions from its bondholders and the United Auto Workers union.

The automaker said on Thursday that it had not yet reached the deal it needs with the UAW.

It also said the Treasury had not yet agreed to convert half of the loans it has extended to GM into stock in a restructured company, as the automaker has proposed.

Young said GM was back in talks with union representatives this week and was ready to negotiate around the clock to reach a settlement.

The UAW faces pressure to accept GM stock in exchange for about $10 billion the union is owed for a trust fund for retiree health care. That would give the union a 39 percent stake in the restructured company. That’s nice, they get to own the company stock now as probably its biggest stockholder. What will those wage negotiation be like now?

Under the restructuring plan GM detailed last month, the government would own a majority stake, effectively nationalizing the 100-year-old Detroit-based automaker.

Hello, big brother, I do not want to buy GM stock, why are you buying it for me, NO, NO!

GM shares rose to $1.72 in pre-market trading, up from a close at $1.66 on Wednesday.

How much is the government buying MY stock for?

Please buy some Microsoft, or Apple or maybe Toyota instead?

SHAFTING THE SECURED CREDITORS – NEW GOVERNMENT STRATEGY WORTHY OF BIG AL

Posted in Uncategorized with tags , , , , , , , on May 7, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Obama ToastingYou can call the plan to merge Chrysler and Fiat good for the economy. You can think it creative.

You can say it’s the start of “a vibrant new company,” as Chrysler LLC Chairman Robert Nardelli did last week.

But there’s one word that you can’t call the Chrysler bankruptcy package: legal.

The plan would overturn basic rules of bankruptcy by setting up a sort-of sale to sidestep pesky legal requirements. It would bulldoze well-established rights of secured creditors, property rights the U.S. Constitution guarantees.

So if U.S. Bankruptcy Judge Arthur Gonzalez follows the law, the Chrysler rescue plan dies. If he blinks and approves it, secured creditors everywhere should feel a shiver of unease, and quick sales of insolvent companies to avoid court scrutiny would multiply.

The other option is a settlement, and that might well be where this is headed.

I hate to say it, but the dissident Chrysler lenders are right, the ones President Barack Obama described as greedy hedge funds selfishly blocking Chrysler’s survival.

The president’s fist-waving looks a lot like the posturing lawyers use to scare an adversary into surrender, never mind the law. In fact, several are giving up the cause.

At the heart of the plan, and at the heart of the plan’s problem, is the idea that Chrysler would sell itself quickly rather than go through months or years of court-supervised al caponereorganization, within 60 Days.

Called a 363 sale for the relevant section of the bankruptcy code, it can close within 60 days and unload all or part of the company. The sale to Barclays of a piece of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. took about a day.

A 363 sale is perfectly legal when a sound business reason demands it and when it isn’t reorganization in disguise.

But if it’s aimed at resolving creditors’ claims, that is what reorganization is for. Bankruptcy reorganization promises secured creditors at least the same payout they would get if the company liquidated, and Chrysler’s proposed sale looks like a way around that.

Figuring what creditors have coming to them requires lots of paperwork and hearings. That’s why it takes so long.

Drawn-Out Bankruptcy

And that is what Chrysler is trying to avoid. In fact, it must avoid a long, drawn-out bankruptcy if it is to survive.

But with a 363 sale, there is no chance to figure the value of Chrysler’s assets if sold piecemeal, much less what each creditor should get.

The secured creditors who are complaining about this helped save Chrysler the last time it almost went under, in 2007 after the marriage to Daimler AG soured. How much of a haircut should they be forced to take?

The dissidents say the sale is nothing more than what bankruptcy law calls a sub rosa reorganization, a secret reordering dressed up to look like a sale, which the law forbids.

Plus, would it even be a true sale?

In public statements Chrysler says a United Auto Workers health benefits trust would get 55 percent of the shares of New Chrysler and a $4.6 billion note to satisfy some of the group’s unsecured claims against the company.

Paying nothing but offering its fuel-efficiency expertise, Fiat SpA would own 20 percent initially and could increase its stake by another 15 percent. The U.S. and Canadian governments, which are providing billions in interim financing, would own the rest.

Phony Sale

Chrysler is essentially selling itself to itself, says Lynn LoPucki, a law professor at the University of California, Los Angeles. He teaches secured transactions and maintains a database of major bankruptcies.

So, if the “sale” isn’t a true sale, and if it dictates payout to secured creditors, isn’t that a sub rosa reorganization?

If it favors junior creditors over senior creditors, doesn’t it violate the very basics of bankruptcy law? Senior creditors can volunteer to give up some of what’s due them but they can’t be forced to by a bankruptcy court.

“Those are property rights, and they are protected by the Constitution,” says Daniel Glosband, a partner in Boston’s Goodwin Procter. “You can’t just take them away.”

And yet, it could happen.

‘Enormous Momentum’

“There’s an enormous momentum in favor of the government plan,” says Jay Westbrook, who teaches bankruptcy law at the University of Texas.

It’s naïve to assume bankruptcy judges feel compelled to follow the law, says LoPucki.

He argues that bankruptcy courts across the country compete for the big cases by giving lawyers for major companies what they want.

“According to the law, this plan should not be approved,” LoPucki says.

Yet he predicts Gonzalez will do it anyway to persuade other companies (General Motors Corp. comes to mind) to pick Manhattan’s bankruptcy court over, say Detroit’s.

Already the Chrysler case is one for the books. You have the federal government sending a company into bankruptcy court, financing its reorganization, deciding who will get what, setting a strict timetable and urging a judge to blink at the law.

If the argument that Chrysler’s welfare is so critical to the national interest that longstanding laws can be ignored, what’s next?

Some future president will find a way to justify blatantly illegal conduct. Such as torture.

Ann Woolner is a columnist. The opinions expressed are her own.

Chrysler LLC wants to eliminate 789 of its U.S. 3,200 dealerships, saying in a bankruptcy court filing Thursday that the network is antiquated and has too many stores competing with each other.

The company, in a motion filed with the U.S. Bankruptcy Court in New York, said many of the dealers’ sales are too low. Just over 50 percent of the dealers account for about 90 percent of the company’s U.S. sales, the motion said.

The move, which the dealers can appeal, is likely to cause devastating affects in cities and towns across the country as thousands of jobs are lost and taxes are not paid.

Chrysler spokeswoman Kathy Graham would not comment other than to say the company will notify dealers before speaking publicly.

Chrysler dealerships aren’t the only ones scheduled to get bad news this week. General Motors Corp. says it is notifying 1,100 dealers that it will not renew their franchise agreements when they expire at the end of September of 2010.

In its motion, Chrysler said it has many dealerships that sell one or two of its brands, with Chrysler-Jeep dealerships competing against Dodge dealers as well as other automakers’ stores across the country.

“In addition, as suburbs grew and the modern interstate system continued to evolve, longstanding dealerships no longer were in the best or growing locations,” the company said in its filing. “Many rural locations also served a diminishing population of potential consumers. Some dealership facilities became outdated. Other locations faced declining traffic count and declining populations.”

Chrysler has received $4 billion in federal loans and has been operating in bankruptcy protection since April 30. Its sales this year are down 46 percent compared with the first four months of last year and it reported a $16.8 billion net loss for 2008.

HOW MUCH CAN YOU FINANCE ON A $1 HOME FORECLOSURE AND ACTUALLY MAKE IT LIVABLE?

Posted in Uncategorized with tags , , , , , , , , , on May 6, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Abandoned House DetroitThere are so many rescue and bailout plans for foreclosed homeowners, but the foreclosed homes, when the foreclosure does go though to its ultimate end, resulting in a sheriff’s sale, often (38% of the time) is too damaged to qualify for mortgage financing of any type for a new buyer who will needs funds to fix it first.

When this occurs, the property simply sits, vacant, abandoned and an eye sore, often vandalized for its copper plumbing, cabinetry or any other fixtures that can be stolen and resold.

So in effect, about 1,216,000 homes will sit as abandoned eye sores.

So much for the usual government help.

The issue is how much of the financing for such a home can include some added funds to fix the home, making it salable and habitable?

The government programs do not provide for that, and in fact they would discourage any such project financing, since the standard method of obtaining financing is by having the Abandoned Homehome APPRAISED as to its lendable value.

What do you tink will be the value of a stripped and damaged home to be submitted by the appraiser for financing? How about literally nothing, or a token $1.

How much home financing can one get on an appraisal of $1????

Do you see the point now? We need a different level of appraisals to clear out the glut of abandoned homes which can be fixed up and purchased for a reasonable amount.

Is there nobody out there to figure this out?

CHRYSLER AND FIAT-DYNAMIC DUO TO FORGET, AND WHAT ABOUT THE SHAFTED PARTS SUPPLIER NETWORK?

Posted in Government with tags , , , , , , , , , , , on May 6, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Chrysler DealerThe deal so pushed by the government as the end all be all, a Chrysler-Fiat venture, is bound to be a DUD, with a capital D.

Did anyone notice that FIAT, aka FLAT, made cars that nobody wanted to buy in America. That is why that brand is not sold here-FIAT made funny cars in which it was hard to figure out which end was the front and which was the back, and it had a bad reputation of always having something not working just right.

I personally never owned an Italian FIAT, but I owned an Italian airplane, the fabulous Waco Vela, which always needed some part. The last part it needed was mandated by the FAA, otherwise it was not allowed to fly, a landing gear part that could pulverize on landing.

I placed the order with the Italian factory, and after about a year I received it; enough said.

Remember those little cars more suited for European drivers used to driving with their knees in their chin? Oh, and do you remember the rust that would engulf the cars after just a few years.

I am not talking about exotics, just the ones that regular people might buy.

For the same amount as the government is now spending to keep this dead DUD alive, it could have built a new robotic factory in Tennesee or Alabama, or Texas, and have billions left Fiatto spare, however, that may not include a union pension plan, or outrageous wages as well, so it was dead on arrival.

Now that the wise men ( aka WISEGUYS) from the government are running Chrysler, the first order of business after getting billions in cash, was to SHUT DOWN ALL THE PLANTS THROUGHOUT THE COUNTRY FOR AN INDEFINITE PERIOD OF TIME.

That move is so stupid, it can not be adequately described with a sufficient number of *@%&!!! symbols. All the assembly plants will close, and they will start up again….whenever the company exits its Chapter 11 process.

Did someone forget that Chrysler does not actually really make cars, it just assembles them from the parts and pieces that are sent to its “assembly plants” by all kind of little and big REAL manufacturers.

What are these REAL manufacturers to do while Chrysler goes into a type of financial hibernation? Will these often crucial suppliers just wake up too when it comes back to life?

Don’t count on it.

Fiat BodyIn the real world of manufacturing, these other independent businesses need to have a steady stream of revenues to in turn pay their employees, and to STAY IN BUSINESS.

What if when Chrysler says to them “I’m back start shipping me those door handles and oil dipsticks and ashtray covers”, nobody answers the phone because these manufacturers are out of business. This may have been a little detail all the new guys running the business may have forgotten, Chrysler really does not REALLY build any cars, the suppliers do, and they can not all just hibernate too, and spring to life when needed.

In a free market this deal would never happen on the announced terms, it would happen as it should though a real reorganization, and Chrysler may have been able to emerge as a competitive business.

Don’t buy the stock too soon, until you see what this car line will look like.

START YOUR OWN CHINA-EUROPE SHIPPING BUSINESS; $300 SHIPPING FEES NOW FROM CHINA TO EUROPE!

Posted in Global Economy with tags , , , , , , , on May 6, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Container ShipThere are advantages to the recession, and the overcapacity that now exists in the container shipping business from China to Europe, as well as the between China and the USA.

This is a great time to start to specialize in shipping, as the rates for shipping a 20 foot container from China to Europe has gotten to be as low as $300 (plus various fuel and transit fees), which compares to $3,000 a year ago.

The rates for the USA have alsoContainer Ship dropped about 80%-90%, so this is great time for developing the import business.

Another reason for the drop in shipping fees is that the MEGA ships which carry the containers can now accommodate up to 13,800 containers on one ship. Several shipping lines have on order ships which can carry 22,000 containers!

Shipping brokers estimate that rates will remain for low for at least the next 2-3 years due to this tremendous capacity, and the slow down in shipping.

IS IT REALLY GOOD NEWS, OR JUST WISHFUL THINKING; BEN BERNANKE AND HIS CRYSTAL BALL

Posted in Federal Reserve, Government with tags , , , , , , , , , on May 6, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Ben BernankeThe Fed Chairman, Ben Bernanke looked into his crystal ball again and predicted that the US will miraculously start to change its downward spiraling economy by the end of 2009.

That miracle prediction must have come to him in a dream perhaps, sort of like the TV show, MEDIUM, where he dreams an event and it come true. And now another prediction from the one, the only, Ben Bernanke. Let’s all just sit quietly while the GREAT BEN sees directly into the future while laying on his couch.

Oh, it is now becoming clearer, Ben is now about to predict an occurrence that has never happened before in the history of the world….but it is so, Ben said so, and he smiled too!

It must happen, it will happen; all will be just great by the end of 2009!Crystal Ball

Now that we heard the dream, let’s analyze the reality, by studying the results of polls of purchasing agents, retail sellers, hiring officers and of course the SAGE OF OMAHA, Warren Buffet, a former adviser to the administration.

These front time people do not agree with the FED Chairman as they see a continuation of sluggish sales, sluggish hiring and sluggish inventory and raw material purchasing.

So how can these predictions be so different, after looking at the same data?

The answer is the new economic model called “WISHFUL THINKING.”

Simply put, just keep saying it and it will happen-it is that simple.

So, just keep saying: “I will hire more people, even though I do not need any more; I will buy more supplies and inventories, even though the bank has not given me more credit to so so with; I will buy a new house even though I do not have the down payment, etc.

What, you say, those are contradictory terms?

Now you understand, how opinions are just that, opinions. But coming from the FED Chairman, one would hope that there was more than just an opinion, but something based on real facts.

TARP FUNDS CREATING A HOUSE OF CARDS FOR 555 FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS!

Posted in American Recovery And Reinvestment Act, Government, Tarp Funds with tags , , , , , , , , , , , on April 29, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Participants in Government Investment Plan

Most financial institutions have received capital infusions via the Treasury’s Capital Assistance Program, a bank-share purchase program intended to restore confidence in banks and get them to lend. This program is funded with $250 billion of the $700 billion Troubled Assets Relief Program authorized by Congress in October 2008 via the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act. Below, see a list of participating companies.

Company
Capital
Capital Repayment Announced
1st Constitution Bancorp

$12,000,000
3/31/2009
1st Enterprise Bank

$4,400,000
3/31/2009
1st FS Corporation

$16,369,000
3/31/2009
1st Source Corporation

$111,000,000
3/31/2009
1st United Bancorp, Inc.

$10,000,000
3/31/2009
AB&T Financial Corporation

$3,500,000
3/31/2009
Adbanc, Inc.

$12,720,000
3/31/2009
Alarion Financial Services, Inc.

$6,514,000
3/31/2009
Alaska Pacific Bancshares, Inc.

$4,781,000
3/31/2009
Alliance Financial Corporation

$26,918,000
3/31/2009
Alpine Banks of Colorado

$70,000,000
3/31/2009
AMB Financial Corp.

$3,674,000
3/31/2009
AmeriBank Holding Company

$2,492,000
3/31/2009
American Express Company

$3,388,890,000
3/31/2009
American State Bancshares, Inc.

$6,000,000
3/31/2009
Ameris Bancorp

$52,000,000
3/31/2009
AmeriServ Financial, Inc.

$21,000,000
3/31/2009
Anchor BanCorp Wisconsin Inc.

$110,000,000
3/31/2009
Annapolis Bancorp, Inc.

$8,152,000
3/31/2009
Associated Banc-Corp

$525,000,000
3/31/2009
Avenue Financial Holdings, Inc.

$7,400,000
3/31/2009
BancIndependent, Inc.

$21,100,000
3/31/2009
Bancorp Rhode Island, Inc.

$30,000,000
3/31/2009
BancPlus Corporation

$48,000,000
3/31/2009
BancStar, Inc.

$8,600,000
3/31/2009
BancTrust Financial Group, Inc.

$50,000,000
3/31/2009
Bank of America Corporation

$15,000,000,000
3/31/2009
Bank of America Corporation

$10,000,000,000
3/31/2009
Bank of Commerce

$3,000,000
3/31/2009
Bank of Commerce

$17,000,000
3/31/2009
Bank of George

$2,672,000
3/31/2009
Bank of MarinBancorp

$28,000,000
3/31/2009
Bank of New York Mellon Corporation

$3,000,000,000
3/31/2009
Bank of North Carolina

$31,260,000
3/31/2009
Bank of the Carolinas Corporation

$13,179,000
3/31/2009
Bank of the Ozarks, Inc.

$75,000,000
3/31/2009
Bankers’ Bank of the West Bancorp, Inc.

$12,639,000
3/31/2009
BankFirst Capital Corporation

$15,500,000
3/31/2009
BankGreenville

$1,000,000
3/31/2009
Banner Corporation

$124,000,000
3/31/2009
Banner County Ban Corporation

$795,000
3/31/2009
Bar Harbor Bankshares/Bar Harbor Bank &
Trust

$18,751,000
3/31/2009
BB&T Corp.

$3,133,640,000
3/31/2009
BCB Holding Company, Inc.

$1,706,000
3/31/2009
BCSB Bancorp, Inc.

$10,800,000
3/31/2009
Beach Business Bank

$6,000,000
3/31/2009
Berkshire Hills Bancorp, Inc.

$40,000,000
3/31/2009
Bern Bancshares, Inc.

$985,000
3/31/2009
Blackhawk Bancorp, Inc.

$10,000,000
3/31/2009
Blue Ridge Bancshares, Inc.

$12,000,000
3/31/2009
Blue River Bancshares, Inc.

$5,000,000
3/31/2009
Blue ValleyBan Corp.

$21,750,000
3/31/2009
BNB Financial Services Corporation

$7,500,000
3/31/2009
BNC Financial Group, Inc.

$4,797,000
3/31/2009
BNCCORP, Inc.

$20,093,000
3/31/2009
BOH Holdings, Inc.

$10,000,000
3/31/2009
Boston Private Financial Holdings, Inc.

$154,000,000
3/31/2009
Bridge Capital Holdings

$23,864,000
3/31/2009
Bridgeview Bancorp, Inc.

$38,000,000
3/31/2009
Broadway Financial Corporation

$9,000,000
3/31/2009
Butler Point, Inc.

$607,000
3/31/2009
C&F Financial Corporation

$20,000,000
3/31/2009
Cache Valley Banking Company

$4,767,000
3/31/2009
Cadence Financial Corporation

$44,000,000
3/31/2009
California Bank of Commerce

$4,000,000
3/31/2009
California Oaks State Bank

$3,300,000
3/31/2009
Calvert Financial Corporation

$1,037,000
3/31/2009
CalWest Bancorp

$4,656,000
3/31/2009
Capital Bancorp, Inc.

$4,700,000
3/31/2009
Capital Bank Corporation

$41,279,000
3/31/2009
Capital Commerce Bancorp, Inc.

$5,100,000
3/31/2009
Capital One Financial Corporation

$3,555,199,000
3/31/2009
Capital Pacific Bancorp

$4,000,000
3/31/2009
Carolina Bank Holdings, Inc.

$16,000,000
3/31/2009
Carolina Trust Bank

$4,000,000
3/31/2009
Carrollton Bancorp

$9,201,000
3/31/2009
Carver Bancorp, Inc.

$18,980,000
3/31/2009
Cascade Financial Corporation

$38,970,000
3/31/2009
Cathay General Bancorp

$258,000,000
3/31/2009
Catskill Hudson Bancorp, Inc.

$3,000,000
3/31/2009
CBB Bancorp

$2,644,000
3/31/2009
CBS Banc-Corp.

$24,300,000
3/31/2009
Cecil Bancorp, Inc.

$11,560,000
3/31/2009
CedarStone Bank

$3,564,000
3/31/2009
Center Bancorp, Inc.

$10,000,000
3/31/2009
Center Financial Corporation

$55,000,000
3/31/2009
Centerstate Banks of Florida Inc.

$27,875,000
3/31/2009
Centra Financial Holdings, Inc./Centra
Bank, Inc.

$15,000,000
3/31/2009
Central Bancorp, Inc.

$22,500,000
3/31/2009
Central Bancorp, Inc.

$10,000,000
3/31/2009
Central Bancshares, Inc.

$5,800,000
3/31/2009
Central Community Corporation

$22,000,000
3/31/2009
Central Federal Corporation

$7,225,000
3/31/2009
Central Jersey Bancorp

$11,300,000
3/31/2009
Central Pacific Financial Corp.

$135,000,000
3/31/2009
Central Valley Community Bancorp

$7,000,000
3/31/2009
Central Virginia Bankshares, Inc.

$11,385,000
3/31/2009
Centrix Bank & Trust

$7,500,000
3/31/2009
Centrue Financial Corporation

$32,668,000
3/31/2009
CIT Group Inc.

$2,330,000,000
3/31/2009
Citigroup Inc.

$25,000,000,000
3/31/2009
Citizens & Northern Corporation

$26,440,000
3/31/2009
Citizens Bancorp

$10,400,000
3/31/2009
Citizens Bancshares Corporation

$7,462,000
3/31/2009
Citizens Bank & Trust Company

$2,400,000
3/31/2009
Citizens Commerce Bancshares, Inc.

$6,300,000
3/31/2009
Citizens Community Bank

$3,000,000
3/31/2009
Citizens First Corporation

$8,779,000
3/31/2009
Citizens Republic Bancorp, Inc.

$300,000,000
3/31/2009
Citizens South Banking Corporation

$20,500,000
3/31/2009
City National Bancshares Corporation

$9,439,000
3/31/2009
City National Corporation

$400,000,000
3/31/2009
Clover Community Bankshares, Inc.

$3,000,000
3/31/2009
Coastal Banking Company, Inc.

$9,950,000
3/31/2009
CoBiz Financial Inc.

$64,450,000
3/31/2009
Codorus Valley Bancorp, Inc.

$16,500,000
3/31/2009
ColoEast Bankshares, Inc.

$10,000,000
3/31/2009
Colonial American Bank

$574,000
3/31/2009
Colony Bankcorp, Inc.

$28,000,000
3/31/2009
Columbia Banking System, Inc.

$76,898,000
3/31/2009
Columbine Capital Corp.

$2,260,000
3/31/2009
Comerica Inc.

$2,250,000,000
3/31/2009
Commerce National Bank

$5,000,000
3/31/2009
Commonwealth Business Bank

$7,701,000
3/31/2009
Community 1st Bank

$2,550,000
3/31/2009
Community Bancshares of Kansas, Inc.

$500,000
3/31/2009
Community Bank of the Bay

$1,747,000
3/31/2009
Community Bankers Trust Corporation

$17,680,000
3/31/2009
Community Business Bank

$3,976,000
3/31/2009
Community Financial Corporation

$12,643,000
3/31/2009
Community First Bancshares Inc.

$20,000,000
3/31/2009
Community First Bancshares, Inc.

$12,725,000
3/31/2009
Community First Inc.

$17,806,000
3/31/2009
Community Holding Company of Florida,
Inc.

$1,050,000
3/31/2009
Community Investors Bancorp, Inc.

$2,600,000
3/31/2009
Community Partners Bancorp

$9,000,000
3/31/2009
Community Trust Financial Corporation

$24,000,000
3/31/2009
Community West Bancshares

$15,600,000
3/31/2009
Congaree Bancshares, Inc.

$3,285,000
3/31/2009
Corning Savings and Loan Association

$638,000
3/31/2009
Country Bank Shares, Inc.

$7,525,000
3/31/2009
Crazy Woman Creek Bancorp, Inc.

$3,100,000
3/31/2009
Crescent Financial Corporation

$24,900,000
3/31/2009
Crosstown Holding Company

$10,650,000
3/31/2009
CSRA Bank Corp.

$2,400,000
3/31/2009
CVB Financial Corp.

$130,000,000
3/31/2009
D.L. Evans Bancorp

$19,891,000
3/31/2009
DeSoto County Bank

$1,173,000
3/31/2009
Dickinson Financial Corporation

$146,053,000
3/31/2009
Discover Financial Services

$1,224,558,000
3/31/2009
DNB Financial Corporation

$11,750,000
3/31/2009
Eagle Bancorp, Inc.

$38,235,000
3/31/2009
East West Bancorp

$306,546,000
3/31/2009
Eastern Virginia Bankshares, Inc.

$24,000,000
3/31/2009
ECB Bancorp, Inc./East Carolina Bank

$17,949,000
3/31/2009
Emclaire Financial Corp.

$7,500,000
3/31/2009
Encore Bancshares Inc.

$34,000,000
3/31/2009
Enterprise Financial Services Corp.

$35,000,000
3/31/2009
Equity Bancshares, Inc.

$8,750,000
3/31/2009
Exchange Bank

$43,000,000
3/31/2009
F & M Bancshares, Inc.

$4,609,000
3/31/2009
F & M Financial Corporation

$17,000,000
3/31/2009
F&M Financial Corporation

$17,243,000
3/31/2009
F.N.B. Corporation

$100,000,000
3/31/2009
Farmers & Merchants Bancshares, Inc.

$11,000,000
3/31/2009
Farmers & Merchants Financial
Corporation

$442,000
3/31/2009
Farmers Bank

$8,752,000
3/31/2009
Farmers Capital Bank Corporation

$30,000,000
3/31/2009
Farmers State Bankshares, Inc.

$700,000
3/31/2009
FCB Bancorp, Inc.

$9,294,000
3/31/2009
FFW Corporation

$7,289,000
3/31/2009
Fidelity Bancorp, Inc.

$7,000,000
3/31/2009
Fidelity Financial Corporation

$36,282,000
3/31/2009
Fidelity Southern Corporation

$48,200,000
3/31/2009
Fifth Third Bancorp

$3,408,000,000
3/31/2009
Financial Institutions, Inc.

$37,515,000
3/31/2009
Financial Security Corporation

$5,000,000
3/31/2009
First American International Corp.

$17,000,000
3/31/2009
First Bancorp

$65,000,000
3/31/2009
First Bancorp

$400,000,000
3/31/2009
First BancTrust Corporation

$7,350,000
3/31/2009
First Bank of Charleston, Inc.

$3,345,000
3/31/2009
First Bankers Trustshares, Inc.

$10,000,000
3/31/2009
First Banks, Inc.

$295,400,000
3/31/2009
First Busey Corporation

$100,000,000
3/31/2009
First Business Bank, N.A.

$2,211,000
3/31/2009
First California Financial Group, Inc.

$25,000,000
3/31/2009
First Capital Bancorp, Inc.

$10,958,000
3/31/2009
First Choice Bank

$2,200,000
3/31/2009
First Citizens Banc Corp.

$23,184,000
3/31/2009
First Colebrook Bancorp, Inc.

$4,500,000
3/31/2009
First Community Bank Corporation

$10,685,000
3/31/2009
First Community Bankshares Inc.

$41,500,000
3/31/2009
First Community Corporation

$11,350,000
3/31/2009
First Defiance Financial Corp.

$37,000,000
3/31/2009
First Express of Nebraska, Inc.

$5,000,000
3/31/2009
First Federal Bancshares of Arkansas,
Inc.

$16,500,000
3/31/2009
First Financial Bancorp

$80,000,000
3/31/2009
First Financial Holdings Inc.

$65,000,000
3/31/2009
First Financial Service Corporation

$20,000,000
3/31/2009
First Gothenburg Bancshares, Inc.

$7,570,000
3/31/2009
First Horizon National Corporation

$866,540,000
3/31/2009
First Intercontinental Bank

$6,398,000
3/31/2009
First Litchfield Financial Corporation

$10,000,000
3/31/2009
First M&F Corporation

$30,000,000
3/31/2009
First Manitowoc Bancorp, Inc.

$12,000,000
3/31/2009
First Market Bank, FSB

$33,900,000
3/31/2009
First Menasha Bancshares, Inc.

$4,797,000
3/31/2009
First Merchants Corporation

$116,000,000
3/31/2009
First Midwest Bancorp, Inc.

$193,000,000
3/31/2009
First National Corporation

$13,900,000
3/31/2009
First NBC Bank Holding Company

$17,836,000
3/31/2009
First Niagara Financial Group

$184,011,000
3/31/2009
First Northern Community Bancorp

$17,390,000
3/31/2009
First PacTrust Bancorp, Inc.

$19,300,000
3/31/2009
First Place Financial Corp.

$72,927,000
3/31/2009
First Priority Financial Corp.

$4,579,000
3/31/2009
First Reliance Bancshares, Inc.

$15,349,000
3/31/2009
First Resource Bank

$2,600,000
3/31/2009
First Security Group, Inc.

$33,000,000
3/31/2009
First Sound Bank

$7,400,000
3/31/2009
First Southern Bancorp, Inc.

$10,900,000
3/31/2009
First Southwest Bancorporation, Inc.

$5,500,000
3/31/2009
First State Bank of Mobeetie

$731,000
3/31/2009
First Texas BHC, Inc.

$13,533,000
3/31/2009
First ULB Corp.

$4,900,000
3/31/2009
First United Corporation

$30,000,000
3/31/2009
First Western Financial, Inc.

$8,559,000
3/31/2009
Firstbank Corporation

$33,000,000
3/31/2009
FirstMerit Corporation

$125,000,000
3/31/2009
Flagstar Bancorp, Inc.

$266,657,000
3/31/2009
Florida Business BancGroup, Inc.

$9,495,000
3/31/2009
Flushing Financial Corporation

$70,000,000
3/31/2009
FNB Bancorp

$12,000,000
3/31/2009
FNB United Corp.

$51,500,000
3/31/2009
Fortune Financial Corporation

$3,100,000
3/31/2009
FPB Bancorp, Inc.

$5,800,000
3/31/2009
FPB Financial Corp.

$3,240,000
3/31/2009
Fresno First Bank

$1,968,000
3/31/2009
Fulton Financial Corporation

$376,500,000
3/31/2009
Georgia Commerce Bancshares, Inc.

$8,700,000
3/31/2009
Germantown Capital Corporation, Inc.

$4,967,000
3/31/2009
Goldwater Bank, N.A.

$2,568,000
3/31/2009
GrandSouth BanCorporation

$9,000,000
3/31/2009
Great Southern Bancorp

$58,000,000
3/31/2009
Green Bankshares, Inc.

$72,278,000
3/31/2009
Green Circle Investments, Inc.

$2,400,000
3/31/2009
Green City Bancshares, Inc.

$651,000
3/31/2009
Greer Bancshares Incorporated

$9,993,000
3/31/2009
Gregg Bancshares, Inc.

$825,000
3/31/2009
Guaranty Bancorp, Inc.

$6,920,000
3/31/2009
Guaranty Federal Bancshares, Inc.

$17,000,000
3/31/2009
Hamilton State Bancshares

$7,000,000
3/31/2009
Hampton Roads Bankshares, Inc.

$80,347,000
3/31/2009
Haviland Bancshares, Inc.

$425,000
3/31/2009
Hawthorn Bancshares, Inc.

$30,255,000
3/31/2009
HCSB Financial Corporation

$12,895,000
3/31/2009
Heartland Financial USA, Inc.

$81,698,000
3/31/2009
Heritage Commerce Corp.

$40,000,000
3/31/2009
Heritage Financial Corporation

$24,000,000
3/31/2009
Heritage Oaks Bancorp

$21,000,000
3/31/2009
HF Financial Corp.

$25,000,000
3/31/2009
Highlands Independent Bancshares, Inc.

$6,700,000
3/31/2009
Hilltop Community Bancorp, Inc.

$4,000,000
3/31/2009
HMN Financial, Inc.

$26,000,000
3/31/2009
Home Bancshares, Inc.

$50,000,000
3/31/2009
Hometown Bancorp of Alabama, Inc.

$3,250,000
3/31/2009
Hometown Bancshares, Inc.

$1,900,000
3/31/2009
HopFed Bancorp

$18,400,000
3/31/2009
Horizon Bancorp

$25,000,000
3/31/2009
Howard Bancorp, Inc.

$5,983,000
3/31/2009
Huntington Bancshares

$1,398,071,000
3/31/2009
Hyperion Bank

$1,552,000
3/31/2009
Iberiabank Corporation

$90,000,000
3/31/2009
IBT Bancorp, Inc.

$2,295,000
3/31/2009
IBW Financial Corporation

$6,000,000
3/31/2009
ICB Financial

$6,000,000
3/31/2009
Idaho Bancorp

$6,900,000
3/31/2009
Independence Bank

$1,065,000
3/31/2009
Independent Bank Corp.

$78,158,000
3/31/2009
Independent Bank Corporation

$72,000,000
3/31/2009
Indiana Community Bancorp

$21,500,000
3/31/2009
Integra Bank Corporation

$83,586,000
3/31/2009
Intermountain Community Bancorp

$27,000,000
3/31/2009
International Bancshares Corporation

$216,000,000
3/31/2009
Intervest Bancshares Corporation

$25,000,000
3/31/2009
JPMorgan Chase & Co.

$25,000,000,000
3/31/2009
Katahdin Bankshares Corp.

$10,449,000
3/31/2009
KeyCorp

$2,500,000,000
3/31/2009
Kirksville Bancorp, Inc.

$470,000
3/31/2009
Lafayette Bancorp, Inc.

$1,998,000
3/31/2009
Lakeland Bancorp, Inc.

$59,000,000
3/31/2009
Lakeland Financial Corporation

$56,044,000
3/31/2009
LCNB Corp.

$13,400,000
3/31/2009
Leader Bancorp, Inc.

$5,830,000
3/31/2009
Legacy Bancorp, Inc.

$5,498,000
3/31/2009
Liberty Bancshares, Inc.

$57,500,000
3/31/2009
Liberty Bancshares, Inc.

$21,900,000
3/31/2009
Liberty Financial Services, Inc.

$5,645,000
3/31/2009
Liberty Shares, Inc.

$17,280,000
3/31/2009
LNB Bancorp Inc.

$25,223,000
3/31/2009
Lone Star Bank

$3,072,000
3/31/2009
LSB Corporation

$15,000,000
3/31/2009
M&T Bank Corporation

$600,000,000
3/31/2009
Madison Financial Corporation

$3,370,000
3/31/2009
Magna Bank

$13,795,000
3/31/2009
MainSource Financial Group, Inc.

$57,000,000
3/31/2009
Manhattan Bancorp

$1,700,000
3/31/2009
Marine Bank & Trust Company

$3,000,000
3/31/2009
Market Bancorporation, Inc.

$2,060,000
3/31/2009
Marquette National Corporation

$35,500,000
3/31/2009
Marshall & Ilsley Corporation

$1,715,000,000
3/31/2009
Maryland Financial Bank

$1,700,000
3/31/2009
MB Financial Inc.

$196,000,000
3/31/2009
Medallion Bank

$11,800,000
3/31/2009
Mercantile Capital Corp.

$3,500,000
3/31/2009
Merchants and Planters Bancshares, Inc.

$1,881,000
3/31/2009
Meridian Bank

$6,200,000
3/31/2009
Metro City Bank

$7,700,000
3/31/2009
MetroCorp Bancshares, Inc.

$45,000,000
3/31/2009
Metropolitan Capital Bancorp, Inc.

$2,040,000
3/31/2009
Mid Penn Bancorp, Inc.

$10,000,000
3/31/2009
Mid-Wisconsin Financial Services, Inc.

$10,000,000
3/31/2009
Middleburg Financial Corporation

$22,000,000
3/31/2009
Midland States Bancorp, Inc.

$10,189,000
3/31/2009
MidSouth Bancorp, Inc.

$20,000,000
3/31/2009
Midtown Bank & Trust Company

$5,222,000
3/31/2009
Midwest Banc Holdings, Inc.

$84,784,000
3/31/2009
Midwest Regional Bancorp, Inc.

$700,000
3/31/2009
MidWestOne Financial Group, Inc.

$16,000,000
3/31/2009
Millennium Bancorp, Inc.

$7,260,000
3/31/2009
Mission Community Bancorp

$5,116,000
3/31/2009
Mission Valley Bancorp

$5,500,000
3/31/2009
Monadnock Bancorp, Inc.

$1,834,000
3/31/2009
Monarch Community Bancorp, Inc.

$6,785,000
3/31/2009
Monarch Financial Holdings, Inc.

$14,700,000
3/31/2009
Moneytree Corporation

$9,516,000
3/31/2009
Monument Bank

$4,734,000
3/31/2009
Morgan Stanley

$10,000,000,000
3/31/2009
Morrill Bancshares, Inc.

$13,000,000
3/31/2009
Moscow Bancshares, Inc.

$6,216,000
3/31/2009
MS Financial, Inc.

$7,723,000
3/31/2009
MutualFirst Financial, Inc.

$32,382,000
3/31/2009
Naples Bancorp, Inc.

$4,000,000
3/31/2009
Nara Bancorp, Inc.

$67,000,000
3/31/2009
National Bancshares, Inc.

$24,664,000
3/31/2009
National Penn Bancshares, Inc.

$150,000,000
3/31/2009
NCAL Bancorp

$10,000,000
3/31/2009
New Hampshire Thrift Bancshares, Inc.

$10,000,000
3/31/2009
New York Private Bank & Trust
Corporation

$267,274,000
3/31/2009
NewBridge Bancorp

$52,372,000
3/31/2009
Nicolet Bankshares, Inc.

$14,964,000
3/31/2009
North Central Bancshares, Inc.

$10,200,000
3/31/2009
Northeast Bancorp

$4,227,000
3/31/2009
Northern States Financial Corporation

$17,211,000
3/31/2009
Northern Trust Corporation

$1,576,000,000
3/31/2009
Northway Financial, Inc.

$10,000,000
3/31/2009
Northwest Bancorporation, Inc.

$10,500,000
3/31/2009
Northwest Commercial Bank

$1,992,000
3/31/2009
Oak Ridge Financial Services, Inc.

$7,700,000
3/31/2009
Oak Valley Bancorp

$13,500,000
3/31/2009
OceanFirst Financial Corp.

$38,263,000
3/31/2009
Ojai Community Bank

$2,080,000
3/31/2009
Old Line Bancshares, Inc.

$7,000,000
3/31/2009
Old National Bancorp

$100,000,000
3/31/2009
Old Second Bancorp, Inc.

$73,000,000
3/31/2009
Omega Capital Corp.

$2,816,000
3/31/2009
OneUnited Bank

$12,063,000
3/31/2009
Pacific Capital Bancorp

$180,634,000
3/31/2009
Pacific City Financial Corporation

$16,200,000
3/31/2009
Pacific Coast Bankers’ Bancshares

$11,600,000
3/31/2009
Pacific Coast National Bancorp

$4,120,000
3/31/2009
Pacific Commerce Bank

$4,060,000
3/31/2009
Pacific International Bancorp

$6,500,000
3/31/2009
Park Bancorporation, Inc.

$23,200,000
3/31/2009
Park National Corporation

$100,000,000
3/31/2009
Parke Bancorp, Inc.

$16,288,000
3/31/2009
Parkvale Financial Corporation

$31,762,000
3/31/2009
Pascack Community Bank

$3,756,000
3/31/2009
Patapsco Bancorp, Inc.

$6,000,000
3/31/2009
Pathway Bancorp

$3,727,000
3/31/2009
Patriot Bancshares, Inc.

$26,038,000
3/31/2009
Patterson Bancshares, Inc.

$3,690,000
3/31/2009
Peapack-Gladstone Financial Corporation

$28,685,000
3/31/2009
Peninsula Bank Holding Co.

$6,000,000
3/31/2009
Penn Liberty Financial Corp.

$9,960,000
3/31/2009
Peoples Bancorp

$18,000,000
3/31/2009
Peoples Bancorp Inc.

$39,000,000
3/31/2009
Peoples Bancorp of North Carolina, Inc.

$25,054,000
3/31/2009
Peoples Bancshares of TN, Inc.

$3,900,000
3/31/2009
PeoplesSouth Bancshares, Inc.

$12,325,000
3/31/2009
PGB Holdings, Inc.

$3,000,000
3/31/2009
Pierce County Bancorp

$6,800,000
3/31/2009
Pinnacle Bank Holding Company, Inc.

$4,389,000
3/31/2009
Pinnacle Financial Partners, Inc.

$95,000,000
3/31/2009
Plains Capital Corporation

$87,631,000
3/31/2009
Plumas Bancorp

$11,949,000
3/31/2009
Popular, Inc.

$935,000,000
3/31/2009
Porter Bancorp Inc.

$35,000,000
3/31/2009
Prairie Star Bancshares, Inc.

$2,800,000
3/31/2009
Premier Bank Holding Company

$9,500,000
3/31/2009
Premier Service Bank

$4,000,000
3/31/2009
PremierWest Bancorp

$41,400,000
3/31/2009
Princeton National Bancorp, Inc.

$25,083,000
3/31/2009
Private Bancorporation, Inc.

$4,960,000
3/31/2009
PrivateBancorp, Inc.

$243,815,000
3/31/2009
Provident Bancshares Corp.

$151,500,000
3/31/2009
Provident Community Bancshares, Inc.

$9,266,000
3/31/2009
PSB Financial Corporation

$9,270,000
3/31/2009
Puget Sound Bank

$4,500,000
3/31/2009
Pulaski Financial Corp

$32,538,000
3/31/2009
QCR Holdings, Inc.

$38,237,000
3/31/2009
Redwood Capital Bancorp

$3,800,000
3/31/2009
Redwood Financial Inc.

$2,995,000
3/31/2009
Regent Bancorp, Inc.

$9,982,000
3/31/2009
Regent Capital Corporation

$2,655,000
3/31/2009
Regional Bankshares, Inc.

$1,500,000
3/31/2009
Regions Financial Corp.

$3,500,000,000
3/31/2009
Reliance Bancshares, Inc.

$40,000,000
3/31/2009
Ridgestone Financial Services, Inc.

$10,900,000
3/31/2009
Rising Sun Bancorp

$5,983,000
3/31/2009
Rogers Bancshares, Inc.

$25,000,000
3/31/2009
Royal Bancshares of Pennsylvania, Inc.

$30,407,000
3/31/2009
S&T Bancorp

$108,676,000
3/31/2009
Saigon National Bank

$1,549,000
3/31/2009
Salisbury Bancorp, Inc.

$8,816,000
3/31/2009
Sandy Spring Bancorp, Inc.

$83,094,000
3/31/2009
Santa Clara Valley Bank, N.A.

$2,900,000
3/31/2009
Santa Lucia Bancorp

$4,000,000
3/31/2009
SBT Bancorp, Inc.

$4,000,000
3/31/2009
SCBT Financial Corporation

$64,779,000
3/31/2009
Seacoast Banking Corporation

$50,000,000
3/31/2009
Seacoast Commerce Bank

$1,800,000
3/31/2009
Seaside National Bank & Trust

$5,677,000
3/31/2009
Security Bancshares of Pulaski County,
Inc.

$2,152,000
3/31/2009
Security Business Bancorp

$5,803,000
3/31/2009
Security California Bancorp

$6,815,000
3/31/2009
Security Federal Corporation

$18,000,000
3/31/2009
Security State Bancshares, Inc.

$12,500,000
3/31/2009
Severn Bancorp, Inc.

$23,393,000
3/31/2009
Shore Bancshares, Inc.

$25,000,000
4/15/2009
Signature Bank

$120,000,000
3/31/2009
Somerset Hills Bancorp

$7,414,000
3/31/2009
Sonoma Valley Bancorp

$8,653,000
3/31/2009
Sound Banking Company

$3,070,000
3/31/2009
South Financial Group, Inc.

$347,000,000
3/31/2009
Southern Bancorp, Inc.

$11,000,000
3/31/2009
Southern Community Financial Corp.

$42,750,000
3/31/2009
Southern First Bancshares, Inc.

$17,299,000
3/31/2009
Southern Illinois Bancorp, Inc.

$5,000,000
3/31/2009
Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc.

$9,550,000
3/31/2009
Southwest Bancorp, Inc.

$70,000,000
3/31/2009
Sovereign Bancshares, Inc.

$18,215,000
3/31/2009
Spirit BankCorp, Inc.

$30,000,000
3/31/2009
St. Johns Bancshares, Inc.

$3,000,000
3/31/2009
State Bancorp, Inc.

$36,842,000
3/31/2009
State Bankshares, Inc.

$50,000,000
3/31/2009
State Capital Corporation

$15,000,000
3/31/2009
State Street Corporation

$2,000,000,000
3/31/2009
StellarOne Corporation

$30,000,000
3/31/2009
Sterling Bancorp

$42,000,000
3/31/2009
Sterling Bancshares, Inc.

$125,198,000
3/31/2009
Sterling Financial Corporation

$303,000,000
3/31/2009
Stewardship Financial Corporation

$10,000,000
3/31/2009
Stockmens Financial Corporation

$15,568,000
3/31/2009
Stonebridge Financial Corp.

$10,973,000
3/31/2009
Summit State Bank

$8,500,000
3/31/2009
Sun Bancorp, Inc.

$89,310,000
4/8/2009
SunTrust Banks, Inc.

$3,500,000,000
3/31/2009
SunTrust Banks, Inc.

$1,350,000,000
3/31/2009
Superior Bancorp Inc.

$69,000,000
3/31/2009
Surrey Bancorp

$2,000,000
3/31/2009
Susquehanna Bancshares, Inc.

$300,000,000
3/31/2009
SV Financial, Inc.

$4,000,000
3/31/2009
SVB Financial Group

$235,000,000
3/31/2009
Synovus Financial Corp.

$967,870,000
3/31/2009
Syringa Bancorp

$8,000,000
3/31/2009
Taylor Capital Group

$104,823,000
3/31/2009
TCB Holding Company, Texas Community
Bank

$11,730,000
3/31/2009
TCF Financial Corporation

$361,172,000
3/31/2009
TCNB Financial Corp.

$2,000,000
3/31/2009
Tennessee Commerce Bancorp, Inc.

$30,000,000
3/31/2009
Tennessee Valley Financial Holdings,
Inc.

$3,000,000
3/31/2009
Texas Capital Bancshares, Inc.

$75,000,000
3/31/2009
Texas National BanCorporation

$3,981,000
3/31/2009
The Bancorp, Inc.

$45,220,000
3/31/2009
The Bank of Currituck

$4,021,000
3/31/2009
The Bank of Kentucky Financial
Corporation

$34,000,000
3/31/2009
The Baraboo BanCorporation

$20,749,000
3/31/2009
The Connecticut Bank and Trust Company

$5,448,000
3/31/2009
The Elmira Savings Bank, FSB

$9,090,000
3/31/2009
The First Bancorp, Inc.

$25,000,000
3/31/2009
The First Bancshares, Inc.

$5,000,000
3/31/2009
The Freeport State Bank

$301,000
3/31/2009
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

$10,000,000,000
3/31/2009
The Little Bank, Inc.

$7,500,000
3/31/2009
The PNC Financial Services Group Inc.

$7,579,200,000
3/31/2009
The Private Bank of California

$5,450,000
3/31/2009
The Queensborough Company

$12,000,000
3/31/2009
The Victory Bank

$541,000
3/31/2009
TIB Financial Corp.

$37,000,000
3/31/2009
Tidelands Bancshares, Inc.

$14,448,000
3/31/2009
Tifton Banking Company

$3,800,000
3/31/2009
Timberland Bancorp, Inc.

$16,641,000
3/31/2009
Titonka Bancshares, Inc.

$2,117,000
3/31/2009
Todd Bancshares, Inc.

$4,000,000
3/31/2009
TowneBank

$76,458,000
3/31/2009
Treaty Oak Bancorp, Inc.

$3,268,000
3/31/2009
Tri-County Financial Corporation

$15,540,000
3/31/2009
Tri-State Bank of Memphis

$2,795,000
3/31/2009
Triad Bancorp, Inc.

$3,700,000
3/31/2009
Trinity Capital Corporation

$35,539,000
3/31/2009
TriState Capital Holdings, Inc.

$23,000,000
3/31/2009
TriSummit Bank

$2,765,000
3/31/2009
Trustmark Corporation

$215,000,000
3/31/2009
U.S. Bancorp

$6,599,000,000
3/31/2009
UBT Bancshares, Inc.

$8,950,000
3/31/2009
UCBH Holdings, Inc.

$298,737,000
3/31/2009
Umpqua Holdings Corp.

$214,181,000
3/31/2009
Union Bankshares Corporation

$59,000,000
3/31/2009
United American Bank

$8,700,000
3/31/2009
United Bancorp, Inc.

$20,600,000
3/31/2009
United BanCorporation

$10,300,000
3/31/2009
United Community Banks, Inc.

$180,000,000
3/31/2009
United Financial Banking Companies, Inc.

$5,658,000
3/31/2009
Unity Bancorp, Inc.

$20,649,000
3/31/2009
US Metro Bank

$2,861,000
3/31/2009
Uwharrie Capital Corp

$10,000,000
3/31/2009
Valley Commerce Bancorp

$7,700,000
3/31/2009
Valley Community Bank

$5,500,000
3/31/2009
Valley Financial Corporation

$16,019,000
3/31/2009
Valley National Bancorp

$300,000,000
3/31/2009
Virginia Commerce Bancorp

$71,000,000
3/31/2009
VIST Financial Corp.

$25,000,000
3/31/2009
W.T.B. Financial Corporation

$110,000,000
3/31/2009
Wainwright Bank & Trust Company

$22,000,000
3/31/2009
Washington Banking Company/Whidbey
Island Bank

$26,380,000
3/31/2009
Washington Federal Inc.

$200,000,000
3/31/2009
WashingtonFirst Bank

$6,633,000
3/31/2009
Webster Financial Corporation

$400,000,000
3/31/2009
Wells Fargo & Company

$25,000,000,000
3/31/2009
Wesbanco Bank Inc.

$75,000,000
3/31/2009
West Bancorporation, Inc.

$36,000,000
3/31/2009
Westamerica BanCorporation

$83,726,000
3/31/2009
Western Alliance BanCorporation

$140,000,000
3/31/2009
Western Community Bancshares, Inc.

$7,290,000
3/31/2009
Western Illinois Bancshares Inc.

$6,855,000
3/31/2009
White River Bancshares Company

$16,800,000
3/31/2009
Whitney Holding Corporation

$300,000,000
3/31/2009
Wilmington Trust Corporation

$330,000,000
3/31/2009
Wilshire Bancorp, Inc.

$62,158,000
3/31/2009
Wintrust Financial Corporation

$250,000,000
3/31/2009
WSFS Financial Corporation

$52,625,000
3/31/2009
Yadkin Valley Financial Corporation

$36,000,000
3/31/2009
Zions BanCorporation

$1,400,000,000
3/31/2009

Total: $198,888,248,000

Firms Participating: 555

GM FEDERAL HELPERS ( aka AL CAPONE) GIVE CREDITORS A DEAL THEY CAN NOT REFUSE – JUST LIKE IN THE MOVIE!

Posted in Auto Industry, Government with tags , , , , , , , , , on April 29, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Al Capone

GM took the FEDERAL help, to “help” it weather the time of losses by getting time to propose a financial restructuring. The FEDS have provided it with $27 BILLION so far of helpful loans to continue operations.

They were supposed to present a plan for its own recovery as a condition of receiving more aid.

Now the FEDS have taken a page out of the screenplay from the GODFATHER movie, and given the creditors of GM “a deal that they can not refuse.”

The Feds have proposed that holders of $27 billion in existing bonds, “exchange” them for a 10% equity stake in the new GM business, while the FEDERAL $27 billion in loans be exchanged for a 50% equity stake. Nice deal, if you have a gun to your head.

The UAW would “give up”claims” calculated at $20 billion, and would receive a 39% stake in the new business.

Finally, the existing stockholders, those people who actually provided all the capital over the last 80 years or so, would receive a 1% equity stake in the new business.

So this is the price for the government help-push out all the free market loans aside, push out the stockholders and elbow-in the government and the unions for a 89% ownership Cadillac Signinterest.

GM’s CFO said that if the various debt/bond holders do not accept this plan, he would ask a bankruptcy court to cram down this plan in any bankruptcy reorganization.

As a side note, many of the bonds and debt held is held by banks that are themselves part of the FED’s “helping hand” program, so please explain to us how exactly does this work?

The taxpayers give money to GM, then GM converts that money into worthless stock and the banks keep the money they got…say again?

Word of advice, don’t take the money when it’s offered, when someone says, ” I’m from the government, and I am here to help.”

FEDS – ECONOMY IS RECOVERING BY BEING WORSE??? ONLY THE GOVERNMENT THINKS LIKE THIS

Posted in Global Economy, Government, Stock Market with tags , , , , , , , , , on April 29, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

LiquidationThe economy shrank at a worse-than-expected 6.1 percent pace at the start of this year as sharp cutbacks by businesses and the biggest drop in U.S. exports in 40 years overwhelmed a rebound in consumer spending, said the Commerce Department.

This negative report was greeted by the market as positive, go figure.

The Commerce Department’s report, released Wednesday, dashed hopes that the recession’s grip on the country loosened in the first quarter. Economists surveyed expected a 5 percent annualized decline.

Instead, the economy ended up performing nearly as bad as it had in the final three months of last year when it logged the worst slide in a quarter-century, contracting at a 6.3 percent pace. Nervous consumers played a prominent role in that dismal showing as they ratcheted back spending in the face of rising unemployment, falling home values and shrinking nest eggs.

In the first quarter consumers came back to spending, boosting their spending after two straight quarters of reductions. The 2.2 percent growth rate was the strongest in two years. Wow, is that a sign of recovery, or could this be the effect of the shopping done at all the store closings and liquidation sales?

Still, the consumer rebound was swamped by heavy spending cuts in virtually every other area.

Businesses cut spending on home building, commercial construction, equipment and software, and inventories of goods. Sales of U.S. goods to foreign buyers plunged as they retrenched in the face of economic troubles in their own countries. Even the government ( yeah right) trimmed spending. It was the first time that happened since the end of 2005.

The sharp cuts underscore the toll the housing, credit and financial crises — the worst since the 1930s — are having on the country. The recession, which began in December 2007, has taken a big bite out of national economic activity and snatched 5.1 million jobs.

As a way to cushion the impact of the downturn, the Federal Reserve has slashed a key bank lending rate to a record low near zero and rolled out a string of radical programs to spur Store Saleslending. The Fed at the end of its two-day meeting Wednesday is expected to keep its key rate near zero and probably hold it there well into next year.

President Barack Obama is counting on his $787 billion stimulus of tax cuts and increased government spending on big public works projects to help bolster economic activity later this year. The administration also has put forward programs to rescue banks and curb home foreclosures — big negative forces weighing on the economy.

The weaker-than-expected report had some analysts stuck to predictions that the economy would shrink less in the current April-June period — at a pace of 1 to 2.5 percent — as Obama’s stimulus begins to take hold. Those analysts also continue to hope the economy would start to grow again in the final quarter of this year.

“The recession was bad in the first quarter but won’t be as bad going forward,” said John Silvia, chief economist at Wachovia. “I don’t think this lessens the expected pattern that the economy will be entering a recovery by the end of this year.”

Now I ask you where is this guy living, his bank just got taken over!

Recent outbreak of the swine flu, which started out in Mexico and has spread to the United States and elsewhere, poses a new potential economic decline danger. The flu might stifle trade and may force consumers to cut back further, those negatives would worsen the recession.

I have not heard from anyone that they as businessmen, expect a robust year or improvement for their business in 2009. A recent survey by a business publication showed that fully 67% of business CFO’s expected a lower profit year in 2009, only 13% expected better, and 20% expected the same results.

ECONOMY – GOOD NEWS/BAD NEWS, AND WORSE NEWS

Posted in Economic System, Economics with tags , , , , , , , , on April 28, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

ThrermometerEveryone wants to be optimistic about our country and its economic future for 2009 and beyond, except that future will be tightly controlled and its potential economic improvement is totally in the hands of our government.

“I’m from the government and I am here to help you,” is the scariest statement that a business or individual would like to hear.

For instance, just look at the mixed signals sent to us every day by economic gurus, government financial advisers, economists, money advice talk show hosts, TV shows about personal finance and the financial media.

The most conservative financial advisers always suggest that we start a savings program, and they all show how after putting away a few dollars every week, after 20 or 30 years…presto, we will have a few million dollars in savings.

However, the American economy is a consumer driven economy. It is driven by consumer spending which accounts for approximately 70% of the total of the goods and services produced.

Why heck, we drive all the world’s economies by what we consume in America, as we buy goods from all countries. American buy anything and everything; have you ever seen a SKYMALL catalog? I did not think I needed a garden thermometer shaped like a caterpillar, made in Sri Lanka until I saw it for only $4.99 in a catalog along with the matching barometer.That folks is called disposable income, and our government wants us to spend it all, otherwise it will spend it for us, on our behalf-hopefully not buying thermometers shaped like caterpillars.

The President wants us to spend more to help the “recovery”, and since we are not spending enough, he has taken our money and is spending it for us, apparently for our own good.

Then on the other hand, smart financial advisers tell us to stop all that spending, to cut back in these tough economic times and NOT buy anyhing we do not need, and to save our money.

So, what are we to do? Save, and save for a rainy day, or spend everything we have and maybe more by charging all our purchased on credit cards with 29.9% rates or higher?

Mixed signals, all around.

It can be summed up this way; we spend and borrow when we feel good about the future, and we do not spend, and tend to save when we do not.

So, when will there be a recovery, when will people start to spend buying all those caterlippal shaped theremometers again to revive our retailers and Sri Lankan factories?

Oh, I forgot, the government wants any extra money you may make as the recovery happens, because it has already spent your future money “helping” you recover.

Further complicating the process is the fact that interest rates are at all time lows, so your savings are earning very little sitting in banks, banks that you may be afraid to put your money into, since they may be seized at any time by the government. Buying government bonds and notes is even worse since their interest rates are even lower than the bank rates, and worse yet, you are lending the government your own money which they took from you in the form of new debt left for your children and grandchildren to pay off.

So, spend, or save?, that is the question…..and the good news/bad news.

We asked, and everyone is confused, but remember, when you SAVE, you are doing YOURSELF good, protecting your own interests. When you spend, you may be doing good for the TAMIL rebels in Sri Lanka who sell those caterpillar shaped thermometers you do not really need.

GM’S PONTIAC DIVISION ENDS, BRINGS BACK MEMORIES OF AN ERA OF MUSCLE CARS – GOODBYE OLD FRIEND

Posted in Auto Industry with tags , , , , , , on April 28, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

PontiacGM has finally pulled the plug on a car brand named after an Indian Chief who led the Midwest Indian tribes. Why the car was originally named for him, nobody remembers-other than there were a lot of native names used for cars, for some reason.

I remember that my first contact with a Pontiac muscle car was when my best friend in college got a new PONTIAC Le Mans muscle car from his parents as his present upon getting into college. That was his present, and we loved riding with him as he sped on the tollway for our weekends off to his parents lake house in Michigan.

We could make that trip in very short order from our college campus due to the 80 mph average that the car could do on the toll road and our CB radio and “good buddy” talk with truckers alerted us to any “smokeys” on the road ahead of us. heck it was not unusual for us to do 100MPH back then when the speed limits were 75 on the highways, and trucks would pass you up at that speed.

The Pontiac had it all; muscle, speed, air conditioning and a 8 track player to blast the music of the day that we sang along to on our road trip.

What great memories we had in that Pontiac. Cruising for girls on Saturday nights, going to the drive-in theaters, and having little worries in our adolescent lives. That was 1971, and it Pontiacwas the era of the Pontiac-Pontiac ruled with its TRANS AM, GRAND AM, LE MANS and even with popular bigger cars like the BONNEVILLE, fit for a whole family.

There was something unique to that car’s engine, it had a unique sound to it. I always remember it to this day, and it had that sound always.

After college I ended up owning a few Pontiacs, a couple of Grand Am’s and of course a couple of the sporty and powerful Fieros , the 6 cylinder “sport car” two seater with the engine in back of the driver. They all made that unique Pontiac engine sound. The Fiero was the first car with plastic body panels so it never had any rust ( in those days rust was a major reason to get a new car). Also, it looked really cool.

The car lost its luster as we teenagers aged and needed a family car or van, but the memories live on.

What killed Pontiac
GM pulls the plug on a brand credited with originating the muscle car.

The Pontiac car brand, once marketed as General Motors’ “excitement division,” will be killed off by the end of next year, the carmaker announced Monday.

The decision to shutter Pontiac was one of several aggressive steps GM spelled out in an updated survival plan Monday. The government has given the company until the end of next month to restructure and slim down in order to survive.

The new GM will focus on four core brands: Chevrolet, Buick, GMC and Cadillac.

The fate of three other troubled lines — Saturn, Saab and Hummer — will be decided at a later date, GM said. They are likely to be sold off or shut down, while Pontiac will be shuttered.

Pontiac’s problem was not sales, GM Chief Executive Fritz Henderson indicated during a conference call Monday. In 2008, Pontiac was the company’s third-best selling brand behind Chevrolet and GMC and sold twice as many vehicles as Buick, a brand that will apparently survive the changes at GM.

The problem for Pontiac has been profitability. GM doesn’t generally break out profits by brand, but Buick and GMC, which are sold in dealerships alongside Pontiacs, are more profitable, Henderson said.

“We didn’t have a strategy that we were satisfied with that would allow us to win with the Pontiac brand,” he said.

Roots in the 1950s

Pontiac’s identity as a “performance” brand dates back to the late 1950s and early 1960s. Pontiac cars were designed with wider bodies for cosmetic reasons and the wheels were pushed out to match. This “wide-track” design became a selling point and was advertised as giving Pontiac cars a distinct cornering advantage over other cars.

The idea of Pontiac as a performance brand was solidified in 1964 with the creation of the Pontiac Tempest LeMans GTO. That car quickly evolved into the GTO and is often credited with creating a new class of American car, the muscle car.

“There was a time, a long way back now, when you knew exactly what Pontiac stood for,” said Kevin Smith, editorial director for the automotive Web site Edmunds.com. More recently, under vice chairman Bob Lutz, GM tried to revive Pontiac’s image.

One strategy floated for Pontiac was to sell only, or mostly, rear-wheel-drive cars. That would have set it apart from other GM divisions, and most cars sold in America. Rear-wheel-drive is associated with performance brands like BMW.

Unfortunately, the 2004 model year reintroduction of the Pontiac GTO name on a performance coupe imported from Australia didn’t result in big sales. So far, the Pontiac G8, a rear-wheel-drive four-door sedan also imported from GM’s Australian Holden division, hasn’t been a sales success either despite good reviews.

Pontiac’s most popular products remain the G6, a decent but unexciting midsize car available as a sedan, coupe or convertible, and the Vibe, a small wagon shared with Toyota, which sells it as the Matrix.

Any plans to return Pontiac to the heavy-horsepower days of the 1970s ended as gas prices rose and Congress prepared stricter fuel economy rules for the industry.

In response to those pressures, GM quietly introduced the Pontiac G3, which had been sold in Canada only. Once again, Pontiac was selling a rebadged Chevrolet product, this time the Korean-built Aveo subcompact car.

Pontiac’s lack of focus as a brand may finally have brought its demise, said Smith. “That’s just death in a marketplace where there’s so much competition and so much quality,” he said.

FORECLOSURE FILINGS CAUSE JUDGE TO STOP COURT APPEARANCES FOR HOMEOWNERS! – DEADBEATS WIN!

Posted in Real Estate with tags , , , , , , , , , on April 28, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

ForeclosureChicago’s Cook County Circuit Court usually known for its notoriety more than actual fairness, has delayed all actions against homeowners due to the crush if new filings. The presiding judge of the Chancery Division which handles all the cases, so called Mortgage Default Calls (first court appearances made a lender when a borrower has failed to respond to a foreclosure action), has canceled all such calls for July and August.

In the first three months this year 13,200 new foreclosures were filed, and the first appearance is the date on which the homeowner needs to respond or be”defaulted”. There were 46,850 foreclosure files pending and this caseload has made it impossible to maintain a meaningful case administration.

This action will allow the homeowners to get additional time to work out deals with the lenders to save their homes, and does not provide any additional time to those homeowners that have filed an answer or consented to the foreclosure.

So, again folks, those people who have done nothing, get the break, while those who follow the rules get the shaft! Those people who do not bother to take any positive action are getting a break.

The Treasury Department started to sign contracts with lenders in the so called MAKING MORTGAGES AFFORDABLE program, a $75 billion program by the administration to help homeowners refinance of modify their mortgages.

The delay may have the unintended consequences of helping deadbeats stay in their homes, making the homes less valuable to the lenders, and therefore causing larger write offs at the banks due to the abatement of foreclosure actions.

It pays to be a dead beat.

WORLD PRODUCTION TO SHRINK FIRST TIME IN 60 YEARS – WAKE UP CALL TO HELP BUSINESSES

Posted in Economics, Global Economy with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , on April 28, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

IndiansThe world’s total economy is likely to shrink in 2009 year for the first time in 60 years according to a report from the IMF..

The International Monetary Fund projected the 1.3 percent drop in a gloomy forecast released Wednesday. That could leave at least 10 million more people around the world jobless; ARE THEY KIDDING lets make that 100 million, and 10 million alone in the USA. Where are they getting these numbers?

“By any measure, this downturn represents by far the deepest global recession since the Great Depression,” the IMF said in its latest World Economic Outlook. “All corners of the globe are being affected.”

The new forecast of a decline in global economic activity for 2009 is much weaker than the IMF had estimated in January.

Big factors in the gloomier outlook: It’s expected to take longer than previously thought to stabilize world financial markets and get credit flowing freely again to consumers and businesses. Doing so will be necessary to lift the U.S., and the global economy, out of recession.

The report comes in advance of Friday’s meetings between the United States and other major economic powers, and weekend sessions of the IMF and World Bank. The talks will seek to flesh out the commitments made at a G-20 leaders summit in London last month, when President Barack Obama and the others pledged to boost financial support for the IMF and other international lending institutions by $1.1 trillion.

The IMF’s outlook for the U.S. is bleaker than for the world as a whole: It predicts the U.S. economy will shrink 2.8 percent this year. That would mark the biggest such decline since 1946.

We believe that these forecasts are not correct as they are made by people who do not really understand the major reasons for why all this is happening, especially in the USA which will have a much longer recovery, if any even next year, 2010. Why would there be a recovery when the US government is looking to add taxes for all businesses, add EPA regulations, add costly compliance with all sorts of new mandates?

Among the major industrialized nations, Japan is expected to suffer the sharpest contraction this year: 6.2 percent. Russia’s economy is predicted to shrink 6 percent, Germany 5.6 Indians percent and Britain 4.1 percent. Mexico’s economic activity would contract 3.7 percent and Canada’s 2.5 percent. we believe that all these estimates are TOO HIGH, these economies will shrink a lot more due to the overall weakness in the US credit markets which drive world trade.

For instance, non-bank lenders who comprise about 40% of all lending in the USA, remain largely out of the business of making new loans. Lending declined overall in 2008, from 2007 by some 24%, while bank lending declined 11% (and that is for 2008!.)

China, meanwhile, is expected to see its growth slow to 6.5 percent this year. India’s growth is likely to slow to 4.5 percent. Thse numbers are also too high in our opinion.

The lost output could be as high as $4 trillion this year alone, U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner estimated. This again we believe is too low, as this may be the decrease in the top four economies alone.

In addition to trillions in lost business, a sinking world economy means fewer trade opportunities and higher unemployment. It raises the odds more people will fall into poverty, go hungry or lose their homes. And while keeping a lid on interest rates and consumer prices, the global recession increases the risk of deflation, which would drag down prices and wages, making it harder for people to make payments on their debt.

The jobless rate in the United States is expected to average 8.9 percent this year and climb to 10.1 percent next year, the IMF said. We belive that the 10% rate will be reached shortly, and this year, not next.

In Germany, the jobless rate is expected to average 9 percent this year and 10.8 percent next year. Britain’s unemployment rate is projected to rise to 7.4 percent this year and to 9.2 percent next year.

The 1.3 percent projected decline would be the first in roughly 60 years. In a report issued in mid-March, the IMF predicted global activity would contract this year “for the first time in 60 years,” though it didn’t offer a precise estimate then.

Next year, the IMF predicts the world economy will grow again — but just 1.9 percent. It said this would be consistent with its findings that economic recoveries after financial crises “are significantly slower” than ordinary recoveries typically are. Oh, right on, and if you belive that one, we have a bridge in brooklyn we would like to sell you.

All those factors tend to weigh against prospects “for a speedy turnaround,” the IMF said.

In 2010, the IMF predicts the U.S. economy will be flat, neither shrinking nor growing. Germany’s and Britain’s economies, meanwhile, will shrink less — by 1 percent and 0.4 percent respectively — it estimates.

Others countries, such as Japan, Russia, Canada and Mexico are projected to grow again. And China and India should pick up speed.

The crisis entered a tumultuous new phase last fall, shaking confidence in global financial institutions and markets. Total worldwide losses from the financial crisis from 2007 to 2010 could reach nearly $4.1 trillion, the IMF estimated in a separate report Tuesday.

Where have these guys been getting their information, just the losses in the USA stock market exceed that, before real estate value losses.

To date, actions by the United States and government in other countries have helped ease the crisis in some ways. But markets are still not operating normally in any sense of measurement.

The 185-nation IMF, headquartered in Washington, is the globe’s economic rescue squad, providing emergency loans to countries facing financial troubles, and has urged countries to take bolder actions to bolster banks.

The IMF also has pushed countries to work more closely together (oh sure like they always do). It favors coordinating fiscal stimulus efforts through tax reductions (NOT THE USA, they do not get it in Washington) or greater government spending to stimulate the appetites of consumers and businesses ( and how does that work exactly-they take our money to stimulate us with that $13 weekly estimate of our tax savings?). And it warned countries to resist the temptation of enacting protectionist trade measures ( like those promoted by our government).

“Fiscal policies had made a gigantic difference,” said IMF Chief Economist Olivier Blanchard. Without them, the hit to the global economy would have been much greater and pushed it perilously close to “a depression,” he added.

Because the world economy won’t be back to normal next year or perhaps even in 2011, Blanchard urged countries to spend money on big public works projects ( that is really smart, especially when it creates gigantic deficits)– something the Obama administration is doing — to bolster activity (of government spending, and litle else).

Bold policy actions could set off a mutually reinforcing “relief rally” in financial markets and a revival in consumer and business confidence, the IMF said in its report.

“The problem is that the longer the downturn continues to deepen, the slimmer the chances that such a strong rebound will occur, as pessimism about the outlook becomes entrenched and balance sheets are damaged further,” the IMF said in its report.

With the global economy stuck in a recession, the risks of a dangerous bout of deflation — a prolonged decline in prices that can worsen the economy — has risen. The IMF cited a “moderate” risk of deflation in the United States and in the 16 countries that use the euro. It saw a “significant likelihood of deeper price deflation” in Japan.

Please note that the worlds largest economies are the USA, China, Japan, Germany, Russia, the UK, India.

The Chinese economy operates by being the cheap supply chain for the others, so when times are tough in the major countries which China supplies, it folds too.

Please check out our prior blog about how the world is dependent on overlapping countries to trade with each other, where we described the problem or having angora goats repossessed by Mongolian banks due to the price of the silky soft fabric dropping.

So far our predictions for investing last year beat all the investment gurus, we suggested and compared putting money into a mattress, versus the stock market and beat all advisers.

The IMF seems to be way off the mark, but then again when you do not live in the real world of real salaries and business problems, it is hard to see the forest for the trees.

MONGOLIAN HERDERS NOW IN A CRISIS AS ANGORA/CASHMERE SWEATER DEMAND WANES WORLDWIDE-PROOF WE ARE ALL CONNECTED

Posted in Global Economy with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , on April 28, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Mongolian GoatsWe knew it, we saw it coming. Even the farthest corners of the world are now connected in our GLOBAL ECONOMY.

Mongolia, a remote and historic country whose territory is best known as having the Gobi Desert, is home to some 2.5 million people, the majority of whom earn their income by raising animals for profit to supply the rest of the world with that soft fiber from angora and cashmere goats and sheep.

The population has accepted the newest conspicuous consumption models of the rest of the world but on a more needy basis such as having solar panels for their tents to provide electricity for instance. Can you imagine solar power in Mongolia? I did not think of it there.

Mongolian herders too got over-extended in receiving loans from their banks for the purchase of larger herds, as as prices have fallen significantly for the animals and their cashmere, their banks have been demanding payment, so the herders must sell their animals in order to pay back the loans.

Surprisingly, banks have discovered that many herders submitted inaccurate information on their loan applications attesting to the number of animals that they used for collateral, and often then qualified for loans that were larger than the number of animals….what a shock, even in Mongolia we have sub-prime borrowers!

Now keep in mind that 2.7 million togrogs (their money) is about $1,900, and that the average herder loan is about 500,000 togrogs, about $350.Mongolian Sheep

Everything is relative in an economy in which the families still eat the animals themselves after selling the cashmere and angora wool, and drink the milk and make by-products for the family meals.

Banks have actually started to compete for the business, with rates of 2%-3% a month.

The herders make money in two seasons; spring they sell the angora and cashmere, and in the fall they sell the skins and meat, so those are the times for loan repayments.

Our consumption of the high-end sweaters, scarves and clothing using the soft fibers has slowed, and guess what, we now have defaulting herders in Mongolia!

So if you though times were bad, think about the visit from the Mongolian repo-man who will repossess the animals who will no longer produce the soft fibers in the scarves you just “gotta-have”.

It is a global market place, and we just have to be able to get along with everyone. The supply chain is longer than we realize.

One suggestion is to help budding entrepreneurs around the word, including Mongolia by making a KIVA loan. Your loan can be a small as $25, and when it is paid back you can loan it out again..

Visit www.KIVA.org to find out about this organization and pick who you want to lend the money to…the payback is quick and you will be helping with a micro loan to needy and entrepreneurial people all over the developing world, even Mongolian herders.
We Let You Loan to the Working Poor

Kiva’s mission is to connect people through lending for the sake of alleviating poverty.

Kiva is the world’s first person-to-person micro-lending website, empowering individuals to lend directly to unique entrepreneurs around the globe.

The people you see on Kiva’s site are real individuals in need of funding – not marketing material. When you browse entrepreneurs’ profiles on the site, choose someone to lend to, and then make a loan, you are helping a real person make great strides towards economic independence and improve life for themselves, their family, and their community. Throughout the course of the loan (usually 6-12 months), you can receive email journal updates and track repayments. Then, when you get your loan money back, you can re-lend to someone else in need.

Kiva partners with existing expert microfinance institutions. In doing so, we gain access to outstanding entrepreneurs from impoverished communities world-wide. Our partners are experts in choosing qualified entrepreneurs. That said, they are usually short on funds. Through Kiva, our partners upload their entrepreneur profiles directly to the site so you can lend to them. When you do, not only do you get a unique experience connecting to a specific entrepreneur on the other side of the planet, but our microfinance partners can do more of what they do, more efficiently.

Kiva provides a data-rich, transparent lending platform. We are constantly working to make the system more transparent to show how money flows throughout the entire cycle, and what effect it has on the people and institutions lending it, borrowing it, and managing it along the way. To do this, we are using the power of the internet to facilitate one-to-one connections that were previously prohibitively expensive. Child sponsorship has always been a high overhead business. Kiva creates a similar interpersonal connection at much lower costs due to the instant, inexpensive nature of internet delivery. The individuals featured on our website are real people who need a loan and are waiting for socially-minded individuals like you to lend them money.

USA BANKS WILL SUFFER $2.7 TRILLION IN LOSSES, ACCORDING TO IMF, AND $4 TRILLION WORLDWIDE

Posted in Uncategorized with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , on April 28, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

IMF BuildingThe updated information from the IMF about the projected losses attributed to the CRISIS worldwide and in the USA came after a “optimistic” reports from various government sources, predicting a financial improvement later in 2009 and definitely into 2010.

The International Monetary Fund said Tuesday worldwide financial institutions could suffer more than $4 trillion in losses from the global credit crisis with the U.S. leading the way with a total of $2.7 trillion.

The $2.7 trillion estimate for the United States was nearly double the IMF’s projection from just six months ago. The agency for the first time estimated losses for other regions of the world, saying the global total could surpass $4 trillion.

This projection would also fall far short of the funds that have been allocated to assist banks with regulatory capital.

So who do we believe; the IMF report or our government officials?

The IMF also warned that governments must take decisive policy actions to contain the fallout. The agency said governments have made progress getting extra money into the banking system, but more needs to be done to deal with toxic assets on banks’ books and shutting down insolvent financial institutions.

Additional capital is needed to cushion balance sheets against further loan losses and to restore investor confidence, the IMF said. The Obama administration has said it’s considering converting some of the $200 billion in loans to banks into purchases of common stock as a way to bolster their capital reserves.

Would it not be better to simply keep it as preferred stock, for the better position it offers as well as interest?

The financial system remained under “severe stress” as the economic crisis broadens from the banking sector to consumers and businesses, the IMF said in its “Global Financial Stability Report.”

“Further determined policy action will be required to help restore confidence and to relieve the financial markets of uncertainties that are undermining the prospects for an economic recovery,” the IMF said.

The stability report and an updated economic outlook due out Wednesday will form the basis for meetings slated to begin with talks among the Group of Seven rich industrial nations and the Group of 20 major industrial and developing economies on Friday.IMF Building

Discussions among the nations that serve on the steering committees of the IMF and World Bank are scheduled for Saturday and Sunday. Those talks will seek to flesh out the commitments made at a G-20 leaders summit in London last month. At that meeting, President Barack Obama and the other leaders pledged to boost financial support for the IMF and other international lending institutions by $1.1 trillion.

Emerging economic powers like China and Brazil are demanding a bigger voice in how the IMF and World Bank are run in return for their increased support. That is all we need, a communist country like China telling us all how to run things, and Brazil, a big developing nation where only 9% of the population has ever traveled on a plane.

These countries want to be our financial advisers.

The 185-nation lending institution came under severe criticism during the 1997-98 Asian currency crisis, for the types of stringent reforms it imposed on countries seeking IMF loans.

IMF Managing Director Dominique Strauss-Kahn has sought to revamp the agency’s lending programs to make them more flexible. The IMF has created a new line of credit it’s willing to extend to countries with solid economic track records without the tough restrictions of normal IMF loan programs. So far, Mexico has been offered $47 billion and Poland $20.5 billion under the new program.

The agency already has shown greater flexibility in the loans it has extended for countries caught up in the current crisis, including those made to the formerly communist Eastern European countries of Hungary, Latvia, Ukraine, Serbia and Romania.

Some economists worry that without stringent IMF programs, countries will not make the tough choices needed to trigger an economic rebound. But most believe the new flexibility is a welcome change from past approaches.

There was a general feeling after the Asian crisis that some of the loan conditionality had been too intrusive.

Oh, yes why have any conditions attached to the loans. Let’s just give the countries billion and billions with no accountability. Why not, our TARP had no conditions for the first $350 billion.

The old IMF was too harsh. Some of the conditions they imposed in the past did not take into account practical realities, but accountability and oversight should certainly be a part of that.

At the same time, some member nations are pushing to give the IMF greater powers as a global economic watchdog. They argue that if the agency had played a greater monitoring role, some of the financial market excesses that led to the current crisis could have been avoided.

However, any move to increase the IMF’s oversight is likely to meet stiff resistance among countries like China where officials have objected to IMF lectures on its undervalued currency.

The financial stability report said the estimate of $2.7 trillion in losses in the U.S. included $1.07 trillion in loan losses and $1.6 trillion in losses on securities backed by mortgages, consumer and business debt. The losses for the 16 nations using the euro currency and Britain were estimated at $1.2 trillion. The losses in Japan were put at $149 billion.

The IMF said banks worldwide have raised about $900 billion in new capital since the crisis began, with about half of that coming from public sources. In the U.S., the government has spent $200 billion from a $700 billion bailout fund to inject fresh capital into more than 500 banks.

THRIFTY GOVERNMENT, IT WILL SAVE $100 MILLION OVER MANY YEARS ON $3.6 TRILLION BUDGET!

Posted in Government with tags , , , , , , on April 28, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

KidsWe are always talking about how the government wastes money. Well no more of that, not anymore thanks to our sharp government accountants (see photo).

It was announced today that about $100 million will be SAVED in the $3.6 trillion budget, by buying paperclips and pencils more carefully-among other things. Nobody apparently thought of this before; like “hey we want to buy $10 million of paperclips from you, can we get a discount?”

Wow, what sharp buyers we have there in the government!

Also they intend on saving $3 million on the seals and logos to be designed for various agencies. We could have saved a lot more if they just went on the internet and typed in LOGO design, I saw some from $10 and up! President Barack Obama called his first formal Cabinet meeting on Monday, telling department and agency chiefs to find ways in the next 90 days to cut at total of $100 million out of their budgets.

Here are savings the White House said already have been identified, a tiny portion of next year’s overall budget which is forecast at about $3.5 trillion. Many of the cuts listed by the administration stretch years into the future and will not have a significant impact in next year’s spending.

AGRICULTURE

–Combining 1,500 employees from seven office locations into a single facility in 2011 – saving $62 million over a 15-year lease term

–Improper farm program payments, $16 million

–Internet rather than in-person training, $1.3 million

EDUCATION

–Savings in allocation of computer equipment to employees, $8.7 million.

–Eliminating a position at the Paris UNESCO office, closing office, $713,000.

HOMELAND SECURITY

–Buying office supplies in bulk, $52 million over five years.

–Buying multipurpose office equipment, $10 million over five years.

–Consolidation of computer software license purchases, $47 million.

–Transportation and electricity savings, $3 million.

–Ending consulting contracts for creation of new seals and logos, $3 million.

JUSTICE

–Switching asset forfeiture notices from newspapers to Internet, $6.7 million in first five years.

STATE

–Converting immigrant visa processing to electronic correspondence, $1 million.

–Consolidating posts at embassies, saving US AID and Department of State, $5 million annually.

–Consolidation of contracts for communications, office supplies, furniture, medical supplies, 7 percent to 10 percent over current costs which were not given.

–Savings estimated on at tens of thousands of dollars by ending storage of excess equipment.

TRANSPORTATION

–Cost monitoring by senior officials that is saving an estimated 15 percent to 20 percent on projects put for bid under the Obama stimulus package.

VETERANS AFFAIRS

–Canceling or delaying 26 conferences, saving nearly $17.8 million by using less expensive alternatives like video conferencing.

I really think that there may be a few other things to save on like less limos and drivers, and less deputies of every department and less relatives on everybody’s payrolls.

Do we really need those thousands of junkets, and a million extra people working for the government this year? NOT! But just try to change those expenses, and you may be surprised how necessary they are.

THE UN-STIMULUS PACKAGE-NEW STUPID REGULATIONS TO CURB INDUSTRIAL GROWTH FOR AMERICA – EPA AT IT AGAIN

Posted in Government, Taxes with tags , , , , , , , , , on April 28, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Abandoned FactoryThe government not only tells us how much water our toilet can use, but now the findings of how dangerous various natural gases in our atmosphere are, has started a process to destroy American industry, your jobs and your ability to enjoy life as you know it.

Read, and weep, as you will discover than from now till your children retire, o The Environmental Protection Agency said greenhouse gases pose a danger to the public, opening the way for new U.S. regulation of cars, power plants and factories.

The proposed finding, announced by the agency today, marks the first formal action by the federal government toward restricting carbon-dioxide emissions that climate scientists say contribute to global warming.

The decision may spur regulation of General Motors Corp. and other automakers and utilities such as American Electric Power Co., as well as manufacturers led by chemical and steel makers. It also pressures Congress to back legislation on emissions, rather than letting the EPA set all the rules, said David Bookbinder, chief climate counsel of the Sierra Club.

“I don’t think the EPA ought to be regulating carbon emissions,” Representative Henry Waxman, a California Democrat, said in an interview on Bloomberg Television’s “Political Capital with Al Hunt,” airing this weekend. “I think we ought to deal with it under this cap-and-trade program and the overall energy bill we are moving through.”

Draft legislation being debated next week by a panel of the House Energy and Commerce Committee would “supersede” EPA regulation, said Waxman, the committee chairman. The measure would require industrial polluters to get permits for emissions, which then could be bought and sold on a market.

“There is no longer a question of if or even when the U.S. will act on global warming: We are doing so now,” said Bookbinder, of the environmentalist Sierra Club, in a statement.

A petrochemical-refiner group and a Republican lawmaker said the EPA decision may lead to higher costs to consumers and overburden industries with new rules.

‘Assertion of Authority’

Regulations “would constitute EPA’s single largest and potentially most complex assertion of authority over the U.S. economy and Americans’ lifestyles,” said Charles Drevna, president of the National Petrochemical and Refiners Association.

“Today’s action by the EPA is the beginning of a regulatory barrage that will destroy jobs, raise energy prices for consumers, and undermine America’s global competitiveness,” said Senator James Inhofe, a Republican from Oklahoma.

Supreme Court Ruling

The so-called endangerment finding, which won’t become final until after a public review, is based on a Supreme Court ruling in April 2007. The court said the government could restrict heat-trapping gases under the Clean Air Act if it found them a danger to the public health and welfare, and it ordered the EPA to make a determination.

Former President George W. Bush’s administration declined to act, passing on the issue to President Barack Obama.

“This finding confirms that greenhouse gas pollution is a serious problem now and for future generations,” EPA Administrator Lisa Jackson said in a statement.

Obama has made curbing greenhouse gases a priority. He has called on Congress to pass legislation that would cap carbon- dioxide emissions. The president’s budget plan assumes almost $650 billion in revenue from a cap-and-trade system from 2012 to 2019.

The draft legislation proposed by Waxman and Edward Markey, Democrat of Massachusetts, would cut greenhouse-gas emissions 20 percent by 2020. By 2050, emissions would be reduced 83 percent from 2005 levels under the plan.

The EPA said today that climate change related to carbon dioxide and five other gases can lead to increased drought, more flooding, heat waves and wildfires and cause harm to water, agriculture and wildlife. The finding doesn’t include any proposed regulations.

The EPA also found today that heat-trapping emissions from motor vehicles cause or contribute to global warming.

Cars, Trucks

While the Supreme Court case concerned new cars and trucks, the Clean Air Act directs the EPA to limit emissions from other sources such as power plants if a finding is made that greenhouse gases pose a danger, said Bookbinder of the Sierra Club.

The EPA’s proposed rules for vehicles could come by the end of the year, Bookbinder said. Proposed rules for power plants would probably follow early next year, he said. After that, it would be several months to a year before any regulations take effect.

Power plants account for about 40 percent of carbon-dioxide emissions, and vehicles make up about 30 percent, according to government figures.

The U.S. produces about 20 percent of the planet’s man-made carbon-dioxide emissions, according to Energy Department figures.

Policy Priority

Since Obama took office in January, the EPA has taken steps to prepare for regulating greenhouse gases. The agency proposed in March requiring factories to give annual reports to the federal government on emissions.

The first reports would be submitted in 2011 and cover emissions in 2010, according to the proposal. Car and engine makers would begin their reports for 2011 models.

The endangerment case goes back to 1999, when environmental organizations asked the EPA to regulate greenhouse gases from cars and trucks.

In 2003, the Bush administration’s EPA said that it wouldn’t regulate such emissions from new vehicles, citing “substantial scientific uncertainty” about the effects of climate change on human health and the environment and about the best means to deal with the issue.

A dozen states, including California and Massachusetts, joined the environmental groups and sued the EPA.

The Supreme Court in 2007 ordered Bush administration environmental officials to reconsider their refusal and said the EPA didn’t follow the requirements of the Clean Air Act.
Soon, our cows will have to pay a tax for their pollution as well.

NORMAL PEOPLE CUT BACK ON SPENDING WHEN TIMES ARE TOUGH; GOVERNMENT CAN NOT FIGURE THIS OUT, AND WHEN BROKE, SPENDS MORE!

Posted in Economic System, Government with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , on April 20, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Boarded Up WindowsWhen someone (a normal person) loses a job, or gets a salary cut, they spend less.

People learn to turn down the lights, cut out unnecessary expenses, cancel the milk delivery and the lawn service, cut back on driving, and take the kids out of private school or buy at lower prices grocery stores using more coupons, and watch for sales specials at retailers, shopping only for great deals.

But what does our government do when times get tough?

You guessed it, it does the opposite, it spends and spends, and increases its spending.

It has that luxury, it takes YOUR money however to do all that extra spending. It “needs to do that”, is their excuse in Washington. The pols need to take your money, for your own good and spend it on projects you do not want or others that will have absolutely no impact on your local area or you, in particular.

It is done for the “common good”.

“We will emerge from this recession, a stronger country,” is was said.

Now how exactly does that work?

We do not have any funds to spend, we cut back on everything personally, but the government takes our money that we have not yet earned, gives the debt to our children and their Abandoned Warehousechildren, and we become stronger?

While all this is being done, the government increases the taxes paid by the job creators in our country, small business, and those 10% of the population that pays most of the taxes in the country and this is supposed to allow us to emerge stronger than ever?

This must be one of those fantasy movies (instead of the stark reality we face), in which no matter what is done in the course of the movie, the ending is fantastic, and all problems are solved in the course of 90 minutes.

This will not be the case here, as our system of free enterprise work differently. It actually works by allowing failure to occur. it is sort of like burning the under-brush in an overgrown forest or prairie. When the old stuff burns, new beautiful greenery grows back instantly.

I saw that many times as the farmers or ranchers followed this process, and green grasses and colorful wild flowers took the place of the old growth.

That is exactly what happens in a free economy.

Common sense will tell you that when things are constricting, one does NOT spend more to incur more debt; one cuts back the spending to get things stabilized.

If you lived on $5,000 a month, now you adjust to live on $4,000 a month or whatever the new available amount is going to now be. You do not go out and decide that now, you will spend $6,000 a month to improve your financial position.

The government has actually used this logic, and nobody seems to understand this nonsense!

Oh, I forgot, the government, unlike we in the real world, never pays back its debts, it just raises the allowable debt ceiling, giving itself unlimited spending while we all have to live within our means.

In a speech this week summarizing his administration’s economic policies, President Obama grossly overstated the support these policies enjoy by claiming, “economists on the left and right agree that the last thing the government should do during a recession is cut back on spending.” There are a great many economists who were surprised to learn that, apparently, they now agree with the President.

Peter Schiff Bull MovesReading straight from the Keynesian playbook, Obama justified the creation of multi-trillion dollar deficits by asserting that the government must fill the spending void left by the contraction of consumer and business spending. As one of those mythical economists who do not agree with the President, I argue that it is precisely this type of boneheaded thinking that got us into this mess, and it’s the reason we are now headed for an inflationary depression.

We do not need, nor should we attempt, to replace lost demand. As Obama himself pointed out in the same speech, Americans have been borrowing and spending too much money. These actions created artificial demand, underpinned by the illusion of real wealth in overvalued stock and real estate markets. Given his intelligence and rhetorical training, it is hard to fathom how President Obama cannot notice the inherent contradiction in his argument.

While Obama commended millions of American families for making the hard choices to reduce spending, pay down debt and replenish savings, he later outlined the government’s intention to spend every American household deeper into debt, thereby undermining all the good that personal austerity would have otherwise produced.

Obama also made the clear-eyed observation that the foundation of our economy was unsound and that a sturdier one needed to be laid. To do this, he even asserted that we need to import less and export more. This has been one of my fundamental points. Our economy is unsound precisely because it is built on a foundation of consumer debt. Instead of spending for today, we need to invest for tomorrow. However, we cannot save more unless we spend less. Production requires capital, which only comes into existence when resources are not consumed.

However, by interfering with this process, Obama prevents the very transformation he acknowledges must take place. When the government spends what individuals save, private investment is crowded out. Society is deprived of the benefits such savings would otherwise have brought about. How can we lay a solid foundation if the government takes away all our cement?

This brings up an oft-repeated, but oft-forgotten, point: government does not have any money of its own. It only has what it takes from the rest of us. If individuals repay their debts, but their government takes on additional debt, we are all simply swimming against the tide. All forward progress is lost as private debt is replaced by public debt, which must be repaid by private individuals. Whatever gains individuals hope to achieve are negated by the higher taxes or increased inflation necessary to repay their share of a larger national debt.

Obama claims that much of the additional debt is not going to finance consumption, but rather “critical investment.” This is a vain hope. In the first place, much of what he categorizes as investment, such as additional spending on education, is not investment at all. Yes, an educated workforce is important, but throwing more government money at education will do nothing to achieve this goal. Spending money on education and calling it an investment squanders resources that otherwise would have financed real investments. In the second place, to the extent some government money is invested, those investments will likely be less efficient than those the private sector might otherwise have financed. There is absolutely no evidence that governments have the foresight or incentives to make investments that facilitate real economic growth. “Five year plans” didn’t work in the Soviet Union and they won’t Peter Schiff Crash Proofwork here. If the government simply builds bridges to nowhere, society gains nothing.

If we are going to rebuild our economy on a solid foundation, the market, not the government, needs to draw the plans. When private citizens invest their own capital, those who invest wisely are rewarded with profits, while those who do not are punished with losses. Bad investments are therefore abandoned, with capital reallocated to more successful ventures. Conversely, when governments invest money, these checks and balances do not exist. There is nothing to correct bad investments, as losses are endlessly subsidized by taxpayers. In fact, the more a government plan fails, the more it tends to be funded in the hope that additional resources will finally achieve success. Obama himself proves this by allocating still more funds to government-run schools and student loan subsidies. Other examples, such as Amtrak, the New York MTA, the U.S. Postal Service, Fannie/Freddie, and countless others, prove this process is never-ending – until perhaps the bureaucracy collapses under its own weight.

When it comes to government making tough choices, Obama talks a good game, but refuses to actually make any. However, once the dollar finally begins its collapse, he will have no choice but to match his rhetoric with action. It’s unfortunate that we cannot make these tough choices on our own terms, rather than waiting for our creditors to force our hand.

Peter Shiff, economist, author.

NUMBER OF BILLIONAIRES SHRINKING FAST DUE TO SLOWING ECONOMIES AND MARKET LOSSES

Posted in Billionaires, Stock Market with tags , , , , on April 17, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Bill GatesWhen billionaires shrink, what happens to the rest of us?

Everyone is affected by a shrinking value of all goods, services and stock market values. Billionaires are no exception, however, as we may have to use more store coupons, the billionaires are not exactly worried if their value went from $20 billion to $2 billion.

They still do not need coupons.

It’s been a tough year for the richest people in the world. Last year there were 1,125 billionaires. This year there are just 793 people rich enough to make the list.

The world has become a wealth wasteland. Like the rest of us, the richest people in the world have endured a financial disaster over the past year. Today there are 793 people on our list of the World’s Billionaires, a 30% decline from a year ago.

Of the 1,125 billionaires who made last year’s ranking, 373 fell off the list–355 from declining fortunes and 18 who died. There are 38 newcomers, plus three moguls who returned to the list after regaining their 10-figure fortunes. It is the first time since 2003 that the world has had a net loss in the number of billionaires.

The world’s richest are also a lot poorer. Their collective net worth is $2.4 trillion, down $2 trillion from a year ago. Their average net worth fell 23% to $3 billion. The last time the average was that low was in 2003.

Bill Gates lost $18 billion but regained his title as the world’s richest man. Warren Buffett, last year’s No. 1, saw his fortune decline $25 billion as shares of Berkshire Hathaway fell nearly 50% in 12 months, but he still managed to slip just one spot to No. 2. Mexican telecom titan Carlos Slim Helú also lost $25 billion and dropped one spot to No. 3.

It was hard to avoid the carnage, whether you were in stocks, commodities, real estate or technology. Even people running profitable businesses were hammered by frozen credit markets, weak consumer spending or declining currencies.

The biggest loser in the world this year, by dollars, was last year’s biggest gainer. India’s Anil Ambani lost $32 billion–76% of his fortune–as shares of his Reliance Communications, Reliance Power and Reliance Capital all collapsed.

Ambani is one of 24 Indian billionaires, all but one of whom are poorer than a year ago. Another 29 Indians lost their billionaire status entirely as India’s stock market tumbled 44% in the past year and the Indian rupee depreciated 18% against the dollar. It is no longer the top spot in Asia for billionaires, ceding that title to China, which has 28.

Russia became the epicenter of the world’s commodities bust, dropping 55 billionaires–two-thirds of its 2008 crop. Among them: Dmitry Pumpyansky, an industrialist from the resource-rich Ural mountain region, who lost $5 billion as shares of his pipe producer, TMK, sank 84%. Also gone is Vasily Anisimov, father of Moscow’s Paris Hilton, Anna Anisimova, who lost $3.2 billion as the value of his Metalloinvest Holding, one of Russia’s largest ore mining and processing firms, fell along with his real estate holdings.

Twelve months ago Moscow overtook New York as the billionaire capital of the world, with 74 tycoons to New York’s 71. Today there are 27 in Moscow and 55 in New York.

After slipping in recent years, the U.S. is regaining its dominance as a repository of wealth. Americans account for 44% of the money and 45% of the list’s slots, up seven and three percentage points from last year, respectively. Still, it has 110 fewer billionaires than a year ago.

Those with ties to Wall Street were particularly hard hit. Former head of AIG Maurice (Hank) Greenberg saw his $1.9 billion fortune nearly wiped out after the insurance behemoth had to be bailed out by the U.S. government. Today Greenberg is worth less than $100 million. Former Citigroup Chairman Sandy Weill also falls from the ranks.

Last year there were 39 American billionaire hedge fund managers; this year there are 28. Twelve American private equity tycoons dropped out of the billionaire ranks.

Blackstone Group’s Stephen Schwarzman, who lost $4 billion, and Kohlberg Kravis & Roberts’ Henry Kravis, who lost $2.5 billion, retain their billionaire status despite their weaker fortunes.

Worldwide, 80 of the 355 drop-offs from last year’s list had fortunes derived from finance or investments.

While 656 billionaires lost money in the past year, 44 added to their fortunes. Those who made money did so by catering to budget-conscious consumers (discount retailer Uniqlo’s Tadashi Yanai), predicting the crash (investor John Paulson) or cashing out in the nick of time (Cirque du Soleil’s Guy Laliberte).

So is there anywhere one can still make a fortune these days? The 38 newcomers offer a few clues. Among the more notable new billionaires are Mexican Joaquín Guzmán Loera, one of the biggest suppliers of cocaine to the U.S.; Wang Chuanfu of China, whose BYD Co. began selling electric cars in December, and American John Paul Dejoria, who got the world clean with his Paul Mitchell shampoos and sloppy with his Patrón Tequila.

ENDING OF PIRATE SHIP HIJACKINGS BY PLANNING CONVOYS!

Posted in Pirates with tags , , , , on April 16, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Super TankerEvery year about 30,000 ships , about 100 per day sail the waters off Somalia.

That works out to about 50 ships a day in each direction.

With a little planning, these ships can basically assemble into a small group of ships every day or two and be easily escorted by the various naval vessels now on site there.

HAVE NONE OF THESE VARIOUS WORLD CLASS NAVY ADMIRALS LOOKED BACK INTO THEIR NAVAL HISTORY BOOKS FOR THE ANSWER?

Pirates and terrorists who lurk on these shipping lanes simply wait on any portion of these shipping lanes, and wait for the ships to come to them.

The escort ships could very easily escort a convoy of 20-30 ships each, and if threatened, they could easily destroy any pirates; especially pirates in a little canoe/motorboat 100-200 miles off shore.

The modern navy now has helicopters and can run a perimeter around the ships with another ship and totally provide the needed security.

This is the same naval tactic which defeated the U-boats in World War II.

The pirates are nowhere close to being as dangerous to the ships as the U-boats, and would easily be repelled.Aircraft Carrier

No more ransoms, no more hostages, and a safe passage for all. In fact, there could be a payment per ship, that would probably be less than the present insurance rates for that risky transit.

Come on, how many people in the Pentagon worked on this pirate project?

Anybody there, listening, watching, thinking?

Furthermore, this process could give the navy’s of the world who are there now some needed target practice.

MAYOR NUTTER TYPICAL SILLY GOVERNMENT PAPER SHUFFLER SCREWS UP A GREAT IDEA

Posted in Government with tags , , , , on April 15, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Mayor NutterWe should seriously consider a blog about all the silly, and sometimes downright stupid things that government officials all over the country dream up “for the good of the people.”

If only there was a requisite stint required for public officials to have actually succeeded in running a successful business, employing people, meeting payrolls, fighting with zoning officials, OSHA inspectors, etc., before they “ran” a city.

That is just wishful thinking, but would that be beautiful?

The Philadelphia Mayor NUTTER, (see photo ), (NUTTER, known affectionately as Mayor Nutty by the ever dwindling business community), had a good idea, but buried it in the usual governmental bungling and confusing requirements, as can be expected of all government types, especially running the other highly successful big cities such as Detroit, Los Angeles and New Orleans.

As you might faintly recall, New Orleans is the model of the working together by local City government and the Federal government to create nothing, while spending $80 billion.

First of all we all agree that his basic idea was good, in fact worthy of praise-he should have a dinner and award ceremony providing him with a plaque or statute and a photo with Paris Hilton or Paula Abdul or some other “celebrity”, so that he can make the front page news headlines.

Here is the rest of the story of how a great idea got “governmentalized” and of course died.

Today’s tax-filing deadline is expected to come and go without a single company applying for one penny of Mayor Nutter’s new $5 million tax-credit program that was designed to encourage the hiring of ex-offenders.

The mayor NUTTY, unveiled the initiative on the campaign trail as an innovative way to drive down Philadelphia’s crime rate, and City Council wrote it into law nearly 18 months ago. Under its terms, local companies can receive tax breaks of $10,000 a year – for three years – for each ex-offender working at least six months as of Jan. 1, 2008.

This is the first tax year companies would have been able to receive the credits, which would be counted against the business privilege tax they pay the city.

But no one applied.

Instead, while a handful of businesses expressed interest, they mostly balked at the program’s requirements – namely, that they be publicly identified, according to Deputy Mayor for Public Safety Everett Gillison, who oversees the initiative for Nutter.

City Councilman W. Wilson Goode Jr. expressed some optimism.

For years, he advocated similar programs that offered less in tax credits – $1,000 and $5,000 – but drew little interest from companies.

Then NUTTY unveiled his proposal for the $10,000 tax break during the mayoral race in 2007. Goode agreed to sponsor it, and the measure became law nearly two months before Nutter even took office.

To receive the credit, companies must provide $2,000 worth of tuition support and vow to remain in Philadelphia for at least five years. As for the ex-offenders, they must turn over 5 percent of their paychecks to the city.

The administration set aside $5 million for the tax credits, limiting the program to 500 ex-offenders yearly.

“This is one of the best crime-prevention programs we’ll ever have,” Nutter said last year, touting the program on his 100th day in office.

But the initiative has faced a bevy of problems.

Some companies, in addition to not wanting to be publicly named, object that the program requires them to pay ex-offenders more that their current unionized workforce. For a company to get the tax credit, it must pay ex-offenders 150 percent of the federal minimum hourly wage – which currently adds up to about $10 an hour.

“Employers don’t want to set up a situation where their union employees are paid less,” Gillison said. He added that the administration planned to introduce legislation before June to address this issue and others.

Ray Jones, a director at Impact Services Corp., which helps find ex-offenders jobs, pointed to another possible impediment, saying some ex-offenders opposed giving up 5 percent of their paychecks. Given that many have restitution and child-support payments on top of rent and food bills, he said, “it just does not make a whole lot of sense for them to buy into it.”

Additionally, several provisions of the law creating the program have yet to be carried out. For instance, city contracts or tax abatements of $1 million or more are not supposed to be given unless the recipients identify potential jobs for ex-offenders. “We’re still looking at how to get in compliance on this one,” Gillison said.

In another example, the Managing Director’s Office failed to file a detailed report evaluating the program by Jan. 31, as required. That will happen soon, Gillison said, attributing the delay to the administration’s focus on the city’s financial troubles.

Still other problems were unforeseen, most notably the national economic collapse.

“There’s little doubt in my mind that the economic contraction is the retardant in getting ex-offenders into the workplace,” said Mark Schweiker, president of the Greater Philadelphia Chamber of Commerce, which supports the program.

One local construction company that has hired ex-offenders plans to apply for the tax credit next year, but did not this year.

“Unfortunately, I was laying off more than I was hiring,” said Bill Reddish, owner of Gensis Group in Roxborough. “Once the economy starts to pick up, we anticipate that we will be aggressive in trying to place ex-offenders on our payroll.”

But for now, he said, “I need to keep the best and most skilled guys.”

Another government official trying to help, I guess.

So, let’s give him a gold star at least for his effort.

Note to Mayor REMEMBER THE OLD ACRONYM: “KISS”- KEEP IT SIMPLE, ST…..ID..

DEATH SENTENCE; GOVERNMENT MANDATED SMALL CARS KILL/INJURE OCCUPANTS THE MOST

Posted in Auto Industry, Government with tags , , , , , on April 14, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Crash Test(ABOVE IS THE SMALL CAR CRASH TEST DUMMY SHOWING SERIOUS INJURY IN CRASH, HONDA FIT AND TOYOTA YARIS WERE THE WORST IN TEST CRASHES)

Again our government is at it…telling us and the auto industry how to build cars and which ones to punish and which one’s to reward.

First, it was the mandate to have airbags in cars.

Then it was proven that children would be killed or injured in the vehicles due to the force of the airbags deploying.

Then it was shown that the drivers who might be wearing glasses or contact lenses in crashed would be blinded by having the airbag push the glasses into they eyes.

Then, and worst of all the automobiles which had in addition to the front airbag, (as extra safety feature) the autos had side airbags or curtain airbags that opened up on the sides, caused such a build up of high pressure in the cars, that they exploded the ear drums or worse, of the occupants.

Thank you, big hand of government again, causing more injuries and adding expensive airbags that tend to kill and injure, not help.

Also, it appears that as the cars get older, the airbags that are in them may deploy at random, causing fatal crashes or injuries to not just the occupants, but to the drivers on the road around them as they crash from the sudden deployment and sudden shock.

Now, the worst statistics yet.

The small cars touted by the government as being fuel miserly, tend to be so small that they cause injury and death as “death traps” when involved in accidents, especially with larger vehicles such as SUV’s, pick up trucks and full size automobiles.

So as you though you could save the eco system or something like that, you put yourself and your family instead into a death trap vehicle which now will clearly cost you, not just in added insurance but medical costs as well.

What will they mandate next? Smaller SUV’s, smaller pick up trucks?

Remember that old quote, ” I’m from the government, and I am here to help you.” ????

Another government stetement that is really a joke, in real life……

SCREWING THE TAXPAYER (AGAIN) WITH STIMULUS MONEY-THE DAVIS-BACON (PORK) ACT

Posted in Stimulus, Taxes with tags , , , , , on April 13, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

WorkersIt is time to screw the taxpayers again with the idiotic DAVIS-BACON ACT requirements that force the payment of “prevailing wages” on any construction projects involving even the slightest bit of state or federal funds.

When the government orders something to be built, it surely will be a stupid, overpriced, unneeded, or “in-the-family” project.

Now with all those stimulus funds just itching to be spent, the taxpayers will be forced to pay more than they need to on every stimulus related project, since the requirements of the Act will mandate that the labor component be paid at the unnecessary and artificially high union labor rates.

It is no wonder that 84% of all churches, schools, arenas, and airports are built with NON union labor and therefore save money; they operate in a highly competitive environment that provides price competition, not price fixing of labor costs.

The government should be encouraging free market competition to create the best value for the money for taxpayers money, instead of artificially in needlessly paying more than the jobs are worth for all infrastructure projects.

Hello, anybody listening in Washington?

These prevailing wages only protect inefficient union companies from going out of business, which they should, and give the rest of us a tax break from the silly and expensive Socialist experiments.

BARACK OBAMA AND HILLARY CLINTON HARD AT WORK FOR US, SOLVING WORLD PROBLEMS, AT THE SANDBOX

Posted in Uncategorized with tags , , on April 10, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Clinton and Obama at the ParkWe are always told by the press secretary how hard our President and Secretary of State work for us, the little people.

Today we heard from the White House that the economy is going in the right direction….up I hope.

I frankly do not understand the thinking put out by a President who has no idea how the economy works-it is driven by entrepreneurs, great idea thinkers, businessmen willing to put their capital on the line to start or expand a business.

Our top management in and around the White House does not have one businessman in the group, but a lot of life-timers in government “public service”.

Nobody has run a business that they started, or that they built up.

Nobody there has dealt with the crooked building inspector coming around for a pay-off, or an OSHA inspector, or a Department of Labor bureaucrat visiting to check your employees time cards. Nobody has run a business ruined by union organizing or run out of busijness due to local rules and taxes.

Now these same people are trying to sell the business community a bill of goods telling us that the business outlook is improving…it will be just great!

What is in their executive private chef’s soup?

What industry group is hiring employees?

What business group is forecasting higher revenues? AUTOS, HOUSING, MANUFACTURING, TRAVEL, AIRLINE, STEEL, TRUCKING; who exactly is showing the improving signs?

The improvements could come very quickly if business taxes were low, such as 10% flat tax on profits, but we are hearing the opposite—-TAX EVERYTHING IN SITE AND ESPECIALLY TAX THE JOB CREATORS, THOSE EVIL PROFITEERS, THE BUSINESSES THAT MAKE A PROFIT OF OVER $250,000 A YEAR!

These erroneous forecasts are very destructive to the average person who then sees a glimmer of hope, and is later snuffed out when he attempts to get a new credit card or a new house, and his application is denied.

Where are the signs, REALLY?

Unemployment is scheduled to keep climbing though 2009, and into 2010 or even though most of 2010. It will be a domino effect as people lose jobs, they buy less, the factories that produce goods for them lay off employees, those employees buy less and default on car loans, home loans, etc…..etc…..THE DOMINO EFFECT IN FULL GEAR.

An important component of the possible new job growth is the ability of the job creators to have the capital to start a business or hire a new employee. These people have lost half of their stock investments, half of their reserve capital-why would they now risk the rest in an “iffy” economy with the threat of even higher taxes?

So, Mr. President, maybe you need to get on that swing and get someone to push you who actually ran a real business, you might get a better idea of the real world (same goes for Hillary).

SOCIALISM VERSUS CAPITALISM IN THE USA, MORE AND MORE PEOPLE BELIEVE THAT SOCIALISM IS BEST!

Posted in Economic System with tags , , , , , , , , on April 9, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Stunning and shocking as it may be to most “older” Americans, the younger population is UNSURE which system is better.

Part of the problem (a shocking part) is that only 45% of Americans know what the term “SOCIALIST” means. The majority considered someone a SOCIALIST, because he possesses good “social” skills! So this entire survey may be way off due to the lack of understanding by the average citizen of the meaning of the term.

Got to blame the school system again!

My suggestion, go to CUBA, OR VENEZUELA OR RUSSIA and live there for a year or two to help your decision process.

Only 53% of American adults believe capitalism is better than socialism.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national survey found that 20% disagree and say socialism is better. Twenty-seven percent (27%) are not sure which is better.

Adults under 30 are essentially evenly divided: 37% prefer capitalism, 33% socialism, and 30% are undecided. Thirty-somethings are a bit more supportive of the free-enterprise approach with 49% for capitalism and 26% for socialism. Adults over 40 strongly favor capitalism, and just 13% of those older Americans believe socialism is better.

Investors by a 5-to-1 margin choose capitalism. As for those who do not invest, 40% say capitalism is better while 25% prefer socialism.

There is a partisan gap as well. Republicans – by an 11-to-1 margin – favor capitalism. Democrats are much more closely divided: Just 39% say capitalism is better while 30% prefer socialism. As for those not affiliated with either major political party, 48% say capitalism is best, and 21% opt for socialism.

The question posed by Rasmussen Reports did not define either capitalism or socialism

It is interesting to compare the new results to an earlier survey in which 70% of Americans prefer a free-market economy. The fact that a “free-market economy” attracts substantially more support than “capitalism” may suggest some skepticism about whether capitalism in the United States today relies on free markets.

Other survey data supports that notion. Rather than seeing large corporations as committed to free markets, two-out-of-three Americans believe that big government and big business often work together in ways that hurt consumers and investors.

Fifteen percent (15%) of Americans say they prefer a government-managed economy, similar to the 20% support for socialism. Just 14% believe the federal government would do a better job running auto companies, and even fewer believe government would do a better job running financial firms.

Most Americans today hold views that can generally be defined as populist while only seven percent (7%) share the elitist views of the Political Class.

Wow what a difference 50 years makes!

WELCOME TO THE NEW SOCIALIST STATES OF AMERICA.

INSTANT SOLUTION TO ALL THE FINANCIAL PROBLEMS IN THE USA, GUARANTEED! ALL PROBLEMS FIXED IN ONE DAY; UNEMPLOYMENT, AUTO INDUSTRY, MORTGAGES, ETC.

Posted in American Recovery And Reinvestment Act with tags , , , , on April 9, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

MagicianSome of the greatest financial minds have been tapped by our government to solve CRISIS after CRISIS.

There is the housing crisis; not having enough new homes being built or the bad mortgages not being paid.

There is the auto industry crisis; not enough cars being bought.

There is the unemployment crisis; people do not have jobs.

The government has decided that their way to solve all these CRISES is to spend a minimum $4 trillion dollars by throwing the money at the problems….none of which appear to have been fixed, nor do they appear to be forecast to be fixed any time soon.

A client proposed that the solution to all these CRISES could be made, with immediate impact, and with immediate beneficial results, spending the same $4 trillion more effectively.

We sent this memo around to our experts, and we are in unanimous agreement that the proposed $4 trillion that the government has spent, will not solve any of the CRISES, but instead we should take the advice from the email to solve all these CRISES immediately.

The proposal is something like this-easy to understand.

We randomly pick through a lottery 40 million people over the age of 50, and mandate that they must retire from the work force if they take the deal.

The deal would be that they get $1 million as a grant ($4 trillion?) in total.

Each person quitting leaves a job opening to be filled (40 million new jobs available-a historic record of job creation).

Unemployment problem fixed in one day.

With this money they will each buy a new car (40 million new cars ordered). NOTE, the USA sells about 10 million at the present rate annually.

ALL PRESENT UNSOLD CARS AT ALL DEALERS INSTANTLY SOLD.

The auto industry fixed in one day.

Each recipient will then either pay off his mortgage, or buy a new house with no mortgage.

Housing problem fixed, housing industry booms.

Bank mortgage problems, and housing problem fixed in one day.

The balance of the money, after the mortgage and housing and the car purchase goes into a retirement fund that invests in the market indexes, thus driving up the market on all this buying to DJIA 20,000 ????

The 401K’s fixed in a day.

All problems fixed in one day.

FORECLOSURES SOARING ALONG WITH CREDIT CARD DELINQUENCIES AND CUT-OFF CREDIT LINES

Posted in Real Estate with tags , , , , on April 9, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

ForeclosureMore U.S. consumers are falling behind on their mortgages, an indication that the housing market has yet to hit bottom, a top credit bureau executive told Reuters.

Dann Adams, president of U.S. Information Systems for Equifax Inc, reported that 7 percent of homeowners with mortgages were at least 30 days late on their loans in February, an increase of more than 50 percent from a year earlier.

He also said 39.8 percent of subprime borrowers were at least 30 days behind on their home mortgage loans, up 23.7 percent from last year.

“I’m trying to find optimism in these numbers, but I’m pretty hard pressed to do that,” Adams said, despite a recent burst of relatively positive news that has fueled hope that the U.S. housing market has turned a corner.

Late last month the Commerce Department reported that sales of newly built U.S. single-family homes rose to a 337,000 annual pace in February, the highest in 10 months.

Such news has boosted homebuilder shares, which are up about 45 percent since March 6, according to the Dow Jones U.S. Home Construction Index.

But Adams said the continued increase in mortgage delinquencies revealed in his data foreshadows more foreclosures, short sales and home price declines as homeowners default and banks then repossess the homes to sell them at deep discounts.

LIFELINE OF CREDIT

The Equifax data also reveals the impact of the rise in unemployment, which is at its highest rate since 1983. Employers cut 663,000 jobs in March, sending the national unemployment rate to 8.5 percent, the Labor Department said on Friday.

The rising jobless rate manifests itself in consumers’ increasing reliance on credit cards even as lenders try to restrict access to credit, Adams said.

Banks closed 8 million credit card accounts in February, reducing the number of open cards to 400 million from a July 2008 peak of 483 million, according to Equifax data.

Credit limits fell as well, to $3.27 trillion in February from a July 2008 peak of $3.59 trillion.

“Limits are falling because lenders are trying to minimize their losses,” Adams said.

The data shows that lenders have good reason to be wary. Bank card delinquency is at its highest level in the past five years. Some 4.5 percent of total balances on bank-issued credit cards were at 60 days past due in February, a 32.7 percent increase from a year earlier.

“Their credit card is their lifeline,” he said.

CHINA BECOMES NUMBER ONE IN AUTOMOBILE SALES IN THE WORLD!

Posted in Auto Industry with tags , , , , on April 8, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

china_car3OK, all their cars are the size of transistor radios, but still the sales for last month totaled over 1 million CHINESE vehicles .

The reason attributed to these sales results were that the government lowered TAXES on the autos and had less mandates as to their mileage performance and pollution controls. THEY WANTED CARS FOR PEOPLE TO AFFORD AND ENJOY.

Preliminary figures show auto sales in China reached about 1.03 million in March, exceeding U.S. sales for the third month in a row, state media reports said Wednesday.

Data from 14 major auto makers, accounting for roughly 90 percent of total sales, totaled 1.026 million, the Shanghai Securities News and other state-run newspapers said, citing Chen Bin, head of the Department of Industry at China’s main economic planning agency.

China CarFull industry data due to be released by the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers in coming days could push March auto sales in China, the world’s second-largest auto market, to a monthly record, the reports said.

China’s industry wide auto sales in March 2008 totaled 1.06 million, it said.

Americans bought 857,735 new vehicles in March, down 37 percent from the 1.36 million sold in the same month a year earlier, according to Autodata Corp.

But a 25 percent jump in U.S. sales from February raised hopes that the worst may be over for an industry battered by global economic malaise and financial catastrophe.

China is bound to eventually overtake the U.S. as the world’s largest auto market, and recent developments have accelerated that trend, with Chinese vehicle sales in January and February exceeding U.S. monthly sales for the first time ever.

China’s first-quarter sales may exceed those in the U.S., Chen told a shipbuilding conference in Beijing. Sales for the full year are forecast to exceed 10 million units for the first time ever.

With sales slumping elsewhere, China is one of the few bright spots for the ailing industry.

General Motors Corp. (GM) said Wednesday that it sold 137,004 vehicles in China in March, up 24.6 percent from a year earlier. Its mini vehicle joint venture, SAIC-GM-Wuling, saw sales surge 38 percent to 90,784 vehicles.

But China’s promise is also a curse for automakers facing ever intensifying competition among both domestic and foreign manufacturers.

On Wednesday Stuttgart, Germany-based Daimler AG (DAI) was launching its Smart model in China – the 39th market for the two-seater mini car. Other automakers are also planning launches ahead of and during the April 20-28 Shanghai Auto Show.

“The confidence in China is back,” said Klaus Maier, president and CEO of Daimler’s Mercedes-Benz (China) Ltd.

While he said Mercedes expects double digit growth in China’s luxury car segment, the industry focus now is mainly on smaller and more fuel-efficient vehicles likely to appeal to frugal families, rather than big sedans.

To help spur auto sales, the government halved taxes on purchases of small autos and is spending 5 billion yuan (about $730 million) on subsidies for purchases of light trucks and minivans in the countryside, where most of its 1.3 billion people live.

Those policies, part of a plan to boost 10 strategically vital industries singled out for special support, helped push China’s vehicle sales up 25 percent in February from a year earlier.

But Zhang Xin, an analyst at Guotai Junan Securities, in Beijing, cautioned against reading too much into volatile monthly figures.

“Sales may be surpassing the U.S., but at the same time profits are being squeezed due to the lower prices of the smaller cars,” Zhang said.

CITIES AND BUSINESSES ARE PRINTING THEIR OWN CURRENCIES – WHAT A GREAT IDEA!

Posted in Uncategorized with tags , , on April 7, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Dollar PanicThe dollar is not only being attacked by China, Russia and Iran as a means of settling debts, but now by cities and businesses all over America as they start to issue their own currencies.

The process is really nothing new, but it is becoming more and more in use than ever before as a means to stimulate local shopping at local businesses.

The process is really simple, and you may have already used this new currency without realizing it when you purchased a gift certificate from a store at a discount, and gave it to someone as a present, for instance.

The process is simple. You buy $1 worth of the “currency” that can be used at a particular business or a group of businesses (such as any stores at a mall), for say $.90 and thus get a 10% discount and spend the full dollar value at the selected stores.

I just got a $50 certificate for $25 to use at a group of restaurants. That is a better deal than outright buying the dinners directly.

So the “currencies” not only work, but they are better than using the dollars directly. Why use the dollars directly?

This is a great idea that can catch on big time!

All cities can thus issue these currencies at a discount, and the buyers get a great deal at redeeming the currency at face value at local businesses.

The indirect bad thing is that the businesses are offering a discount on their normal pricing so will they do better, or worse-will they even survive?

Only a free market could come up with such ideas?

With the government programs in place now, you pay $1 and get 90 cents worth or product for instance.

What a difference there is between the government and the free markets!

BUSINESS HATES SOCIALIST POLICIES AND MICRO-MANAGEMENT

Posted in Auto Industry, Government with tags , , , , , , on April 7, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Segway CarFirst there was the fear spread by our President advising that there is a CRISIS, in just about every aspect of our economy.

(Photo of government mandated future transportation.)

In fact there was a speech I no longer remember in which I believe that he used that word more than 20 times. Everything was a CRISIS, and he had the answer to that CRISIS, to every matter defined as a CRISIS.

Now keep in mind that everything in our economy was defined as a CRISIS, no matter what it was; bank capital shortages, bad loans, predatory lenders, high oil prices, low oil prices, no inflation, high inflation, high government deficit spending, the falling dollar, growing unemployment, GM rescue, insurance companies writing new policies or paying old ones, new organizing rules for unions, executive pay, Mexico free trade…on and on and on.

Everything was a CRISIS; nice scary talk by our fearless leader.

But, have no fear fellow Americans, there was a one size fit all solution to every conceivable CRISIS. That solution was to spend, spend and spend your children s and grandchildren’s future income.

The solution was needed and immediately necessary, it had to be voted on right away, without reading, without further comment-TRUST ME, was the mantra of our fearless leader.

And so, as we all remember, the CONGRESS voted on a massive bill which nobody read.Barack Obama

It is expected that its present total impact will be a minimum of $12. 5 TRILLION over its life. That by the way is the value of the entire output of all the goods and serviced of the USA, in a year.

That is approximately equal to almost the output of all the G20, members ( for instance Russia’s total output is $1.5 Trillion).

However, there was catch, a catch that nobody knew about because nobody read the bill. In fact I tried to see it in final form and as much as I tried all I got was certain versions on the Internet, making it difficult to decide which was the final bill.

The final bill, the one that Congress voted for, contained a few surprises that in effect were that the government would now run the businesses that took any money from the government.

Now keep in mind, that our new President, (as described by Joe Scarborough on his morning TV show today) has never had a job at a business, has never had to run a business and deal with the myriad of government meddlers ranging from local zoning to licensing, to all the other matters of daily managing of a business. he never had a paycheck from a real business, never.

Now he was going to tell the most sophisticated financial institution in the world how to run their business. He was going to tell them how to wind down their derivatives, and he fired the CEO of GM on the air, by saying so. The board of directors did not fire him, our President did!

Then, the government advised that GM would be building cars for which technology was not yet invented for, while stopping the realistic expansion of the availability of electricity, and outright stating that electric rates would rise dramatically for all users due to their mandates and initiatives.

The government (make that Barney Frank and Chris Dodd) also proposed what salaries, what bonuses would be paid to recipients of government money, and special taxes of 90% were proposed on bonuses.

Now something is starting to happen. The recipients of the government money, now read the bill-they read the conditions of doing business with the devil , sorry I meant the government.

The recipients want to give back the loans, or pay back the loans early and are being arm twisted to not pay the loans back!

In a free market, business attracts key employees by offering attractive pay, or bonuses or other perks to get the best people. In a new government run business model, such incentives do not exist.

For instance under the government model, a successful business that offers a $1 salary to an employee and unlimited bonus tied to financial performance, is penalized as he will be taxed at crazy confiscatory rates on his bonus.

For instance, the new employee making $1 billion in profits for the employer, and being rewarded with a bonus of 5% of the profit or $50 million, would have to pay 90% in taxes, under the government program of being employed by a recipient of government largess.

On the other hand, the government does not impose such a tax if the employee was paid $50 million in a guaranteed salary, and $1 in bonus!

So working for a government, at a company which has received government funds can be a better deal for a slacker, since his salary is guaranteed. But all the highly motivated employees will work elsewhere.

The government is using a Socialist type of compensation-equal pay for all slackers, as usual, and that is starting to become clear to businesses who want to be free of the government restrictions on how to run a business.

The banks, the companies taking government money are learning the hard way to Not do business with the government as they will be burdened by the usual slow moving and non-motivational policies of a bureaucracy, and will make that business not competitive with others.

As in the case of GM, we saw a failure of the company to exist on its own and causing an even greater and more expense bailout than a pure bankruptcy reorganization would have provided, not to mention that it is now a government run zombie company.

Socialism and free enterprise just do not mix, and the sooner our government gets it, the sooner will we see an economic recovery in the USA.

FORECLOSURES SOARING ALONG WITH CREDIT CARD DELINQUENCIES AND CUT-OFF CREDIT LINES

Posted in Loans, Real Estate with tags , , , , on April 7, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

More U.S. consumers are falling behind on their mortgages, an indication that the housing market has yet to hit bottom, a top credit bureau executive told Reuters.

Dann Adams, president of U.S. Information Systems for Equifax Inc, reported that 7 percent of homeowners with mortgages were at least 30 days late on their loans in February, an increase of more than 50 percent from a year earlier.

He also said 39.8 percent of subprime borrowers were at least 30 days behind on their home mortgage loans, up 23.7 percent from last year.

“I’m trying to find optimism in these numbers, but I’m pretty hard pressed to do that,” Adams said, despite a recent burst of relatively positive news that has fueled hope that the U.S. housing market has turned a corner.

Late last month the Commerce Department reported that sales of newly built U.S. single-family homes rose to a 337,000 annual pace in February, the highest in 10 months.

Such news has boosted homebuilder shares, which are up about 45 percent since March 6, according to the Dow Jones U.S. Home Construction Index.

But Adams said the continued increase in mortgage delinquencies revealed in his data foreshadows more foreclosures, short sales and home price declines as homeowners default and banks then repossess the homes to sell them at deep discounts.

LIFELINE OF CREDIT

The Equifax data also reveals the impact of the rise in unemployment, which is at its highest rate since 1983. Employers cut 663,000 jobs in March, sending the national unemployment rate to 8.5 percent, the Labor Department said on Friday.

The rising jobless rate manifests itself in consumers’ increasing reliance on credit cards even as lenders try to restrict access to credit, Adams said.

ForeclosureBanks closed 8 million credit card accounts in February, reducing the number of open cards to 400 million from a July 2008 peak of 483 million, according to Equifax data.

Credit limits fell as well, to $3.27 trillion in February from a July 2008 peak of $3.59 trillion.

“Limits are falling because lenders are trying to minimize their losses,” Adams said.

The data shows that lenders have good reason to be wary. Bank card delinquency is at its highest level in the past five years. Some 4.5 percent of total balances on bank-issued credit cards were at 60 days past due in February, a 32.7 percent increase from a year earlier.

“Their credit card is their lifeline,” he said.

IS FORD SMARTER THAN GM? It has also smartly repaid its debt by $9 BILLION

Posted in Auto Industry with tags , , , , on April 6, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

DETROIT – Ford Motor Co (NYSE:F) has reduced its automotive debt by 38 percent, or $9.9 billion, part of a series of moves to bolster its finances amid a deep industry downturn, sending its shares up more than 11 percent.

F 3.64 +0.39
Chart for FORD MOTOR CO
GM 2.24 +0.14
Chart for GEN MOTORS

The debt reduction, which Ford estimates will trim its annual cash interest expense by more than $500 million, is the latest evidence that Ford is powering ahead of domestic rivals General Motors Corp (NYSE:GM) and Chrysler in restructuring to survive the lowest U.S. auto sales in three decades.

Ford, the only U.S. automaker that has not sought emergency U.S. government loans, is using $2.4 billion in cash and 468 million shares of its common stock to reduce its outstanding automotive debt by $9.9 billion from $25.8 billion at the end of 2008.

Ford was also the first to reach an agreement with the United Auto Workers union that would slash cash payments for its retiree health care. GM and Chrysler remain in discussions with the UAW to restructure their remaining obligations into a retiree health-care fund.

“As with our recent agreements with the UAW, Ford continues to lead the industry in taking the decisive actions necessary to weather the current downturn and deliver long-term profitable growth,” Ford Chief Executive Alan Mulally said in a statement.

Ford, through its finance arm Ford Motor Credit, used $1 billion in cash to buy back $2.2 billion of debt at 47 cents on the dollar, and $1.1 billion in cash to purchase $3.4 billion of unsecured notes.

In addition, $4.3 billion of Ford’s 4.25 percent senior convertible notes were tendered by April 3, when a debt restructuring offer closed. Ford will use $344 million to pay a cash premium to noteholders who tendered.

Ford, which borrowed $23 billion in late 2006 secured with most of its remaining assets including the familiar blue oval logo, has tried to restructure its debt to slash financing costs at a time of plunging sales and tight credit.

GM, which has been operating with $13.4 billion of government loans since the start of the year, is under pressure to reach sweeping concessions with bondholders and the UAW by June 1. The Obama administration has said the alternative would be a government-controlled bankruptcy.

Ford’s shares were up more than 11 percent at $3.62 on the New York Stock Exchange.

1963 CONGRESSIONAL RECORD OF THE STATED GOALS OF THE COMMUNIST TAKEOVER OF AMERICA; Similar to Democratic Goals TODAY ?

Posted in Uncategorized with tags , , , , , , on April 4, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Nikita KruschevIs there some hint of an answer in this for the future of America…..read it see if there are similarities happening TODAY.

Communist Goals (1963) Congressional Record–Appendix, pp. A34-A35 January 10, 1963

Current Communist Goals EXTENSION OF REMARKS OF HON. A. S. HERLONG, JR. OF FLORIDA IN THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES Thursday, January 10, 1963 .

Mr. HERLONG. Mr. Speaker, Mrs. Patricia Nordman of De Land, Fla., is an ardent and articulate opponent of communism, and until recently published the De Land Courier, which she dedicated to the purpose of alerting the public to the dangers of communism in America.

1. U.S. acceptance of coexistence as the only alternative to atomic war.

2. U.S. willingness to capitulate in preference to engaging in atomic war.

3. Develop the illusion that total disarmament [by] the United States would be a demonstration of moral strength.

4. Permit free trade between all nations regardless of Communist affiliation and regardless of whether or not items could be used for war.

5. Extension of long-term loans to Russia and Soviet satellites.

6. Provide American aid to all nations regardless of Communist domination.

7. Grant recognition of Red China. Admission of Red China to the U.N.

8. Set up East and West Germany as separate states in spite of Khrushchev’s promise in 1955 to settle the German question by free elections under supervision of the U.N.

9. Prolong the conferences to ban atomic tests because the United States has agreed to suspend tests as long as negotiations are in progress.

10. Allow all Soviet satellites individual representation in the U.N.

11. Promote the U.N. as the only hope for mankind. If its charter is rewritten, demand that it be set up as a one-world government with its own independent armed forces. (Some Communist leaders believe the world can be taken over as easily by the U.N. as by Moscow. Sometimes these two centers compete with each other as they are now doing in the Congo.)

12. Resist any attempt to outlaw the Communist Party.

13. Do away with all loyalty oaths.

14. Continue giving Russia access to the U.S. Patent Office.

15. Capture one or both of the political parties in the United States.

16. Use technical decisions of the courts to weaken basic American institutions by claiming their activities violate civil rights.

17. Get control of the schools. Use them as transmission belts for socialism and current Communist propaganda. Soften the curriculum. Get control of teachers’ associations. Put the party line in textbooks.

18. Gain control of all student newspapers.

19. Use student riots to foment public protests against programs or organizations which are under Communist attack.

20. Infiltrate the press. Get control of book-review assignments, editorial writing, policy-making positions.

21. Gain control of key positions in radio, TV, and motion pictures.

22. Continue discrediting American culture by degrading all forms of artistic expression. An American Communist cell was told to “eliminate all good sculpture from parks and buildings, substitute shapeless, awkward and meaningless forms.”

23. Control art critics and directors of art museums. “Our plan is to promote ugliness, repulsive, meaningless art.”

24. Eliminate all laws governing obscenity by calling them “censorship” and a violation of free speech and free press.

25. Break down cultural standards of morality by promoting pornography and obscenity in books, magazines, motion pictures, radio, and TV.

26. Present homosexuality, degeneracy and promiscuity as “normal, natural, healthy.”

27. Infiltrate the churches and replace revealed religion with “social” religion. Discredit the Bible and emphasize the need for intellectual maturity, which does not need a “religious crutch.”

28. Eliminate prayer or any phase of religious expression in the schools on the ground that it violates the principle of “separation of church and state.”

29. Discredit the American Constitution by calling it inadequate, old-fashioned, out of step with modern needs, a hindrance to cooperation between nations on a worldwide basis.

30. Discredit the American Founding Fathers. Present them as selfish aristocrats who had no concern for the “common man.”

31. Belittle all forms of American culture and discourage the teaching of American history on the ground that it was only a minor part of the “big picture.” Give more emphasis to Russian history since the Communists took over.

32. Support any socialist movement to give centralized control over any part of the culture–education, social agencies, welfare programs, mental health clinics, etc.

33. Eliminate all laws or procedures which interfere with the operation of the Communist apparatus.

34. Eliminate the House Committee on Un-American Activities.

35. Discredit and eventually dismantle the FBI.

36. Infiltrate and gain control of more unions.

37. Infiltrate and gain control of big business.

38. Transfer some of the powers of arrest from the police to social agencies. Treat all behavioral problems as psychiatric disorders which no one but psychiatrists can understand [or treat].

39. Dominate the psychiatric profession and use mental health laws as a means of gaining coercive control over those who oppose Communist goals.

40. Discredit the family as an institution. Encourage promiscuity and easy divorce.

41. Emphasize the need to raise children away from the negative influence of parents. Attribute prejudices, mental blocks and retarding of children to suppressive influence of parents.

42. Create the impression that violence and insurrection are legitimate aspects of the American tradition; that students and special-interest groups should rise up and use ["]united force["] to solve economic, political or social problems.

43. Overthrow all colonial governments before native populations are ready for self-government.

44. Internationalize the Panama Canal.

45. Repeal the Connally reservation so the United States cannot prevent the World Court from seizing jurisdiction over domestic problems. Give the World Court jurisdiction] over nations and individuals alike.

SECRET AGENDA OF THE ADMINISTRATION TO CONTROL BANKS?

Posted in Banks, Government, Loans with tags , , , , , , , on April 4, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Hibernia Bank DestructionThe government bailout of the banks was to save the nation from a financial disaster, or was it?

By:  STUART VARNEY

I must be naive. I really thought the administration would welcome the return of bank bailout money. Some $340 million in TARP cash flowed back this week from four small banks in Louisiana, New York, Indiana and California. This isn’t much when we routinely talk in trillions, but clearly that money has not been wasted or otherwise sunk down Wall Street’s black hole. So why no cheering as the cash comes back?

My answer: The government wants to control the banks, just as it now controls GM and Chrysler, and will surely control the health industry in the not-too-distant future. Keeping them TARP-stuffed is the key to control. And for this intensely political president, mere influence is not enough. The White House wants to tell ‘em what to do. Control. Direct. Command.

It is not for nothing that rage has been turned on those wicked financiers. The banks are at the core of the administration’s thrust: By managing the money, government can steer the whole economy even more firmly down the left fork in the road.

If the banks are forced to keep TARP cash — which was often forced on them in the first place — the Obama team can work its will on the financial system to unprecedented degree. That’s what’s happening right now.

Here’s a true story first reported by my Fox News colleague Andrew Napolitano (with the names and some details obscured to prevent retaliation). Under the Bush team a prominent and profitable bank, under threat of a damaging public audit, was forced to accept less than $1 billion of TARP money. The government insisted on buying a new class of preferred stock which gave it a tiny, minority position. The money flowed to the bank. Arguably, back then, the Bush administration was acting for purely economic reasons. It wanted to recapitalize the banks to halt a financial panic.

Fast forward to today, and that same bank is begging to give the money back. The chairman offers to write a check, now, with interest. He’s been sitting on the cash for months and has felt the dead hand of government threatening to run his business and dictate pay scales. He sees the writing on the wall and he wants out. But the Obama team says no, since unlike the smaller banks that gave their TARP money back, this bank is far more prominent. The bank has also been threatened with “adverse” consequences if its chairman persists. That’s politics talking, not economics.

Think about it: If Rick Wagoner can be fired and compact cars can be mandated, why can’t a bank with a vault full of TARP money be told where to lend? And since politics drives this administration, why can’t special loans and terms be offered to favored constituents, favored industries, or even favored regions? Our prosperity has never been based on the political allocation of credit — until now.

Which brings me to the Pay for Performance Act, just passed by the House. This is an outstanding example of class warfare. I’m an Englishman. We invented class warfare, and I know it when I see it. This legislation allows the administration to dictate pay for anyone working in any company that takes a dime of TARP money. This is a whip with which to thrash the unpopular bankers, a tool to advance the Obama administration’s goal of controlling the financial system.

Scary is it not?

BANK STABILIZATION PLAN, DOES NOT REQUIRE ANY TAXPAYER OR GOVERNMENT FUNDS! BANKS OR INSURANCE COMPNIESE CAN ALL USE THIS PLAN!

Posted in Uncategorized with tags , , , , , , on April 3, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Federal Reserve Board BuildingWe have watched in awe (horror?), as the Treasury, Congress and their financial advisers have attempted to rescue banks and insurance giant AIG.

The entire attempt at stabilizing the banks and the Insurance giant was based on simply giving them funds that approximated their losses and those funds could be unending.

There is a better way, and it does not require one cent of government funds (taxpayer funds) to achieve stability in the banking industry and the insurance industry.

We have provided the plan outlined below to select members of Congress and CEO’s of key banks in the hope that they consider it as a substitute to the phenomenal and unending cash black hole that is currently the plan.

BANK STABILIZATION PLAN

NO GOVERNMENT FUNDS TO BE UTILIZED

BANK RESCUE PLAN FOR THE UNITED STATES AND ANY COUNTRY

NO CASH FUNDS ARE NECESSARY TO FUND THIS PROGRAM

JUST THE FULL FAITH AND CREDIT OF THE GOVERNMENT

RE: BANK STABILIZATION PROGRAM

This memorandum is prepared after an examination of the proposed “rescue” announced by the Treasury Secretary and after evaluation of all the proposed means of dealing with the bank’s problem loans and future capital deficiencies.

THE ANNOUNCED PROGRAM IS NOT ONLY COSTLY TO THE TAXPAYERS, TO THE TREASURY, BUT HAS NO GUARANTEE OF SUCCESS TO EVER GET ANY MONEY BACK, WHILE THIS PROPOSED ALTERNATIVE PROGRAM DESCRIBED HERE, COSTS NOTHING AND CAN BE INSTANTLY MORE EFFECTIVE, THUS CAUSING THE ENTIRE WORLD’S FINANCIAL SYSTEMS TO STABILIZE.

Our group consists of seasoned businessmen and investment professionals involved in private investment banking/consulting engaged in the acquisition, valuation and structuring of over 3,700 businesses since 1985. This total includes valuations of banks, manufacturing businesses, wholesale distribution, printing, contracting, brokerage of securities and real estate, retail and trucking companies.

We have been intrigued to see the significant funds committed to the “rescue” of banks and investment banks, when no such funds are actually necessary to affect the necessary stabilization.

In order to understand the simple principles of the program, it will be necessary to outline the “financial impact” of the problem as it exists in the financial markets, and the necessary means to quickly (almost instantly) establish order in the markets and revive normal lending at all levels.

The description of the BANK STABILIZATION described herein, excludes any management changes or other means that the parties may wish to utilize in the future relating to the institutions participating in the program.

THIS PLAN ONLY DEALS WITH THE MECHANICS OF SETTING UP THE NECESSARY MEANS TO ACCOMPLISH THE STABILIZATION.

The proposed program is applicable to ANY financial institution, any asset size and, any country can utilize its principal operational means of accomplishing the necessary stabilization of the institution in question.

W will attempt to provide a short yet detailed synopsis of the simplicity of the plan based on a hypothetical example of a hypothetical FAILING or failed BANK and how it would “play out” in stabilizing it without the use of ANY government funds.

BASIC PRINCIPLES OF BANKING AND LENDING

All private ( non-government) banks in the world, operate on the same business model.

The descriptions herein are for basic illustrative purposes and not meant to be full legal compliant disclosures of any type. These illustrations and descriptions are made for purposes of an illustrative explanation of the Stabilization Plan.

A bank charter is issued to a bank to operate as a bank; taking in deposits, making loans, etc., after it organizes itself with an initial capital base of the amount deemed necessary for its planned operations.

The starting capital is the amount of a “cushion” to protect its depositors’ assets in the event of operating losses which could wipe out their deposits. Typically this capital amount is a ratio of maximum liabilities of some type which the bank needs to adhere to in order to provide a degree of safety to the deposits entrusted to it.

For instance, a bank with $1 BILLION in deposits may be considered a relatively secure bank, if it’s capital is $100 million: or 10% of its assets. Often the smaller the bank, the larger percentage of capital it may have as it relates to its total assets, while large international banks may be able to have smaller ratios. This is just often a desire to have less leverage by the smaller banks which are typically locally owned and do not engage in much lending outside their immediate trade area and may further have “conservative” lending policies and a local board of directors, allowing less loans to be outstanding.

However, no matter what the size of the bank, they all make loans and take on collateral they deem adequate for the variety of the loans that are made.

When a loan is not repaid, or its scheduled payments are not made according to its terms, the bank then determines how such loan is ACCOUNTED FOR. It becomes a collection matter, a foreclosure or an asset seizure of the underlying collateral or a restructuring of some type to bring the loan into compliance or to have it repaid.

Each of the above actions causes the bank to record a profit or loss; typically a loss of some type. The bank tries to minimize the anticipated loss through its own means designed typically to recover the maximum amount of the outstanding loan amount.

This LOSS, then directly affects its capital base, by lowering it in the amount of the loss. Any profits that the bank makes that year are first added to the capital base and often “cushion” the losses incurred in its lending; that is typical banking.

The net result is that the profits are greater than the losses, and the bank is profitable for that year. If on the other hand the bank’s losses are greater than its profits from all its loan activities, the CAPITAL of the bank decreases and its RATIO gets smaller; it’s cushion is smaller and it becomes a weaker bank with less capital.

When a decrease in capital occurs, the bank may consider what means it will use to bring up its capital to a higher amount. Typically, when the markets functioned normally, the bank may simply solicit its existing stockholders for more capital, or go into the capital markets and have an investment bank arrange a private placement of more capital.

This may no longer be the case even if temporarily.

The government has become the new investor of LAST RESORT, without having it become so.

CURRENT BANK RESCUE PROBLEMS

The government has “invested” into banks whose losses are now decreasing their capital or has arranged quickie mergers with stronger banks.

However, these arrangements under either option have resulted in the government having to PAY billions to the surviving institutions to have them properly capitalized, since they may incur or have incurred losses decreasing their capital and their capital ratio.

At this time the actual amount that may be paid is unknown. Speculations by experts predict trillions and trillions more that can possibly be paid out.

ALL THESE PAYMENTS WILL INCREASE THE DEFICIT AND THE FEDERAL DEBT, BUT THE RESCUE DOES NOT HAVE TO COST ANYTHING!

Under the present method of “rescuing banks”, the government in effect balances the loss or decrease in a bank’s capital by providing it with REPLACEMENT CAPITAL in the amount equal to its loss or projected loss.

It becomes the only willing investor in a bank; a BAD bank.

This replacement capital is taking many forms such as loans, stock purchases and the like, with no real ability to know when it may, if ever, get the money back.

Furthermore, the government is then considering burdening itself further by acquiring the “toxic assets” that caused the losses at the banks, often being unable to establish a value on those assets, thus causing further losses to the government of an unknown future amount.

The losses to the government could continue on and on without end under the present program as more banks are closed, merged and each one requires the government to assist in its sale, closure or merger.

Under the present system the problems may and could continue, theoretically forever.

NONE OF THIS IS NECESSARY TO CAUSE THE TOTAL STABILIZATION OF THE BANK OR BANKS IN QUESTION.

THE BANK STABILIZATION PROGRAM

NO OUTLAY OF GOVERNMENT FUNDS AND A PROFIT LATER

There is no pressing need for the government to immediately inject funds into money losing banks and jump at every one that is losing money or decreasing its capital base. They can continue operate without great fanfare and without ANY GOVERNMENT FUNDS.

This by no way implies that the management should not be put under government supervision/oversight, but that is a different matter to be dealt with separately and not germane to the explanation of the STABILIZATION PROGRAM.

Simply put, the program relies on the good faith and credit of the GOVERNMENT as the central important component of its success. The USA and other large governments are capable of executing this plan in their own countries, avoiding ANY direct payments being necessary by the government.

The program is the quick fix that the financial markets expected but did not get from TREASURY or anyone else. They need a quick fix and understandable solution, NOW.

The STABILIZATION PROGRAM works like this:

When a bank is identified as needing financial help, the TREASURY provides it with a TREASURY PREFERRED CAPITAL NOTE, to supplement its existing capital.

The NOTES are in the amount needed to shore up its regulatory capital ratio to the necessary amount. The NOTES are either payable (at face value) or exchangeable into stock at a future date if that work better for the TREASURY.

In effect, the TREASURY makes money on this program as pure profit in either case; exchanging the notes for stock or getting paid (since it invested no funds).

NO GOVERNMENT CASH is provided or needed, since the troubled bank needs no cash to continue to operate. There is no run on its deposits, and it can operate in the ordinary course of business with Federal supervision that the TREASURY can devise for its officers, directors and otherwise.

The bank does not have to make asset valuations, the bank does not have to sell any assts to the government-the bank does not close. It operates business as usual with the new CAPITAL NOTES making up the capital shortfall.

There is no need to pay out millions, billions or otherwise to rescue every bank that may need to be rescued. The NOTES are issued by the TREASURY…there is no need to have the financial markets worry about ANY bank.

As the banks continue, they may have losses or write-offs or finally establish derivative values as they are “worked off” in the ordinary course of business, but none of this costs the government or taxpayers any money.

THE TREASURY CAPITAL NOTES provide the needed capital base and capital ratio for the bank, any bank, without any need to pay out the proposed billions and trillions.

Of course the normal banking business needs to continue with lending standards that are appropriate, but there is no run on the bank and its future assured due to the Government NOTES replacing the diminished capital of the banks.

Suggestions are that the amount of the provided NOTES as a percent of capital of the bank could be the future calculation of what percent of the bank’s stock they can be exchanged into. For example, if a bank has $1 billion in capital now but receives $250 million in NOTES, those notes may be convertible/exchangeable into 25% of its stock.

THE GOOD PART-PAYBACK AND PROFITS FOR THE GOVERNMENT

Under this program, the government puts out no funds, but will be either repaid at the face value when able, or it will convert the NOTES into shares that can or will be sold in the market again creating a PROFIT to the government.

If one considers that there could be $1-$2 TRILLION in NOTES to be issued, the PROFIT to the government can be in that same amount in the future, as the industry stabilizes.

We always wanted to do something special for the USA, as citizens and this may be it….for our President and its elected members of the Congress to use if they so choose.

This financial crisis needs to be dealt with, and until there is a stable banking system that is understood by the financial markets all over the world, there will be continuing financial instability.

The announcement of this program, by the USA, will allow all the other “problem” countries to “clone” this process in their countries, and consider the USA as the world leader that it is..

This may make friends at countries now facing melt-downs slowly, many of which will want to warm up to the USA due to this financial solution being presented by the USA. The world is waiting for our country for leadership.

The viability of the worlds most important countries financial and banking systems are at stake. We hope that this will aid the stabilization of the markets.

LIVE LIKE A DECADENT DICTATOR – 10 WORST DICTATORS OF RECENT TIMES

Posted in Government with tags , , , , , , , , , , , on April 2, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

There could be a lot said that some of the names of the top 10 should be replaced, but then again feel free to add to the list others, and let’s try to avoid adding George Bush or Ronald Reagan to the list, please.
Kim Jong-il

A revolving gold statue, pink champagne and a “Pleasure Brigade” of nubile retainers all feature in Times Money’s list of history’s most decadent dictators. While their people suffered, these men – and sometimes their wives and children – agonized over how best to spend their ill-gotten gains…

1. Kim Jong-il, “Dear Leader” of North Korea since 1994. The son of the communist state’s “Great Leader”, Kim Jong-il has super-expensive tastes, with 17 palaces and collections of hundreds of cars and about 20,000 video tapes. On one state visit to Russia, he reportedly had live lobsters airlifted daily to his armoured private train. He is believed to spend around $650,000 a year on Hennessy VSOP cognac and maintains an entourage of young lovelies known as the “Pleasure Brigade”

2. Ferdinand Marcos, President of the Philippines, 1965 – 1986. The Second World War freedom-fighter turned kleptocrat secreted billions of dollars in overseas accounts. His wife Imelda, however, was the big spender, leaving 888 handbags and 1060 pairs of shoes in the Malacanang presidential palace when the family fled mob justice after Marcos was deposed. Her pricier purchases included the $51 million Crown Building and $61 million Herald Centre in New York and art by Michelangelo and Botticelli

3. Nicolae Ceausescu, President of Romania, 1967 – 1989. The “Genius of the Carpathians” was congratulated (by telegram) by Salvador Dali on his excesses, which included his use of a kingly sceptre. Despite an official salary of just $3,000, he found the cash for 15 palaces, a superb car collection, yachts, fine art and bespoke suits. Tens of thousands of homes were demolished to make space for his 1,100-room, 480-chandelier Palace of the Parliament in the capital, Bucharest

4. Saparmurat Niyazov, President of Turkmenistan, 1990 – 2006. The President for Life and “Turkmenbashi”, or Father of all Turkmen, was at the centre of an awesome cult of personality. His vanity projects included a £6 million revolving gold-plated statue of himself in the country’s capital, Ashgabat. He shifted around £3 billion to overseas accounts, renamed the month of January (after himself), banned beards and ordered that his musings be displayed alongside the Koran in mosques

5. Idi Amin, President of Uganda, 1971 – 1979. The “Lord of All the Beasts of the Earth and Fishes of the Sea”, “Emperor of Uganda” and “King of Scotland” awarded himself the VC, or Victorious Cross, and CBE, or Conqueror of the British Empire. He also spent millions on a super-lavish lifestyle – maintaining a reported 30 mistresses as well as five wives and fathering at least 43 children. A typically mad-capped project was the creation of a personal bodyguard of bagpipe-playing 6ft 4in Scotsmen

6. Joseph Stalin, leader of the Soviet Union, 1922 – 1953. The “Gardener of Human Happiness” and “Brilliant Genius of Humanity” was celebrated in his lifetime in thousands of stylised statues and monuments erected across the Soviet Union – many of which were moved or destroyed in later “de-Stalinisation” drives. He also had a taste for palaces, booze and cigars and preferred to travel by armour-plated private train with a Tsarist-style entourage

7. Mohammed Reza Pahlavi, Shah of Persia, 1941 – 1979. The “King of Kings” and “Sun of the Aryans” spent a reported $100 million on celebrations for the 2,500th anniversary of the Persian monarchy in 1971, serving breast of peacock on Limoges china to dignitaries in a 160-acre tent city at Persepolis – close to poor villages. His superb collection of sports cars can be seen at the National Car Museum of Iran, alongside custom models by Mercedes-Benz and Porsche for his son, the Crown Prince

8. Saddam Hussein, President of Iraq, 1979 – 2003. The Baathist leader with a fondness for gold-plated bathroom fittings, and Kalashnikovs, rebuilt Babylon on kitsch rather than authentic lines, stamping each brick of the “reconstruction” with his own name in the manner of Nubachadnezzar, the ancient Babylonian king and conqueror of Jerusalem. His playboy eldest son Uday, meanwhile, kept a private zoo with lions and cheetahs at his Baghdad residence and owned a collection of 1,200 luxury cars

9. Mobutu Sese Soku, President of Zaire, 1965 – 1997. Siphoning his country’s wealth into Swiss bank accounts was a speciality of the “All-Powerful Warrior”, whose personal fortune was estimated at $5 billion in 1984 – then equivalent to Zaire’s national debt. Mobutu’s extravagances included palaces and pink champagne, yachts and shopping trips to Paris by chartered Concorde. His second wife Bobi Ladawa rivalled Imelda Marcos as a compulsive spender – with a reported 1,000-dress wardrobe

10. Suharto, President of Indonesia, 1967 – 1998. The former bank clerk embezzled more money than any other leader in history, according to Transparency International. In 1999, Time Asia put his family’s wealth at $15 billion. Playboy son “Tommy” was the biggest-profile spender – lavishing money on cars and clothes and buying a majority stake in Lamborghini before a conviction for murder in 2002. Suharto’s daughter “Tutut”, meanwhile, spent $100,000 on one shopping flight to the US.

This a certainly a list that can go to 100 easily, feel free to add your own favorites to the list.

FILTHY RICH – 10 HIGHEST PAID HEDGE FUND MANAGERS

Posted in Uncategorized with tags , , , on April 1, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Ok, so it is excessive, but is this the real free market at work?

The top 25 managers averaged $464 million each in compensation for their work last year, some made more; James Simons was paid $2.5 BILLION last year. Bruce Kovner, a former NYC cab driver made $640 million last year (still drives the cab-just kidding, now a real CASH CAB.)

Would you turn down a $1 billion payment if it was offered to you by your board of directors for outstanding performance?

What would Barney Frank do with such bonuses?

Keep in mind that a billion does not go far these days, it is two AIRBUS 380 airplanes, that’s all you get.
10 highest paid hedge fund managers of 2008

10 highest paid hedge fund managers of 2008

Hedge Fund Manager
Stock markets across the world may have tanked last year but that didn’t stop the top performing hedge fund managers from making themselves a huge pile of cash.

In fact, the top 25 made £8.275 billion or an average of $464 million (£331m) each in 2008, according to research by Alpha Magazine. That is enough money to pay for 30 hospitals, employ more than 300,000 nurses for a year, or vaccinate every child in poverty from five preventable diseases.

Anyway, here is the list of the top 10, and how they made their millions (billions).

(Earnings have been calculated by adding each managers’ share of their firm’s performance and management fees, and gains on their own capital invested in their funds.)

1. James Simons, Renaissance Technologies Corp: $2.5 billion

Mr Simons generated an 80 per cent return for investors at his 20-year-old Medallion Fund last year. His exact investment strategy is a mystery but he says that it is based on rapid-fire trading across almost every possible market. Alpha Magazine says that his fund relies on computer-driven programs designed by an army of more than 100 Phds.

2. John Paulson, Paulson & Co: $2 billion

Mr Paulson also appears in our list of the 10 biggest winners of the financial crisis after he made millions in 2007 short selling risky pools of collateralized debt obligations. Last year he continued short selling and continued to make huge profits. However, Mr Paulson has felt the effects of the slump in the US housing market. Last year, he cut the asking price for his 6,800-square-foot Southampton, New York, home twice, by a total of $5.6 million, to $13.9 million.

3. John Arnold, Centaurus Energy: $1.5 billion

Energy trading John Arnold achieved an 80 per cent return at his Houston-based fund last year. The former Enron trader, who manages $5 billion in assets, deals mostly in natural gas, using futures and other derivatives.

4. George Soros, Soros Fund Management: $1.1 billion

Mr Soros’s $21 billion Quantum Endowment Fund eventually rose 8 per cent last year but it was a close call. In an annual review he published in the Financial Times, Mr Soros said he was losing money until bet correctly that the US dollar would fall. Mr Soros made his name and millions of pounds by betting against Sterling in the early 1990s.

5. Raymond Dalio, Bridgewater Associates: $780 million

Mr Dalio’s $38.6 billion Pure Alpha Strategy fund made 8.7 percent last year after a series of successful currency trades. Mr Dalio went long on the Japanese yen and shorted certain credit positions and emerging markets.

Although Mr Dalio’s is unlikely to suffer personally, he is very pessimistic about the future of the world economy. In his year-end letter, he wrote: “One of the most important lessons for those who did badly in 2008 is to have a ‘timeless and universal investment’ perspective” and to “understand what happened in long-ago times (e.g., the 1930s) and faraway places (like Japan and Latin America).”

6. Bruce Kovner, Caxton Associates: $640 million

Bruce Kovner, a former NY cab driver, made 13 per cent last year (after a 30 percent performance fee) on his $4.3 billion Caxton Global Investments fund . Most of the profit came from fixed-income investments.

7. David Shaw, D.E. Shaw & Co: $275 million

D.E. Shaw & Co.’s $13 billion macro fund was up about 7 per cent last year, offsetting most of the loss from its flagship $15 billion multistrategy fund, which ended 2008 down 8 to 9 percent.

8. Stanley Druckenmiller, Duquesne Capital Management: $260 million

Mr Druckenmiller made his money last year by reducing both his long and short exposures, instead building up cash. By the end of the year, he had cut his exposure to equities frop $5.8 billion to just $745 million. He also correctly bet on the dollar staging recovery last summer.

9. David Harding, Winton Capital Management: $250 million

Mr David Harding rode a number of trends — both up and down — including large moves in bonds, equity indexes and commodities (especially energy and grains), according to Alpha magazine. His $5.5 billion flagship Winton Futures Fund rose 21 per cent.

10. Alan Howard, Brevan Howard Asset Management: $250 million

Mr Howard’s Multi-Strategy fund made a 21 per cent gain in 2008 mostly from interest rate and foreign exchange arbitrage.

COMPETING WITH $.69 HOURLY WAGES IN INDIA AND $.74 CENT HOURLY WAGES IN CHINA

Posted in Employment, Government with tags , , , , , on March 30, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Barack ObamaOur fearless leader, President Obama has recently said in a speech, that …” we will emerge from …this…stronger than ever.”

He was saying that due to his STIMULUS package, and the fact that the US Economy will “turn around”, it will be stronger than ever.

Too bad that he did not take ECONOMICS 101; he would have known better than to make such a contradictory statement.

Let us do a short analysis of the “prediction” that was made.

The President wants to raise taxes on employers generally;

on the bad oil companies he wants their profits;

on multinational corporations headquartered in the USA he wants to punish them;

raise the FICA tax to infinity; force health insurance coverage and expenses on everybody;

wants soldiers to pay for their own medical treatment; wants to triple the cost of electricity;

wants to bail out only the losers in industry; wants to saddle the employers in costly industries to keep operating with loans from taxpayers;India

wants to limit income and levy 90% taxes on excess earnings; wants every business to be unionized;

wants illegal aliens not to be rounded up; wants us all to buy American more costly goods only;

stopped free trade with Mexico in violation of the Treaty;

wants to force GM to make cars that nobody wants to buy; wants to use clean coal (a techology that has not yet been invented;

Need we say more?

How are any of these initiatives going to make the USA stonger?

The workers in the USA, are competing with wages of $.69 cents an hour in INDIA, and $.74 cents an hour in China. How are they going to emerge stronger, exactly?

To be perfectly honest with you, I and all of us, would rather pay $.99 cents for a comb from China or India, than the same comb being manufactured in the USA, by a UNION organized company, with wages and benefits at $75 an hour, and a $10 price for the comb.

So let’s get real. We want prices to be as low as possible, that will only happen through global sourcing, which is a natural progression.

TATA MOTORS, an Indian auto manufacturer, just announced that their new car will sell for $1,995 at the dealer.

In the USA, due to the endless mandates, rules, regulations and needless litigation, $1,995 is the price for the airbags in a USA built car.

Again, I would rather buy the INDIAN manufactured car at $1,995, than just an airbag to inflate in the USA for the same amount.

We need to stop focusing on the wage rates, but rather help our businesses compete in the global marketplace on other products.

But instead, our government is consistently suing our most important industies, exporters, etc….they wanted to collapse Microsoft, Exxon, AT & T, the nuclear industry, they want to stop oil exploration and stop coal production.

The government wants to protect industries which operate in unsustainable cost structures, instead opf fostering devevopment of new indusrties that the entrepreneors are so cable of in the USA.

What would happen if the USA levied a simple 10% tax on businesses?

What if they gave out tax credits for employers who hire new employees?

What is a new business paid no taxes for the first 5 years?

Instead, the government is doing everything possible to force businesses to move its production overseas, and then it complains that the production moved overseas.

Let’s see, if my worker cost me $.69 cents an hour, or $75 dollars an hour, where will I hire new employees?

Only the government would argue with that….so if we do not wake up soon, we will be paying those wages here, because people will have few options for employment. Learn Chinese…oh wait, you do not have to since Chinese schools are teching English so the next generation of Chinese, will be English speaking.

In the next decade, the largest English speaking country in the world will be CHINA.

Can you guess which will be the largest Spanish speaking country in 2050?

GM: GOVERNMENT MOTORS, OR HOW TO SCREW UP A PRIVATE BUSINESS IN 4 MONTHS OR LESS

Posted in Auto Industry with tags , , , , , , on March 30, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Government CarIt was inevitable, so there is no surprise that GM is tanking under the “oversight” of the government. What can the government operate when it tanked its very own cafeteria?

The company needs to change its name to GOVERNMENT MOTORS, the new name for the acronym, GM.

Just imagine what a car designed by the government would look like…????? See above.

We were against the type of forced loans foisted upon this company late last year, since all we saw was in effect a bailout of the union benefits, and we saw no benefit to the company or its stockholders.

It was such nonsense to believe that this company could survive by getting loans, and then it was to have a magical plan for its success that was to be presented in a few months?

Part of the problem was that this was a failed company to begin with.

The Board of Directors of this firm should all be sued and hung out to dry since they have violated their fiduciary responsibilities, and thus maybe the stockholders can recover though their director liability insurance polices, the money lost under the inept leadership of, Nosferatu-aka, Rick Wagoner.

Mr. Nosferatu, came on board in 2000. The GM stock was trading at $70 a share.

This year it hit $1.27. Would you as a board keep the guy responsible?

The GM Board has got to be the dumbest group in history.

Since 2004, the company has not made a profit, and since then has recorded a staggering loss of $82 BILLION.Rick Wagoner

When would have this inept leader be terminated by a still more inept Board?

One year of losses, two, maybe three? No, they still had no plans to terminate Nosferatu after 5 years of the staggering losses of $82 BILLION!

So, at least he is gone, but so is the company.

It is naive to think that any restructuring other than a total re-make of the employee contracts, as well as the redesign of its cars and a shrinking of the entire business model can accomplish a “turnaround”.

If the normal free market forces were allowed to work their usual magic, the company would have entered into a reorganization, it could have changes its contracts, and possibly re-emerged as a new slimmer and healthy business.

There is no way that it can now…unless it takes the steps immediately.

Or it is too late?

With government running the company, mandating what cars to build and at what prices, and with what contracts, will we see a competitive business ready to survive on its own, or just another ZOMBIE, headed by another Nosferatu, the living dead?

Also, it is fair competition for other car makers to have to compete on uneven terms with this out of date dinosaur?

Barack ObamaThe US government is now standing behind their warranties issued on the sold cars, it is standing behind its sales contracts, and it is forcing the company to build cars that nobody wants to buy, such a tiny dangerous hybrids or cars to be operating using technology that is not yet invented.

PLEASE SOMEBODY STOP THE GOVERNMENT FROM INVESTING OUR MONEY INTO MONEY LOSING ENTERPRISES AND HELP THE FEW PROFITABLE BUSINESSES TO SURVIVE INSTEAD.

Business needs tax incentives, lower taxes and all the tax breaks possible in order to jump start the economy.

Government Motors, needs to make it on its own using the “system” that was designed for that purpose: the Bankrupcy Law.

No investor would ever consider investing in or much less providing a loan to a business as troubled as GM. Common sense says that one invests or gives loans only to a well run profitable business, not a “dog with fleas”.

So far, against every known common sense ideology, our government had instead, ONLY given loans or grants or handouts solely to BAD businesses-businesses that would never be granted loans in the free marketplace.

NEW MEANING OF MARKET TERMINOLOGY – REFLECTION OF THE TIMES

Posted in Humor with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on March 27, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Ok, we all need a little levity for all that doom and gloom, so here it is, go ahead and add your own meanings too.

It’s time to update the meaning of all those acronyms and well known “market” and investor related terms to the market situation TODAY.

Here are the updated meanings of “OLD” terms, so as to bring them up to date:

CEO- Chief Embezzlement Officer

CFO- Chief Fraud Officer

VALUE INVESTING- The art of buying a stock at the low point, and selling out lower.

BULL MARKET- Random and irrational market movement up, to bring in fools to buy a stock.

BEAR MARKET- Time during which the kids get no allowance, wife gets no presents and husband gets no….. (you figure it out).

P/E RATIO- Percentage of market investors wetting their pants.

BROKER- What my broker has made me (you).

STANDARD & POOR- Life for all for now, and especially those AIG bonus recipients.

STOCK ANALYST- The guy who just downgraded the best stock you owned.

STOCK SPLIT- What your ex and the lawyers do with your remaining assets.

FINANCIAL PLANNER- A person with a disconnected phone.

REFINANCE- Something you do over and over until you get a bailout.

MARKET CORRECTION- The name for the day you get back into the market.

CASH FLOW- The movement your money makes going down the toilet.

YAHOO- A stock market investor, a 401K owner, believer in the STIMULUS actually working.

WINDOWS- What you jump from if you bought YAHOO stock at $240 a share.

CAPITAL GAINS- What happens to your capital, when the government gives you some.

WORKING CAPITAL LOAN- Where you work to get capital to finally qualify for a loan.

ABL LENDING- All but lost, asset based loans definition before foreclosure.

BANK LOAN OFFICER- someone who now wants to know if you actually exist.

LBO- Loosing big by over-borrowing.

ESOP- Employees stopping of pay.

BUYOUT- Your planned buy of the business you work for is now” out”.

NYSE- Real meaning: “Now Your Savings Eliminated”.

BIG BOARD- The size of the plywood on the boarded-up windows of local businesses.

SENIOR DEBT FINANCING- Term used to borrow money from your elderly parents.

PETRO DOLLARS- The value is now similar to “PEDRO DOLLARS”.

EU- Europe Underwater.

GM- “Gimme, more”.

CHAPTER 10- The amount of chapters you have to read before the bankruptcy chapter.

BAILOUT- What you do with any stock that gets one of these.

TOXIC ASSET- The term for your mortgage loan at your bank.

PRIME RATE- The lending rate that does not apply to you.

BANK LENDING RATE- The amount a pawn-shop charges for lending you money.

LIBOR -Last Income Before Orderly Liquidation.

FED FUNDS- Dollars which were fed to hungry banks who did not want them.

AIG- Authorized Income Gobbler.

SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY- Someone in the secretarial pool, at the Treasury.

FANNIE and FREDDY- Your crazy aunt/ uncle who lost $2 trillion dollars, and did not know it.

BARNEY FRANK- Barney the dinosaur, coming clean on his opinions on Larry King Live.

OPEC- Overblown Pompous Energy Cabal

CLEAN COAL- Two words that are not related to each other.

WIND ENERGY- A term similar to “hot air”.

TRADERS- See, “traitors”.

ALTERNATIVE ENERGY- A type of energy that does not yet exist on EARTH.

and finally, one of our favorites,

INSTITUTIONAL INVESTORS- Investors, now institutionalized in a nut house.

Please feel free to add some of your own favorites.

SAME PROBLEMS, SAME DUMB SOLUTIONS; WILL WE EVER STOP REPEATING THE MISTAKES AND LEARN FROM HISTORY?

Posted in Government with tags , , , , , , on March 27, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Rome ForumSometimes it is so easy to figure out what to do, by just looking at previous mistakes made by others, in a similar situation.

That’s easy….don’t do what they did, right?

But then again, or educational system does not put much emphasis on history, much less world history so that we do not make the same mistakes by simply looking back at the mistakes made under similar circumstances.

This is advice that should be heeded, according to the problems faced in a previous similar situation as we are experiencing today as stated by a Senator at that previous time:

” The budget should be balanced, the treasury should be refilled, public debt should be reduced, the arrogance of officialdom should be tempered and controlled, and the assistance to foreign lands should be curtailed lest we become bankrupt as a country.

People should be forced to work and stop depending on the government for subsistence.”

Which Senator said this you ask?

When did he say that?

The answer may surprise you……as this was said to the ROMAN SENATE in 55 B.C., by Cicero pleading with the Roman Senators.

Rome went forward with all the matters outlined and its power waned, its rule subsided as it was eventually burned and sacked by the Huns who were allowed to line on its borders without ever assimilating.

We need to look at history to find the simple answers, too bad nobody remembers their history lesson, so we are bound to experiment with tried and disastrous policies of the past, which failed over and over when the basic principles of good government were forgotten.

HOW EXCESSIVE GOVERNMENT KILLED ANCIENT ROME
Bruce Bartlett

Beginning with the third century B.C. Roman economic policy started to contrast more and more sharply with that in the Hellenistic world, especially Egypt. In Greece and Egypt Rome Forumeconomic policy had gradually become highly regimented, depriving individuals of the freedom to pursue personal profit in production or trade, crushing them under a heavy burden of oppressive taxation, and forcing workers into vast collectives where they were little better than bees in a great hive. The later Hellenistic period was also one of almost constant warfare, which, together with rampant piracy, closed the seas to trade. The result, predictably, was stagnation.

Stagnation bred weakness in the states of the Mediterranean, which partially explains the ease with which Rome was able to steadily expand its reach beginning in the 3rd century B.C. By the first century B.C., Rome was the undisputed master of the Mediterranean. However, peace did not follow Rome’s victory, for civil wars sapped its strength.

Free-Market Policies under Augustus

Following the murder of Caesar in 44 B.C., his adopted son Octavian finally brought an end to internal strife with his defeat of Mark Antony in the battle of Actium in 31 B.C. Octavian’s victory was due in no small part to his championing of Roman economic freedom against the Oriental despotism of Egypt represented by Antony, who had fled to Egypt and married Cleopatra in 36 B.C. As Oertel (1934: 386) put it, “The victory of Augustus and of the West meant . . . a repulse of the tendencies towards State capitalism and State socialism which might have come to fruition . . . had Antony and Cleopatra been victorious.”

The long years of war, however, had taken a heavy toll on the Roman economy. Steep taxes and requisitions of supplies by the army, as well as rampant inflation and the closing of trade routes, severely depressed economic growth. Above all, businessmen and traders craved peace and stability in order to rebuild their wealth. Increasingly, they came to believe that peace and stability could only be maintained if political power were centralized in one man. This man was Octavian, who took the name Augustus and became the first emperor of Rome in 27 B.C., serving until 14 A.D.

Although the establishment of the Roman principate represented a diminution of political freedom, it led to an expansion of economic freedom. Augustus clearly favored private enterprise, private property, and free trade (Oertel 1934: 386; Walbank 1969: 23). The burden of taxation was significantly lifted by the abolition of tax farming and the regularization of taxation (Rostovtzeff 1957: 48). Peace brought a revival of trade and commerce, further encouraged by Roman investments in good roads and harbors. Except for modest customs duties (estimated at 5 percent), free trade ruled throughout the Empire. It was, in Michael Rostovtzeff’s words, a period of “almost complete freedom for trade and of splendid opportunities for private initiative” (Rostovtzeff 1957: 54).

Tiberius, Rome’s second emperor (14-37 A.D.), extended the policies of Augustus well into the first century A.D. It was his strong desire to encourage growth and establish a solid middle class (bourgeoisie), which he saw as the backbone of the Empire. Oertel (1939: 232) describes the situation:

The first century of our era witnessed a definitely high level of economic prosperity, made possible by exceptionally favorable conditions. Within the framework of the Empire, embracing vast territories in which peace was established and communications were secure, it was possible for a bourgeoisie to come into being whose chief interests were economic, which maintained a form of economy resting on the old city culture and characterized by individualism and private enterprise, and which reaped all the benefits inherent in such a system. The State deliberately encouraged this activity of the bourgeoisie, both directly through government protection and its liberal economic policy, which guaranteed freedom of action and an organic growth on the lines of “laissez faire, laissez aller,” and directly through measures encouraging economic activity.

Of course, economic freedom was not universal. Egypt, which was the personal property of the Roman emperor, largely retained its socialist economic system (Rostovtzeff 1929, Milne 1927). However, even here some liberalization did occur. Banking was deregulated, leading to the creation of many private banks (Westermann 1930: 52). Some land was privatized and the state monopolies were weakened, thus giving encouragement to private enterprise even though the economy remained largely nationalized. [2]

Food Subsidies

The reason why Egypt retained its special economic system and was not allowed to share in the general economic freedom of the Roman Empire is that it was the main source of Rome’s grain supply. Maintenance of this supply was critical to Rome’s survival, especially due to the policy of distributing free grain (later bread) to all Rome’s citizens which began in 58 B.C. By the time of Augustus, this dole was providing free food for some 200,000 Romans. The emperor paid the cost of this dole out of his own pocket, as well as the cost of games for entertainment, principally from his personal holdings in Egypt. The preservation of uninterrupted grain flows from Egypt to Rome was, therefore, a major task for all Roman emperors and an important base of their power (Rostovtzeff 1957: 145).

Rome ForumThe free grain policy evolved gradually over a long period of time and went through periodic adjustment. The genesis of this practice dates from Gaius Gracchus, who in 123 B.C. established the policy that all citizens of Rome were entitled to buy a monthly ration of corn at a fixed price. The purpose was not so much to provide a subsidy as to smooth out the seasonal fluctuations in the price of corn by allowing people to pay the same price throughout the year.

Under the dictatorship of Sulla, the grain distributions were ended in approximately 90 B.C. By 73 B.C., however, the state was once again providing corn to the citizens of Rome at the same price. In 58 B.C., Clodius abolished the charge and began distributing the grain for free. The result was a sharp increase in the influx of rural poor into Rome, as well as the freeing of many slaves so that they too would qualify for the dole. By the time of Julius Caesar, some 320,000 people were receiving free grain, a number Caesar cut down to about 150,000, probably by being more careful about checking proof of citizenship rather than by restricting traditional eligibility.

Under Augustus, the number of people eligible for free grain increased again to 320,000. In 5 B.C., however, Augustus began restricting the distribution. Eventually the number of people receiving grain stabilized at about 200,000. Apparently, this was an absolute limit and corn distribution was henceforth limited to those with a ticket entitling them to grain. Although subsequent emperors would occasionally extend eligibility for grain to particular groups, such as Nero’s inclusion of the Praetorian guard in 65 A.D., the overall number of people receiving grain remained basically fixed.

The distribution of free grain in Rome remained in effect until the end of the Empire, although baked bread replaced corn in the 3rd century. Under Septimius Severus (193-211 A.D.) free oil was also distributed. Subsequent emperors added, on occasion, free pork and wine. Eventually, other cities of the Empire also began providing similar benefits, including Constantinople, Alexandria, and Antioch (Jones 1986: 696-97).Rome Relief

Nevertheless, despite the free grain policy, the vast bulk of Rome’s grain supply was distributed through the free market. There are two main reasons for this. First, the allotment of free grain was insufficient to live on. Second, grain was available only to adult male Roman citizens, thus excluding the large number of women, children, slaves, foreigners, and other non-citizens living in Rome. Government officials were also excluded from the dole for the most part. Consequently, there remained a large private market for grain which was supplied by independent traders (Casson 1980).

Taxation in the Republic and Early Empire

The expansion of the dole is an important reason for the rise of Roman taxes. In the earliest days of the Republic Rome’s taxes were quite modest, consisting mainly of a wealth tax on all forms of property, including land, houses, slaves, animals, money and personal effects. The basic rate was just .01 percent, although occasionally rising to .03 percent. It was assessed principally to pay the army during war. In fact, afterwards the tax was often rebated (Jones 1974: 161). It was levied directly on individuals, who were counted at periodic censuses.

As Rome expanded after the unification of Italy in 272 B.C., so did Roman taxes. In the provinces, however, the main form of tax was a tithe levied on communities, rather than directly on individuals. This was partly because censuses were seldom conducted, thus making direct taxation impossible, and also because it was easier to administer. Local communities would decide for themselves how to divide up the tax burden among their citizens (Goffart 1974: 11).

Tax farmers were often utilized to collect provincial taxes. They would pay in advance for the right to collect taxes in particular areas. Every few years these rights were put out to bid, thus capturing for the Roman treasury any increase in taxable capacity. In effect, tax farmers were loaning money to the state in advance of tax collections. They also had the responsibility of converting provincial taxes, which were often collected in-kind, into hard cash. [6] Thus the collections by tax farmers had to provide sufficient revenues to repay their advance to the state plus enough to cover the opportunity cost of the funds (i.e., interest), the transactions cost of converting collections into cash, and a profit as well. In fact, tax farming was quite profitable and was a major investment vehicle for wealthy citizens of Rome (Levi 1988: 71-94).

Augustus ended tax farming, however, due to complaints from the provinces. Interestingly, their protests not only had to do with excessive assessments by the tax farmers, as one would expect, but were also due to the fact that the provinces were becoming deeply indebted. A.H.M. Jones (1968: 11) describes the problems with tax farmers:

Rome Palantine HillOppression and extortion began very early in the provinces and reached fantastic proportions in the later republic. Most governors were primarily interested in acquiring military glory and in making money during their year in office, and the companies which farmed the taxes expected to make ample profits. There was usually collusion between the governor and the tax contractors and the senate was too far away to exercise any effective control over either. The other great abuse of the provinces was extensive moneylending at exorbitant rates of interest to the provincial communities, which could not raise enough ready cash to satisfy both the exorbitant demands of the tax contractors and the blackmail levied by the governors.

As a result of such abuses, tax farming was replaced by direct taxation early in the Empire (Hammond 1946: 85). The provinces now paid a wealth tax of about 1 percent and a flat poll or head tax on each adult. This obviously required regular censuses in order to count the taxable population and assess taxable property. It also led to a major shift in the basis of taxation (Jones 1974: 164-66). Under the tax farmers, taxation was largely based on current income. Consequently, the yield varied according to economic and climactic conditions. Since tax farmers had only a limited time to collect the revenue to which they were entitled, they obviously had to concentrate on collecting such revenue where it was most easily available. Because assets such as land were difficult to convert into cash, this meant that income necessarily was the basic base of taxation. And since tax farmers were essentially bidding against a community’s income potential, this meant that a large portion of any increase in income accrued to the tax farmers.

By contrast, the Augustinian system was far less progressive. The shift to flat assessments based on wealth and population both regularized the yield of the tax system and greatly reduced its “progressivity.” This is because any growth in taxable capacity led to higher taxes under the tax farming system, while under the Augustinian system communities were only liable for a fixed payment. Thus any increase in income accrued entirely to the people and did not have to be shared with Rome. Individuals knew in advance the exact amount of their tax bill and that any income over and above that amount was entirely theirs. This was obviously a great incentive to produce, since the marginal tax rate above the tax assessment was zero. In economic terms, one can say that there was virtually no excess burden (Musgrave 1959: 140-59). Of course, to the extent that higher incomes increased wealth, some of this gain would be captured through reassessments. But in the short run, the tax system was very pro-growth.

The Rise and Fall of Economic Growth

Rome’s pro-growth policies, including the creation of a large common market encompassing the entire Mediterranean, a stable currency, and moderate taxes, had a positive impact on trade. Keith Hopkins finds empirical support for this proposition by noting the sharp increase in the number of known shipwrecks dating from the late Republic and early Empire as compared to earlier periods (Hopkins 1980: 105-06). The increase in trade led to an increase in shipping, thus increasing the likelihood that any surviving wrecks would date from this period. Rostovtzeff (1957: 172) indicates that “commerce, and especially foreign and inter-provincial maritime commerce, provided the main sources of wealth in the Roman Empire.”

Hopkins (1980: 106-12) also notes that there was a sharp increase in the Roman money supply which accompanied the expansion of trade. He further notes that this expansion of the money supply did not lead to higher prices. Interest rates also fell to the lowest levels in Roman history in the early part of Augustus’s reign (Homer 1977: 53). This strongly suggests that the supply of goods and services grew roughly in line with the increase in the money supply. There was probably also an increase in the demand for cash balances to pay taxes and rents, which would further explain why the increased money supply was non-inflationary.

During the early Empire revenues were so abundant that the state was able to undertake a massive public works program. Augustus repaired all the roads of Italy and Rome, restored the temples and built many new ones, and built many aqueducts, baths and other public buildings. Tiberius, however, cut back on the building program and hoarded large sums of cash. This led to a financial crisis in 33 A.D. in which there was a severe shortage of money. This shortage may have been triggered by a usury law which had not been applied for some years but was again enforced by the courts at this time (Frank 1935). The shortage of money and the curtailment of state expenditures led to a sharp downturn in economic activity which was only relieved when the state made large loans at zero interest in order to provide liquidity (Thornton and Thornton 1990).

Under Claudius (41-54 A.D.) the Roman Empire added its last major territory with the conquest of Britain. Not long thereafter, under Trajan (98-117 A.D.), the Empire achieved its greatest geographic expansion. Consequently, the state would no longer receive additional revenue from provincial tribute and any increase in revenues would now have to come from within the Empire itself. Although Rostovtzeff (1957: 91) credits the Julio-Claudian emperors with maintaining the Augustinian policy of laissez faire, the demand for revenue was already beginning to undermine the strength of the Roman economy. An example of this from the time of Caligula (37-41 A.D.) is recorded by Philo (20 B.C-50 A.D.):

Not long ago a certain man who had been appointed a collector of taxes in our country, when some of those who appeared to owe such tribute fled out of poverty, from a fear of intolerable punishment if they remained without paying, carried off their wives, and their children, and their parents, and their whole families by force, beating and insulting them, and heaping every kind of contumely and ill treatment upon them, to make them either give information as to where the fugitives had concealed themselves, or pay the money instead of them, though they could not do either the one thing or the other; in the first place, because they did not know where they were, and secondly, because they were in still greater poverty than the men who had fled [Yonge 1993: 610].

Inflation and Taxation

As early as the rule of Nero (54-68 A.D.) there is evidence that the demand for revenue led to debasement of the coinage. Revenue was needed to pay the increasing costs of defense and a growing bureaucracy. However, rather than raise taxes, Nero and subsequent emperors preferred to debase the currency by reducing the precious metal content of coins. This was, of course, a form of taxation; in this case, a tax on cash balances (Bailey 1956).

Throughout most of the Empire, the basic units of Roman coinage were the gold aureus, the silver denarius, and the copper or bronze sesterce. The aureus was minted at 40-42 to the pound, the denarius at 84 to the pound, and a sesterce was equivalent to one-quarter of a denarius. Twenty-five denarii equaled one aureus and the denarius was considered the basic coin and unit of account.

The aureus did not circulate widely. Consequently, debasement was mainly limited to the denarius. Nero reduced the silver content of the denarius to 90 percent and slightly reduced the size of the aureus in order to maintain the 25 to 1 ratio. Trajan (98-117 A.D.) reduced the silver content to 85 percent, but was able to maintain the ratio because of a large influx of gold. In fact, some historians suggest that he deliberately devalued the denarius precisely in order to maintain the historic ratio. Debasement continued under the reign of Marcus Aurelius (161-180 A.D.), who reduced the silver content of the denarius to 75 percent, further reduced by Septimius Severus to 50 percent. By the middle of the third century A.D., the denarius had a silver content of just 5 percent.

Interestingly, the continual debasements did not improve the Empire’s fiscal position. This is because of Gresham’s Law (“bad money drives out good”). People would hoard older, high silver content coins and pay their taxes in those with the least silver. Thus the government’s “real” revenues may have actually fallen. As Aurelio Bernardi explains:

At the beginning the debasement proved undoubtedly profitable for the state. Nevertheless, in the course of years, this expedient was abused and the [fn2]century of inflation which had been thus brought about was greatly to the disadvantage of the State’s finances. Prices were rising too rapidly and it became impossible to count on an immediate proportional increase in the fiscal revenue, because of the rigidity of the apparatus of tax collection.

At first, the government could raise additional revenue from the sale of state property. Later, more unscrupulous emperors like Domitian (81-96 A.D.) would use trumped-up charges to confiscate the assets of the wealthy. They would also invent excuses to demand tribute from the provinces and the wealthy. Such tribute, called the aurum corinarium, was nominally voluntary and paid in gold to commemorate special occasions, such as the accession of a new emperor or a great military victory. Caracalla (198-217 A.D.) often reported such dubious “victories” as a way of raising revenue. Rostovtzeff (1957: 417) calls these levies “pure robbery.”

Although taxes on ordinary Romans were not raised, citizenship was greatly expanded in order to bring more people into the tax net. Taxes on the wealthy, however, were sharply increased, especially those on inheritances and manumissions (freeing of slaves).

Occasionally, the tax burden would be moderated by a cancellation of back taxes or other measures. One such occasion occurred under the brief reign of Pertinax (193 A.D.), who replaced the rapacious Commodus (A.D. 176-192). As Edward Gibbon (1932: 88) tells us:Rome Archades

Though every measure of injustice and extortion had been adopted, which could collect the property of the subject into the coffers of the prince; the rapaciousness of Commodus had been so very inadequate to his extravagance, that, upon his death, no more than eight thousand pounds were found in the exhausted treasury, to defray the current expenses of government, and to discharge the pressing demand of a liberal donative, which the new emperor had been obliged to promise to the Praetorian guards. Yet under these distressed circumstances, Pertinax had the generous firmness to remit all the oppressive taxes invented by Commodus, and to cancel all the unjust claims of the treasury; declaring in a decree to the senate, “that he was better satisfied to administer a poor republic with innocence, than to acquire riches by the ways of tyranny and dishonor.”

State Socialism

Unfortunately, Pertinax was an exception. Most emperors continued the policies of debasement and increasingly heavy taxes, levied mainly on the wealthy. The war against wealth was not simply due to purely fiscal requirements, but was also part of a conscious policy of exterminating the Senatorial class, which had ruled Rome since ancient times, in order to eliminate any potential rivals to the emperor. Increasingly, emperors came to believe that the army was the sole source of power and they concentrated their efforts on sustaining the army at all cost.

As the private wealth of the Empire was gradually confiscated or taxed away, driven away or hidden, economic growth slowed to a virtual standstill. Moreover, once the wealthy were no longer able to pay the state’s bills, the burden inexorably fell onto the lower classes, so that average people suffered as well from the deteriorating economic conditions. In Rostovtzeff’s words, “The heavier the pressure of the state on the upper classes, the more intolerable became the condition of the lower” (Rostovtzeff 1957: 430).

At this point, in the third century A.D., the money economy completely broke down. Yet the military demands of the state remained high. Rome’s borders were under continual pressure from Germanic tribes in the North and from the Persians in the East. Moreover, it was now explicitly understood by everyone that the emperor’s power and position depended entirely on the support of the army. Thus, the army’s needs required satisfaction above all else, regardless of the consequences to the private economy.

With the collapse of the money economy, the normal system of taxation also broke down. This forced the state to directly appropriate whatever resources it needed wherever they could be found. Food and cattle, for example, were requisitioned directly from farmers. Other producers were similarly liable for whatever the army might need. The result, of course, was chaos, dubbed “permanent terrorism” by Rostovtzeff (1957: 449). Eventually, the state was forced to compel individuals to continue working and producing.

The result was a system in which individuals were forced to work at their given place of employment and remain in the same occupation, with little freedom to move or change jobs. Farmers were tied to the land, as were their children, and similar demands were made on all other workers, producers, and artisans as well. Even soldiers were required to remain soldiers for life, and their sons compelled to follow them. The remaining members of the upper classes were pressed into providing municipal services, such as tax collection, without pay. And should tax collections fall short of the state’s demands, they were required to make up the difference themselves. This led to further efforts to hide whatever wealth remained in the Empire, especially among those who still found ways of becoming rich. Ordinarily, they would have celebrated their new-found wealth; now they made every effort to appear as poor as everyone else, lest they become responsible for providing municipal services out of their own pocket.

The steady encroachment of the state into the intimate workings of the economy also eroded growth. The result was increasing feudalization of the economy and a total breakdown of the division of labor. People fled to the countryside and took up subsistence farming or attached themselves to the estates of the wealthy, which operated as much as possible as closed systems, providing for all their own needs and not engaging in trade at all. Meanwhile, much land was abandoned and remained fallow or fell into the hands of the state, whose mismanagement generally led to a decline in production.

Emperor Diocletian’s Reforms

By the end of the third century, Rome had clearly reached a crisis. The state could no longer obtain sufficient resources even through compulsion and was forced to rely ever more heavily on debasement of the currency to raise revenue. By the reign of Claudius II Gothicus (268-270 A.D.) the silver content of the denarius was down to just .02 percent (Michell 1947: 2). As a consequence, prices skyrocketed. A measure of Egyptian wheat, for example, which sold for seven to eight drachmaes in the second century now cost 120,000 drachmaes. This suggests an inflation of 15,000 percent during the third century (Rostovtzeff 1957: 471).

Finally, the very survival of the state was at stake. At this point, the Emperor Diocletian (284-305 A.D.) took action. He attempted to stop the inflation with a far-reaching system of price controls on all services and commodities. [10] These controls were justified by Diocletian’s belief that the inflation was due mainly to speculation and hoarding, rather than debasement of the currency. As he stated in the preamble to his edict of 301 A.D.:

Rome CeasarFor who is so hard and so devoid of human feeling that he cannot, or rather has not perceived, that in the commerce carried on in the markets or involved in the daily life of cities immoderate prices are so widespread that the unbridled passion for gain is lessened neither by abundant supplies nor by fruitful years; so that without a doubt men who are busied in these affairs constantly plan to control the very winds and weather from the movements of the stars, and, evil that they are, they cannot endure the watering of the fertile fields by the rains from above which bring the hope of future harvests, since they reckon it their own loss if abundance comes through the moderation of the weather [Jones 1970: 310].

Despite the fact that the death penalty applied to violations of the price controls, they were a total failure. Lactantius (1984: 11), a contemporary of Diocletian’s, tells us that much blood was shed over “small and cheap items” and that goods disappeared from sale. Yet, “the rise in price got much worse.” Finally, “after many had met their deaths, sheer necessity led to the repeal of the law.”

Diocletian’s other reforms, however, were more successful. The cornerstone of Diocletian’s economic policy was to turn the existing ad hoc policy of requisitions to obtain resources for the state into a regular system. [11] Since money was worthless, the new system was based on collecting taxes in the form of actual goods and services, but regularized into a budget so that the state knew exactly what it needed and taxpayers knew exactly how much they had to pay.

Careful calculations were made of precisely how much grain, cloth, oil, weapons or other goods were necessary to sustain a single Roman soldier. Thus, working backwards from the state’s military requirements, a calculation was made for the total amount of goods and services the state would need in a given year. On the other side of the coin, it was also necessary to calculate what the taxpayers were able to provide in terms of the necessary goods and services. This required a massive census, not only of people but of resources, especially cultivated land. Land was graded according to its productivity. As Lactantius (1984: 37) put it, “Fields were measured out clod by clod, vines and trees were counted, every kind of animal was registered, and note taken of every member of the population.”

Taxable capacity was measured in terms of the caput, which stood for a single man, his family, his land and what they could produce. [12] The state’s needs were measured in terms of the annona, which represented the cost of maintaining a single soldier for a year. With these two measures calculated in precision, it was now possible to have a real budget and tax system based entirely on actual goods and services. Assessments were made and resources collected, transported and stored for state use.

Although an army on the move might still requisition goods or services when needed, the overall result of Diocletian’s reform was generally positive. Taxpayers at least knew in advance what they were required to pay, rather than suffer from ad hoc confiscations. Also, the tax burden was spread more widely, instead of simply falling on the unlucky, thus lowering the burden for many Romans. At the same time, with the improved availability of resources, the state could now better plan and conduct its military operations.

In order to maintain this system where people were tied to their land, home, jobs, and places of employment, Diocletian transformed the previous ad hoc practice. Workers were organized into guilds and businesses into corporations called collegia. Both became de facto organs of the state, controlling and directing their members to work and produce for the state.

The Fall of Rome

Rome ArchseptimiusConstantine (308-37 A.D.) continued Diocletian’s policies of regimenting the economy, by tying workers and their descendants even more tightly to the land or their place of employment (Jones 1958). For example, in 332 he issued the following order:

Any person in whose possession a tenant that belongs to another is found not only shall restore the aforesaid tenant to his place of origin but also shall assume the capitation tax for this man for the time that he was with him. Tenants also who meditate flight may be bound with chains and reduced to a servile condition, so that by virtue of a servile condemnation they shall be compelled to fulfill the duties that befit free men [Jones 1970: 312].

Despite such efforts, land continued to be abandoned and trade, for the most part, ceased (Rostovtzeff 1926). Industry moved to the provinces, basically leaving Rome as an economic empty shell; still in receipt of taxes, grain and other goods produced in the provinces, but producing nothing itself. The mob of Rome and the palace favorites produced nothing, yet continually demanded more, leading to an intolerable tax burden on the productive classes. [13]

In the fifty years after Diocletian the Roman tax burden roughly doubled, making it impossible for small farmers to live on their production (Bernardi 1970: 55). [14] This is what led to the final breakdown of the economy (Jones 1959). As Lactantius (1984: 13) put it:

The number of recipients began to exceed the number of contributors by so much that, with farmers’ resources exhausted by the enormous size of the requisitions, fields became deserted and cultivated land was turned into forest.

Although Constantine made an effort to restore the currency, subsequent emperors resumed the debasement, resulting in renewed price inflation (West 1951). Apparently, Emperor Julian (360-63 A.D.) also refused to believe that the inflation was due to debasement, but rather was caused by merchants hoarding their stores. To prove his point, he sent his own grain reserves into the market at Antioch. According to Gibbon (1932: 801),

The consequences might have been foreseen, and were soon felt. The Imperial wheat was purchased by the rich merchants; the proprietors of land or of corn withheld from the city the accustomed supply; and the small quantities that appeared in the market were secretly sold at an advanced and illegal price.

Although he had been warned that his policies would not lower prices, but rather would exacerbate the shortage, Julian nevertheless continued to believe that his policy worked, and blamed complaints of its failure on the ingratitude of the people (Downey 1951).

In other respects, however, Julian was more enlightened. In the area of tax policy, he showed sensitivity and perception. He understood that the main reason for the state’s fiscal problem was the excessive burden of taxation, which fell unequally on the population. The wealthy effectively were able to evade taxation through legal and illegal measures, such as bribery. By contrast, the ordinary citizen was helpless against the demands of the increasingly brutal tax collectors.

Previous measures to ease the tax burden, however, were ineffective because they only relieved the wealthy. Constantine, for example, had sought to ease the burden by reducing the number of tax units–caputs–for which a given district was responsible. In practice, this meant that only the wealthy had any reduction in their taxes. Julian, however, by cutting the tax rate, ensured that his tax reduction was realized by all the people. He also sought to broaden the tax base by abolishing some of the tax exemptions which many groups, especially the wealthy, had been granted by previous emperors (Bernardi 1970: 59, 66).

Nevertheless, the revenues of the state remained inadequate to maintain the national defense. This led to further tax increases, such as the increase in the sales tax from 1 percent to 4.5 percent in 444 A.D. (Bernardi 1970: 75). However, state revenues continued to shrink, as taxpayers invested increasing amounts of time, effort and money in tax evasion schemes. Thus even as tax rates rose, tax revenues fell, hastening the decline of the Roman state (Bernardi 1970: 81-3). In short, taxpayers evaded taxation by withdrawing from society altogether. Large, powerful landowners, able to avoid taxation through legal or illegal means, began to organize small communities around them. Small landowners, crushed into bankruptcy by the heavy burden of taxation, threw themselves at the mercy of the large landowners, signing on as tenants or even as slaves. (Slaves, of course, paid no taxes.) The latter phenomenon was so widespread and so injurious to the state’s revenues, in fact, that in 368 A.D. Emperor Valens declared it illegal to renounce one’s liberty in order to place oneself under the protection of a great landlord (Bernardi 1970: 49).

In the end, there was no money left to pay the army, build forts or ships, or protect the frontier. The barbarian invasions, which were the final blow to the Roman state in the fifth century, were simply the culmination of three centuries of deterioration in the fiscal capacity of the state to defend itself. Indeed, many Romans welcomed the barbarians as saviors from the onerous tax burden.

RomeAlthough the fall of Rome appears as a cataclysmic event in history, for the bulk of Roman citizens it had little impact on their way of life. As Henri Pirenne (1939: 33-62) has pointed out, once the invaders effectively had displaced the Roman government they settled into governing themselves. At this point, they no longer had any incentive to pillage, but rather sought to provide peace and stability in the areas they controlled. After all, the wealthier their subjects the greater their taxpaying capacity.

In conclusion, the fall of Rome was fundamentally due to economic deterioration resulting from excessive taxation, inflation, and over-regulation. Higher and higher taxes failed to raise additional revenues because wealthier taxpayers could evade such taxes while the middle class–and its taxpaying capacity–were exterminated. Although the final demise of the Roman Empire in the West (its Eastern half continued on as the Byzantine Empire) was an event of great historical importance, for most Romans it was a relief.

__________________________________

© Pictures of Rome courtesy of Rome.info

The author is a Senior Fellow with the National Center for Policy Analysis.

References

Bailey, M.J. (1956) “The Welfare Cost of Inflationary Finance.” Journal of Political Economy 64(2): 93-110.

Bernardi, A. (1970) “The Economic Problems of the Roman Empire at the Time of Its Decline.” In Cipolla, C. (ed.) The Economic Decline of Empires, 16-83. London: Methuen.

GOODBYE, DOLLAR, HELLO WHAT???, DROPPING THE DOLLAR AND WORLD PRESTIGE

Posted in Monetary Policy with tags , , , , , , , , , , , on March 25, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Garbage DollarIt was inevitable; the value of the dollar as a world reserve currency is now in jeopardy as a result of the mindless social engineering and tinkering with the worlds most robust economy, and economic engine.

Think of it this way: if there is a lot of something, anything-apples, wheat, corn, oil, DOLLARS, its market value drops.

Well, our government is at work creating a plethora, an oversupply of DOLLARS created though the deficits and all the related out of control programs.

There will be dollars increasing by leaps and bounds all over, and as their supply becomes worth less, since if everyone has dollars, why would their value go up?

What this means is that today, if you want to buy something for $100, next month or next year, someone will want to get $110 for that same item since there are dollars everywhere.

Oh, that may also be $120 or $150, depending on the demand of the product which itself will carry a perceived value by consumers. It is sort of like the supply of $50 tickets to the world series….when there are no more tickets, it takes more dollars to buy one $50 ticket.

If the perception becomes that the dollar will fall in value, vendors, producers of goods and services will will demand to get more of the dollars for their product, as they perceive it having less value.

That is called inflation, that destroys the value of your savings, that destroys the value of your labor-the salary you get buys less goods and services as prices for everything go up.

It only gets worse.

China’s central bank on Monday proposed replacing the US dollar as the international reserve currency with a new global system controlled by the International Monetary Fund.

In an essay posted on the People’s Bank of China’s website, Zhou Xiaochuan, the central bank’s governor, said the goal would be to create a reserve currency “that is disconnected from individual nations and is able to remain stable in the long run, thus removing the inherent deficiencies caused by using credit-based national currencies”.

Analysts said the proposal was an indication of Beijing’s fears that actions being taken to save the domestic US economy would have a negative impact on China.

“This is a clear sign that China, as the largest holder of US dollar financial assets, is concerned about the potential inflationary risk of the US Federal Reserve printing money,” said Qu Hongbin, chief China economist for HSBC.

Although Mr Zhou did not mention the US dollar, the essay gave a pointed critique of the current dollar-dominated monetary system.

“The outbreak of the [current] crisis and its spillover to the entire world reflected the inherent vulnerabilities and systemic risks in the existing international monetary system,” Mr Zhou wrote.

China has little choice but to hold the bulk of its $2,000bn of foreign exchange reserves in US dollars, and this is unlikely to change in the near future.

To replace the current system, Mr Zhou suggested expanding the role of special drawing rights, which were introduced by the IMF in 1969 to support the Bretton Woods fixed exchange rate regime but became less relevant once that collapsed in the 1970s.

Today, the value of SDRs is based on a basket of four currencies – the US dollar, yen, euro and sterling – and they are used largely as a unit of account by the IMF and some other international organisations.

China’s proposal would expand the basket of currencies forming the basis of SDR valuation to all major economies and set up a settlement system between SDRs and other currencies so they could be used in international trade and financial transactions.

Countries would entrust a portion of their SDR reserves to the IMF to manage collectively on their behalf and SDRs would gradually replace existing reserve currencies.

Mr Zhou said the proposal would require “extraordinary political vision and courage” and acknowledged a debt to John Maynard Keynes, who made a similar suggestion in the 1940s.

What this means is that sometime in the future, if you want to get that cuddly toy from China, the one your three year old is screaming for, you have to possibly buy it in “Chindollars” (I made that name up), or whatever, and pay the exchange rate for that new currency. Your dollar is now at the mercy of the other currency’s value.

It still gets worse.

All foreign trade, all purchases of oil, foreign goods etc., will then also be settled in the new currency, which will be converted from the dollar, or you have to buy it, by selling your dollars.

Now what happens, when all the parents in america have to buy 50 million cuddly toys using Chindollars?

THEY HAVE TO SELL THE US DOLLARS TO DO SO, that’s what!.

What happens when a lot of people have to sell something, like their US DOLLARS to get Chindollars?

You got it; it GOES DOWN IN VALUE.

So, that is your short lesson to watch for the future value of the dollar.

I read that the administration said that “we will emerge from this stronger than ever!”.

Now how exactly will this action make the USA or its currency, the DOLLAR, stronger than ever?

VACANT MALLS, OFFICE BUILDINGS, INDUSTRIAL REAL ESTATE; THE NEXT BAILOUT OF REAL ESTATE AND INSURANCE COMPANIES ONCE AGAIN

Posted in Real Estate with tags , , , , , , , , on March 25, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Vacant MallDid you ever go to a mall where a few stores stood empty?

Did you get that funny feeling passing by the stuttered widows or “fake” window displays in the vacant store announcing that the merchandise in the window was from another, still open store?

Near my home is a mall like that.

Last year most of the interior stores have thinned out, with the anchor stores were still standing, but the interior of the mall was an echo chamber.

There were less and less shoppers other than those going directly to the anchor stores and then exiting out to the parking lot.

Not one of the closed stores has opened up as another chain store, nobody wants to open up a store, a boutique….nobody wants to take a chance on a new business in that mall.

I wondered how that mall owner was going to pay the mortgage on that property?

After inquiring further, I learned that this mall is owned by a large mall owner who is attempting to negotiate a better deal with its creditors, and has troubled assets on its balance sheet; other similar malls.

I learned that RETAIL SPENDING accounts for 70% of all consumer spending, and that 25%-30% of that accounts for the Holiday sales.

The better restaurant has closed, the only food in the food court is still being served by a McD’s, and several questionable food operations staffed by various foreigners who apparently own the places, hocking their specialty foods, many of which I could not pronounce.

The marry go round still operates, although often with one child on it going around and around to create the impression of some type of activity.

Tracking the ownership schematic….this mall owner is being financed mostly by debt that is owned by…..SURPRISE…….large insurance companies, most of which have not yet been bailed out by the government.

In fact, most malls, and commercial office buildings, are financed owned or in some typVacant Malle of JV project with insurance companies, who have done well over the years in owning such projects or being involved in financing them.

What happens though when the project does not generate enough cash to pay its mortgage loans?

It gets foreclosed, and the lender own it, that;s what happens.

GE is about to publish all the real estate it owns or is about to own…that will be the tip of the iceberg of the total coming to a head.

This is how it works: consumers who have been living off their credit cards, start running out of available credit….by the Christmas sales season this year, their credit lines will be tapped by financing the purchases of day old pastry, food and utilities during the year, leaving little to spend on another shirt or a third TV set for the house. Also, those 29.9% rates on the cards will now appear to be a larger charge than most of the purchases they made to date.

Retailers will be reeling from the lack of spending.

Malls will be getting notices from their tenants of leaving at the expiration of the leases, and many tenants, if not all the tenants remaining, will want a reduced rent, since the expectations of the mall traffic did not materialize. In addition, the percentage leases that many mall owners get from the revenues generated, will decline as well thus generating less and less rental income.

The mall will go into foreclosure, and will be owned by the insurance companies that now also are not generating any income from their foreclosed properties sufficient to cover their costs.

Since 70% of consumer spending is retail, the retailer will pace less orders for goods throughout the entire world, especially in the US, since goods produced here are more expensive.

This entire domino effect will now result in less retail sales (this includes cars), translating to less factory orders, resulting in less needs to transport the goods, resulting in more layoffs in the transportation sector and the industrial real estate sector which now houses those factories, resulting in more layoffs of factory workers, etc., etc……

Who gets to foreclose on those empty warehouses and industrial buildings?

You guessed it, insurance companies and other lenders for these types of properties who are financed by insurance companies.

Are you seeing where this is going?

If you thought the $175 billion given to AIG was a lot, just start adding up the total defaults and losses by the rest of the insurance industry holding all these other loans!

Will they be bailed out too?

Make sure that you life insurance is being offered by a well rated company….and watch for the next “bubble”, to blame for the recession, the greedy financing of the real estate industry, part 2, the commercial real estate markets, since many of them were more leveraged than most of the individuals in the sub-prime category.

STOPPING FREE TRADE, VIOLATION OF AGREEMENTS, NOTHING NEW FOR NEW GOVERNMENT; BUT THERE IS A COST-TO ALL OF US!

Posted in Trade with tags , , , , , , on March 20, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Well here we go again.

It is said that every day that Congress is in session, we lose some of our rights and liberties…it’s worse than that, this year we also lose a lot of money-$1 billion a day was spent by Congress so far this year!

The new administration has now openly, and with impunity violated and abrogated its obligations under the NORTH AMERICAN FREE TRADE AGREEMENT with Mexico, by closing access to deliveries by Mexican trucking companies who can deliver on the same truck directly to customers, without off loading at the border, then re-loading and having the goods cost more to deliver.

Safety was never the issue since the Mexican trucking companies have proven themselves to have a better safety record than American companies.

Why is this administration hell bent on abrogating contracts? First with the AIG employees, that they agreed to (now claiming that they did not read THE CONTRACTS FIRST). DO THEY NOT HAVE ANY LAWYERS WORKING FOR CONGRESS, AND ARE THEY NOT ALMOST ALL LAWYERS ANYWAY?

Now they just decide to pander to the Teamsters and cancel an international Agreement. That does not speak well for the word of America.

What will they simply decide to cancel next?

They are trying to cancel mortgage agreements for debtors, they are trying to cancel employer secret ballots, they even unilaterally wanted to cancel the agreement that the VA hospitals and health care would be provided to sick and wounded soldiers-they were to pay for their war injuries themselves!

Who are these people that have been elected?

Are they all idiots?

The administration has said things like,”we will emerge from this recession stronger than ever.”

Huh? How does that work?

You first weaken the country’s industry though stupid actions like the violation of the NAFTA agreement with Mexico, and now already Mexico has retaliated by slapping 89 exports to Mexico from the USA with tariffs.

Goods from 40 states will be affected, some $2.4 billion worth of trade, possibly destroyed.

Is this a way to keep jobs in America?

Hey is there nobody with any brains left in Washington, D.C.?

Now all these sellers will certainly face instant competition from foreign sources that will easily replace those goods, and probably at a lower price since the added tariffs will add from 10% to 45% to our goods cost.

This action virtually guarantees lower employment in America.

So how are we going to recover, and come back even stronger through this action?

Look at what will be affected-table grapes, 45% duty, Christmas trees from California and Oregon, New York will lose its $250 million a year business of precious metals jewelry shipped to Mexico, Wisconsin’s scrap battery industry ships $120 million worth, and 40 other states will suffer the loss of $2.4 billion in trade.

The sponsor of the bill, North Dakota Senator Byron Dorgan, just ruined his state’s oil seed export business, as 80% of its production goes to Mexico.

These exports represent jobs, jobs that the administration says it want to save-how exactly is this going to save them?

Rest assured too, that once buyers substitute suppliers, it will not be easy if at all to get these sales back.

Hopefully, this foolish notion of abrogating contracts will end…so that we can survive the CHANGE that was voted for for America.

When the world starts to think that America’s word is nothing, they can violate any contracts they choose, we will be surprised to learn than there are many contracts out there that can also be violated by other countries that will affect the USA.

For all our sake, please watch what you CHANGE…some CHANGE is downright stupid.

NO ENTREPRENEURS, NO RECOVERY FOR THE ECONOMY

Posted in Businesses, Entrepreneurs, Taxes with tags , , , , , , on March 19, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Bad TaxesIt is a fact that almost all new jobs are created from NEW firms and those that are less than 5 years old.

So, how is that formation of new firms going this year…as a means of calculating how many new jobs may be created?

So far this year, new incorporations are OFF BY 50% from the prior year. That is so far, at least .

Let’s evaluate all the compelling reasons why an entrepreneur would form a business this year.

Ummm, I think….yea, maybe due to…., ????

It seems that I can not find an inducement to do so that is right at the tip of my tongue.

All I can think of is that taxes for entrepreneurs are going to be increased to pay for all the other people who are not working, or can not pay the mortgages for their houses, or their credit cards, or are illegally here and need free health care.

So as an entrepreneur, heaven forbid that he makes a profit as a reward for all the hard work, then he needs to pay, and pay and pay for everyone else’s failures.

Just to add more crazy ideas from our government, our President’s home state of Illinois, is proposing, in the middle of a recession a 50% increase in the State income tax. And these guys get paid for what?

This is NOT a way to jump-start the economy, DUH!

If these new businesses are not formed, and if their formation runs at this rate, there can not be a recovery, since there will be no new places to get work.

Old line, old established firms are firing, not hiring.

Even the firms that are being bailed out, are being forced to fire people, not pay them bonuses, and otherwise are becoming less attractive places to work.

Furthermore, entrepreneurs are people who have typically tapped into their savings or their investments to get the initial capital to start a business. So with the market decimating about half of everyone’s investments, the urge to start a new business has been thwarted by the very fact of having less available capital to do so.

There are less businesses being formed, because there is less money to do so.

There is also a lot less credit to do so due to the diminished FICO scores or potential borrowers.

So between the lack of investment capital, and the lending restrictions by banks and other lenders, there will be less business formation and expansion, thus less of a chance for that instant recovery predicted by Ben Bernanke, and other future crystal ball readers.

What we are seeing, for the first time in my life at least is a Washington, D.C., full of business advisors, advising businesses how to operate, what products to make (car industry forced mandates for instance), how much CO2 to throw off, or how many times a cow can belch.

It seems that people who for the most part have never owned a business, never risked money to start one, never employed anyone on their own, exempted themselves from all rules and regulations applicable to all businesses, are now in charge of everyone else’s business.

Now that is certainly a way toward financial disaster, and NOT a recovery.

No entrepreneurs, no recovery….write that down, pass it on to your favorite Senator and Congressman.

YOUR TAX DOLLARS AT WORK, NOT WORKING AGAIN-SENATOR CHRIS DODD IS A DUD!

Posted in Stimulus with tags , , , , , on March 19, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

chris-doddWe all expect incompetence and stupidity from our government officials, and we are never disappointed, as usual!

The ex-presidential candidate, exuding gravitas in his manner of speaking, tacked on 11 pages (count them-11 pages) of pay restrictions into the stimulus bill.

As usual, Mr. Dodd, never making a real living in the real world, chose to reward incompetent an non-motivated slackers instead of those employees who can actually pull the “stimulated companies” out of the toilet.

His pay restrictions limit bonuses severely, while allowing unlimited salaries. WOW, what a genius that Mr. Dodd appears to be! stop those performance bonuses dead in their tracks.

So let me see if I understand his proposed reward program for the troubled companies getting federal handouts of every type.

Let’s use the example of a trader at Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs…or wherever for instance.

The trader makes the firm $100 million in trading profits, and to reward him for this phenomenal effort, the firm wants to pay him a 5% bonus on top of his base $250,000 salary. After all he made them $100 million in profit….5% even sounds cheesy, cheap.

Heck I would pay my trader 50% as a bonus if he made me $100 million.

Yet, scrooge…I mean Mr. Dodd, does not understand this concept of rewarding top performers.

Under his proposed plan, that trader could at most get more than 1/3 of his pay as a bonus. So this trader would get $332,500 as his reward for making $100 million for the firm!

So the firms that need the help the most, to succeed and pay back the government loans or handouts, can not possibly reward great results….they are limited by Senator Dudd…I mean Senator Dodd, with his ridiculous slacker plan.

What his plan would allow however, is to pay any slacker of the firm’s choosing a salary of UNLIMITED amount, say $50 million a year whether there was performance or not!

Under this plan, all good traders, rainmakers, performers would immediately leave the troubled companies that need them the most, for those companies (competitors) who will reward good performance; thus leaving the worst companies to fend for themselves.

Good idea Senator, where did you get that idea from, a slacker?

It gets worse…I mean funnier.

Senator Dodd, also mandates that TARP recipient companies can take clients to lunch at only those establishments identified by no less than “the Secretary of the Treasury…”, otherwise it may be deemed to be an excessive lunch and not reimbursable.

Great, you now need to call the Secretary of the Treasury and leave him a message with his secretary that he call you back as soon as possible because you want to go to either Wendy’s, McDonald’s or the Four Season’s Dining Room. Could get back you you as soon as he finishes a meeting with the President….you’ll be waiting for the call.

Nice…Senator….you are really doing well for the taxpayers….really saving them money.

So, again, we have your government at work….screwing things up and doing it with a straight face.

TAXPAYER BIG CORPORATIONS MOVING TO SWITZERLAND, SO MUCH FOR THE ADDED TAXES TO BE COLLECTED IN THE USA

Posted in Taxes with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on March 12, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

switzerlandThat did not take long.

Big profitable international corporations are discovering that they can save on the taxes that they pay by moving to another country-Switzerland.

It appears that the various towns there set their own tax rates and the smart ones have a 9.5% tax rate for instance for companies that mostly do business outside Switzerland.

So let’s see…if I was a corporation, do I want to pay 35%, 39% or more in federal taxes, plus more in state taxes, and more in various employment taxes, carbon taxes, global warming taxes, etc….. or instead pay 9.5% ? DUH!

So, now not only is the economic slow down/recession/depression, etc., going to continue, but the chances of recovery are even less of a glimmer, as solid profitable businesses domicile outside the USA, while the country only maintains the remnants of failed enterprises such as GM, Chrysler which are all money losers, non-payers of taxes.

They make no money, thus they pay no taxes. Worse yet, in accordance with tax laws, they would have a TAX credit for prior taxes paid and will have loss carry-forwards to offset any future profits to the extent of the losses!

Thus even if they become profitable, they will not pay any taxes for years.

In today’s economic global business model, countries should do everything possible to attract and support profitable global businesses to domicile in the USA, instead of chasing them away.

Instead, the government warns all successful profitable business domiciled here, that new taxes are coming, new mandates, new higher operating and compliance costs of every type as well.

In addition, the government supports a union supported mandate to literally force arbitrators to set employment terms and benefits on businesses through a new mandate allowing union recognition in every business.

So far, at least two former Communist high ranking politicians from formerly failed communist/socialist states (such as Mr. Putin of Russia), have advised the USA NOT TO RAISE TAXES BECAUSE THAT WILL STIFLE BUSINESS.

They aught to know best, their economic systems imploded! Imagine that, former communists advising the USA, not to try their failed economic model.

Our country is now going towards economic disaster models that have failed time and time before all over the world.

See the article below:

By Sam Cage

ZUG, Switzerland, March 12 (Reuters) – The tidy towns and mountain vistas of Switzerland are an unlikely setting for an oil boom.

Yet a wave of energy companies has in the last few months announced plans to move to Switzerland — mainly for its appeal as a low-tax corporate domicile that looks relatively likely to stay out of reach of Barack Obama’s tax-seeking administration.

In a country with scant crude oil production of its own, the virtual energy boom has changed the canton or state of Zug, about 30 minutes’ drive from Zurich, beyond all recognition. Its economy was based on farming until it slashed tax rates to attract commerce after World War Two.

It still has a chocolate-box old town with views over a lake to the high Alps, but is now surrounded by gleaming corporate offices — including commodity trader Glencore and oil refiner Petroplus — shopping malls and housing developments.

Local authorities say about 13 percent of full-time jobs in Zug canton are in the raw materials sector.

Over the past six months companies including offshore drilling contractors Noble Corp and Transocean, energy-focused engineering group Foster Wheeler and oilfield services company Weatherfield International have all announced plans to shift domicile to Switzerland.

“Switzerland has a stable and developed tax regime and a network of tax treaties with most countries where we operate,” Transocean Chief Executive Bob Long said in a statement in October, when it announced its move. “As a result, the redomestication will improve our ability to maintain a competitive worldwide effective corporate tax rate.”

Guido Jud, head of Zug’s tax office, said about 1,200 companies had set up shop there in 2008 — in line with the long-term average, though it is difficult to assess how many of those are foreign companies until they file tax returns.

Swiss cantons are free to set their own tax rates. For example in Zug, corporate tax is about 16 percent but can fall as low as 9.5 percent for companies that do most of their business outside Switzerland. That compares with an average global corporate tax rate of 25.9 percent, according to consultancy KPMG.

“One trend that we see is that particularly Bermuda-based companies are now moving to Switzerland,” said Martin Frey, a partner at law company Baker & McKenzie. “That may only partly be obviously for tax reasons, but also for security reasons and the fact that the Obama administration may go after them.”

CORPORATE APPEAL

The moves come as the Alpine country is under pressure to stop providing a haven to rich individuals who have been illegally dodging taxes: the U.S. political climate could be contributing to the corporate relocations as authorities seek to crack down on tax avoidance and boost their own revenues.

A bill introduced in the U.S. Congress in March targeting “offshore tax dodges” by individuals and companies names Switzerland among tax havens for evaders.

Offshore tax abuses cost the U.S. Treasury an estimated $30-60 billion in lost revenues from corporation tax, plus $40-70 billion from individuals, according to the office of Senator Carl Levin, who is sponsoring the bill.

Switzerland holds around $2 trillion of estimated global undeclared assets, according to the Boston Consulting Group. Revenue generated from this could be squeezed as a U.S. probe of its biggest bank UBS dilutes banking secrecy.

Yet analysts say the Swiss, whose GDP in 2008 was about 530 billion Swiss francs ($460 billion) according to the International Monetary Fund, are less likely to meet opposition to the low-tax regimes that draw foreign companies: these are deemed less harmful tax avoidance, rather than evasion.

“They are still making some money by having lower taxes on companies,” said Lee Sheppard, contributing editor to Tax Notes, a tax journal based in Washington DC.

“But they’re not ever going to be making the amount that other governments are annoyed about losing.”

Analysts note that because Switzerland has its own tax treaty with the United States, blacklisting it at a corporate or individual level could cause unproductive diplomatic incidents.

Low-tax jurisdictions like Bermuda or the Cayman Islands look more vulnerable because they have less diplomatic clout, which is prompting some companies to head for Switzerland.

The European Commission, the European Union’s executive body, has said the tax regimes in cantons like Zug, Schwyz and Obwalden are a form of state aid: it wants Switzerland to end favourable treatment of foreign-earned profits.

Switzerland, which is not a member of the EU, denies the cantons’ special status violates its free trade deal with the bloc and rejects negotiations with Brussels on fiscal matters.

But it has pledged to consider some other company taxation regulations the EU has objected to, such as the status of foreign companies, aiming to ensure these go beyond thinly staffed headquarters to invest and create jobs in Switzerland.

CONTINUING TREND

Baker & McKenzie’s Frey thinks more companies will shift to Switzerland, and Zug’s Jud also highlighted the country’s neutrality and reliability as an attraction to energy companies who do business in less stable countries.

“We are not reckoning on an unusually strong boom, but a continual and sustainable growth on the scale of the last few years and decades,” Jud said.

Companies say Switzerland’s attractiveness as a corporate location goes beyond tax to include easy and efficient transport, a high quality of life high and well-trained staff.

In the current climate, the attractions for the companies that move clearly outweigh one drawback: by making the switch they potentially sacrifice inclusion in stock market indexes such as the closely watched benchmark Standard & Poor’s 500.

“In the past and most recently with Transocean, Standard & Poor’s has ruled that the process of redomesticating to Switzerland renders a company ‘ineligible for continued inclusion’ in the S&P 500,” said Macquarie Research analyst Angie Sedita in a note.

In buoyant times, inclusion in such indexes has offered access to equity capital. But the S&P 500 has fallen more than 50 percent since October. (Additional reporting by Braden Reddall in Houston; Editing by Sara Ledwith) ($1=1.158 Swiss Franc)

$50 TRILLION LOSS OF FINANCIAL VALUE WORDWIDE!!

Posted in Stock Market with tags , , , , , , , , on March 9, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Stock Market FloorThe value of global financial assets including stocks, bonds and currencies probably fell by more than $50 trillion in 2008, equivalent to a year of world gross domestic product, according to an Asian Development Bank report.

Asia excluding Japan probably lost about $9.6 trillion, while the Latin American region saw the value of financial assets drop by about $2.1 trillion, said Claudio Loser, a former International Monetary Fund director and the author of the report that was commissioned by the ADB. The report didn’t give a breakdown of asset declines in other regions.

“The loss of financial wealth is enormous, and the consequences for the economies of the world will unfortunately commensurate,” said Loser, now the Latin American president of strategic advisory firm Centennial Group Inc.. “There are serious economic and political stumbling blocks that may well cause the recovery to be costly and slow to consolidate.”

Some of the world’s biggest financial companies including Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. and Merrill Lynch & Co. have collapsed as banks and other financial institutions reported almost $1.2 trillion of losses and writedowns since the start of 2007. Global stock markets lost about $28.7 trillion in 2008, and another $6.6 trillion has been wiped from the value of world equities in 2009.

“Poor macroeconomic and regulatory policies allowed the global economy to exceed its capacity to grow and contributed to a buildup in imbalances across asset and commodity markets,” Loser said. “The previous sense of strength and invulnerability is now gone.”

Global Recession

The global economy is likely to shrink for the first time since World War II, and trade will decline by the most in 80 years, the World Bank said yesterday. Its assessment is more pessimistic than an IMF report in January predicting 0.5 percent global growth this year.

Developing nations will bear the brunt of the contraction and they will face a shortfall of between $270 billion and $700 billion to pay for imports and service debts, the Washington- based World Bank said.

“This crisis is the first truly universal one in the history of humanity,” former IMF Managing Director Michel Camdessus said at an ADB forum in Manila today. “No country escapes from it. It has not yet bottomed out.”

Growth in 2009 may drop by half in developing and emerging countries, and a recovery in the global economy may only begin late this year or in early 2010, Loser said. Developing nations, which mostly escaped the earlier effects of the credit crisis, are facing more problems as the downturn worsens, the report said.

‘Mounting Difficulties’

“Emerging economies were initially able to absorb the initial impact of the crisis on account of the considerable progress in recent years in consolidating economic performance,” Loser said. “This group of countries is experiencing mounting difficulties. Policy makers will thus need to find a balance between economic stimulus and financial stability.”

Asia is likely to recover with “vibrant” growth once the crisis recedes in 2010, Manu Bhaskaran, the Singapore-based head of economic research at Centennial Group, said in a separate report for the ADB released today. South Asia’s growth prospects “remain good,” he said.

“Asia is mainly suffering a cyclical slowdown because of problems in the developed economies, it is not suffering a structural economic breakdown,” Bhasakaran said. “There is no reason to think that the growth engines that have been unleashed in many parts of Asia are likely to weaken.”

Capital Flows

Net capital flows to emerging markets may fall to $165 billion this year, from $470 billion in 2008 and a record $930 billion in 2007, Loser said, citing estimates from the Institute for International Finance. Net flows to emerging Asian economies may drop by 80 percent from the peak in 2007, he said.

Protectionist measures by countries to prevent a deeper fallout from the global downturn won’t work, Loser said.

“There is no room for denial or populist policies,” Loser said. “Otherwise the crisis will become even deeper and harder to reverse.”

IS THERE ROOM FOR MORE LOSSES? IT SEEMS INEVITABLE THAT THE LOSSES WILL CONTINUE AND THAT THIS WILL CERTAINLY BE A YEAR TO REMEMBER.

STOPPING JOB CREATION, ANOTHER GREAT IDEA FROM THE FEDS, GIVING INTO UNIONS

Posted in Employment with tags , , , , , , , on March 7, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Joe BidenWe all know someone who is or was a union member.

My dad was one when he worked as a machinist in a machine shop in Chicago. He did not choose to be one though; he HAD to become one since the business he worked in was a “union shop.”

Since that time in the early 1960′s, union membership as a percentage of employed people had dwindled due to expansion of the number businesses in the country, and the decline of the forced “union shop”.

Being a “UNION SHOP” has come to mean high labor costs, or lack of a profitable enterprise due to the excessive costs of labor in that enterprise.

Unions were needed, when workers had 7 day work weeks and no overtime pay and no benefits.

However, today, their hard fought labor benefits, are for the most part responsible for the decline of every industry in which they are pervasive.

Take for example the auto manufacturing industry in America.

The fully loaded labor cost per employee is realistically over $75 an hour; and that’s regular time pay. That calculates to $3,000 per week; and $156,000 per year.

In order to not hire new employees, and thus add to a long term financial burden to the company, in times of added business, the auto companies would have the present employees work overtime at 1.5 times that wage, thus a cost of $234,000 a year, per employee!

To put this simply, think about this example:

You go to the Starbuck’s store, and the barrista working mixing your exotic coffee, is getting paid $234,000 a year. What price would be the price for your cup of coffee?

Oh, and there can not be just one person, there would be 2 or 3 or four people needed to staff that store, plus a manager, at presumably an even higher price-assume $275,000.. That would mean a staff cost of $743,000 to $1,211,000 for that little store.

Rest assured that there would be NO such store in existence, nor would they ever be started.

Well this phantom business, this coffee store will never be seen again if the government and union backed EMPLOYEE FREE CHOICE ACT, a top legislative priority for the new administration is approved into law.

The ACT, in short would allow employees at a business, simply to sign cards requesting that the employees who are in the majority signings such cards, now be represented by a Union.

There is no more need for a secret ballot, nor employer lobbying.

Now, that is not bad compared to a planned provision in the bill that would have a government arbitrator set the contract terms for a business if the parties could not agree after 120 days!

So now the government and the Unions would be running every business in America deciding what wages and benefits would be paid in every company.

Do you believe that this ACT as proposed would be a stimulus to the economy, by mandating work terms?

Some of the best and brightest people, those in technology companies, those in manufacturing would be jobless. Every entrepreneur who wants to start a business would think twice about doing it. Every existing business would question its ability to continue to effectively compete with others.

THE EMPLOYEE FREE CHOICE ACT would be the employee FREE TO BE UNEMPLOYED ACT.

If history considers the Great Depression to be a bad time for America, it will look like a vacation compered to this great country being brought down to its knees with this great new goverment idea.

There is no country in the world stupid enough to have such a regulation to stifle free enterprise and the formation of new businesses, as well stifling every existing business.

New multi-billion dollar investments have been made by foreign companies such as Toyota, Nissan and Mercedes Benz in building auto manufacturing plants with NON-union labor.

Those companies have not asked for loans from taxpayers, those companie have put up their own non taxpayer capital to exist. If they did not have the opportunity to attract labor at a rate attractive to starting their business in America, they would not have built their plants here.

The woder about a free eneterprise system is that nobody is FORCED to work anyplace, at a salary or wages that they do not find appopriate or attractive. They are fre to change jobs for another job that they like better, or offers better pay.

Is it the desire of the government to now madate that employees get a certain pay scale and benefits…?

What about equality in pay? Do all the coffee shops pay the same?

That happened in the old Soviet Union and its eastern Block countries. I know how that worked first hand having visited there during the late 1970′s.

Everyone was equally “employed”.

If you worked at a candy store (candy store #2073) for instance, your pay was the same if you worked in another retail shop. All emplyees were equally bored. The service was non existant and the products as well.

Nobody cared about their job, and they and no way to make more money except by cheating the employer—they would keep their job no matter what.

Everyone wanted to make more money. The government finally allowed free enterprise to start by allowing private businesses to compete with the state controlled ones.

The private ones offered lower wages with the hope of better ones when business improved. Guess what happened?

Today there ane no government owned candy shops, and everyone makes the wages that are market based. The countries have all prospered.

Now in America, we are about to make all pay equally dismal. Slackers or performers will be paid the same “union mandated” wage. Just like the educational system, as a perfect example.

Is this going to be good for America?

Think about it…as an employee you will not be able to be paid more…the contract will forbid that. as an employer, you will be forced to pay slackers the same as motivated employees.

Worst of all, kiss that $1 value meal goodbuy.

GOOD NEWS, ONLY 630,000 PEOPLE FILED FOR UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS LAST WEEK!

Posted in Employment with tags , , , , , on March 5, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Unemployment LineFinally, good news. We needed some good news.

The government reported that the predicted 670,000 new claims for unemployment were lower than expected last week; instead of 670,000 claims that were predicted, only 630,000 new claims were filed.

Yeah!!!!!!! Finally something to cheer about, or is it?

There were some of the usual “asterisks” attached to the numbers. It is important to first notice that there is an asterisk attached to a number…that means the number may be not as represented…that a condition exists which may render it meaningless, or worse.

In the case of these numbers reported, the asterisk explained that the numbers may have been lower than expected due to a holiday…so less people could file claims.

Then the numbers were further asterisked by words that confused the average person.

Then at the end of the report, the report added that the actual total number of people receiving unemployment benefits could be higher than reported by 1.2 MILLION people, since they are receiving EXTENDED benefits that are not part of the report.

Come on…what is the total number ?

Just give us a number without the asterisks!

The bottom line is that we can expect about 600,000 to 700,000 new unemployed people every week! They will not be the beneficiaries of the $13 weekly tax withholding deduction decrease.

Various pundits and experts are projecting that this year the unemployment rate could get to 8%, even 9% by year end. They must have found an old bong in the basement from their college days.

Are they kidding? How about that rate being reached in the next few months, and then a worsening of the entire cycle ?

These figures are for only those people still being counted as unemployed since they are actually receiving benefits…what about those who are not receiving benefits, or never did but are unemployed?

For instance, someone with a part time job, or two, and he/she loses that job? Not counted.

How about the commission sales person, getting a significant reduction in commissions? Not counted either.

See what I mean? What is the true number ?

The number one politically correct state…California is now over 10% unemployed and going higher.

The government further reported that the “true” number of unemployed at 12.5 million people and that another 8.6 million people were “part time and discouraged”, whatever that means. I guess it is another of those asterisks that are never clearly explained or defined.

If these results were factored in, the true unemployment would have been at 14.8%, a record high over the last few decades.

At the current rates of job loss, and calculating the effects of the “stimulus” job killers, and the “Union job creation stimulus bill”, let’s guess at 15% REAL unemployment by year end as a MINIMUM!

Disaster for the economy, yes, boom for government jobs which are expected to grow by 600,000 during that same time; start applying for those jobs NOW!

Now let’s make a Dow Jones Average prediction by year end.

We previously thought 5,500-6,000…now revising that downwards…5,000 or less, due to the specific job killing actions planned by the government, and others yet to come.

So far, the market has lost $12 TRILLION dollars in the last 12 months.

It will lose another $3 TRILLION in the rest of the year, based on the plans by the government as they relate to job non-creation.

Barack Obama, the Sage of Washington, D.C.- HE IS NOW GIVING STOCK PURCHASE ADVICE!

Posted in Stock Market with tags , , , , , , , , , on March 4, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Well, finally our President said something positive about the financial markets.

He said, ” what you are now  is profit and earning ratios starting to get to the point where buying stocks is a potentially good deal if you’ve got a long term perspective on it.”

Certainly this is solid advice for investors under “normal” market conditions in a robust economy; advice that money managers and conservative money management firms would agree with.

Conservative investing strategy would buy quality stocks of companies that are well known when their P/E ratio got low…such as GE at about 3x, yesterday. What about stocks that are quality stocks but they have no “E” component in their ratio, such as GM?

Is it time to buy?

Well, our President seems to believe in the long term aspect of investing personally.

Based on his ANNUAL FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE FORMS for the last available year, 2007, all his major assets were basically listed as for (retirement), and consisted of mutual funds, and between $1 million and $5 million were in money market funds.

So, since he is taking the long term view, he has lost about half of is retirement funds, but the money markets funds seem not to have lost their value (he disclosed holdings in Vanguard FTSE Social Index; Vanguard Wellesley Income Fund; Goldman Sachs Large Cap Value A;   . And under his own formula for investing, he has a lot of years to potentially catch up on the loses in his mutual funds.

So he is investing according to his formula…long term for retirement, and has plenty of cash available from the money market access funds.

That is great ! Our President has a solid investment strategy that anyone could be proud of.

Now, how does that compare with the rest of the country?

If you have your retirement funds in these funds, your funds are also down.

If you are now starting to retire like the baby boomers are now doing, they have significantly less in their retirement portfolios and therefore they have no extra cash to invest in buying any new shares.

If there is a lack of buyers, stocks do not tend to go up.

The second part of his long term strategy forgets to consider that in the long term, the trillions and trillions of government debt has to be paid off. How can it be paid off ?

It is impossible to pay on the principal of this mountain of future debt.

So in the long term, how will this debt be good for the stock market?

How can the long term be considered by those who just lost a job, or their house?

Long term to them means a month or two, or three.

In checking that strategy of long term investing…I discovered that by itself that may not be such a sound investment either. Just because markets tend to move up over a long period of time, one may never pick the best time to get in and out during those cycles.

For instance from the time of the market crash in 1929, it took till 1954 for the market to recover. It took 14 years for the market to even move a little from 1968 till 1982-less than 6% over that time…not much of a return.

Now what if you got in 12 months ago and bought all the stocks the President owned….your retirement portfolio is SOL, if you are retiring now. Do you want to wait another 14 years for it to go up 6%?

The SAGE has spoken….remember advice is worth the price you pay for it, so they say.

BUY NOW he said….! BUY NOW…..the P/E is low….

What about when there is no “E”  in the stocks anymore?

We should all buy at ZERO or below….and it seems that pretty much that will be the case this year for most stocks a ratio of ZERO or below….

Maybe we should wait till later.

There are actually stocks, some 600 of them that actually have more cash in the bank on their balance sheets than their market value!

In effect you are buying cash at a discount to its face value…now that may be the best play yet.

We will keep an eye on the investing suggestions of our President, and see how it compares with the “Mattress Investing” (mentioned in a previous blog and significantly out-performing most investment advisers and stock market returns in the last year) strategy and how it compares over time to the market.

Hold on to your US debt, Europe is going to get even worse!

Posted in Europe with tags , , , , , on March 3, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Euro DebtEuropean banks have a different problem. Their loans have typically not been a problem in the mortgage sector due to more stringent lending policies relating to mortgages. Some lenders only provide 50% of the purchase/appraisal price, so they do not have the same issues as US banks.

But, and there is a very big BUT…..their problem rests with corporate borrowers.

European corporate debt that matures this year (2009) totals $800 BILLION, versus $620 billion in the USA.

The worldwide slump in business will force the European borrowers who gorged on the low interest rates, and borrowed significantly to make acquisitions at their highest values, to do massive restructurings or bankruptcies.

MOODY’s the ratings agency, already downgraded 230 major Western European companies, especially those in Germany Spain and France.

For instance, Paris based LaFarge, the world’s largest cement maker has $22 billion in debt, and last year paid $11 billion for a Egyptian cement company.

Private equity in Western Europe is worse off. Carlyle group acquired a big $1.2 billion revenue German auto-parts group that filed for bankruptcy.

It is forecast that at least $75 billion in loan defaults from about 150 companies will occur in the first half of the year.

The defaults will trigger more problems with the banks, who in turn will turn to their governments, who in turn will turn to their taxpayers, etc., etc.; like dominoes falling down.

Bank lending in the EURO ZONE had tightened to the point of 80% reduction of credit availability as credit policies have gotten tougher.

The borrowers are all mostly major industries like chemicals, building materials and major manufacturing of machine and electronic components.

Oh, oh…..hold on the sucking sound is just starting. Shock waves will sound throughout the global markets.

Bank Asset Valuation – MARK TO MARKET IS DOWRIGHT STUPID

Posted in Loans with tags , , , , on March 3, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

What the heck is MARK TO MARKET bank asset valuation?

This term is something that only our politicians could come up with, no normal person would ever use this terms or use its valuation method for anything in the “real” world.

Mark to market exists only to make a lot of needless small print on financial statements of banks. It makes a lot of work for accountants and lawyers and regulators, but to the rest of us normal folks, it is another useless term, that results in needless manipulations of financial firms.

This term has become more widely known as banks wanted to sell their “toxic” assets to the government and the government was wiling to buy them (another dumb move, as usual by the government).

Since the government expressed an interest in buying assets, that were purportedly “bad”, the sellers, financial firms that held various hard to value assets such as derivative contracts, needed to value these assets.

The way to value them was determined to be with the use of a formula called: MARK TO MARKET. This formula had a few problems, the largest of which was that there was NO WAY to value these “toxic” assets which consisted of various derivative contracts and similar financial arrangements.

In addition, other TOXIC assets were simply assets that had value, but it may not be assets that someone could or was willing to buy or price at today’s date.

For example, if you were told that you had to determine a sales price for your home, TODAY, that someone had to BUY your home today, and only today, that price may be very different from its true value. If it was sold in an orderly fashion, not by the end of the day today, it would probably fetch a decent price, a true market price in a competitive market place.

Well this is the way the government wants the firms to value their assets…all to be at the MARK TO MARKET PRICE.

This is another example of nonsense from the government that under-values assets that when held to maturity or for the time they were intended to be held, would not show a loss and were intended to show a profit for the institution.

This loss is then passed on the the stockholders of the financial firms or banks who are arm-twisted to sell the assets to the government with a loss, and no chance of recovery.

What is the point to all this ?

The point is that the government just does not understand these contracts, and is causing its own problems that is translated into tax supported welfare for financial firms, who are forced to take a needless loss. This loss is translated into a lower value of the stockholders’ investment, and a loss for the government as well, who may eventually again try to resell the assets it just acquired again for a loss.

The assets need to be held till maturity or till the unwinding of the contracts to see where they will stand. They can be carried at COST as they are now until maturity to truly reflect their values, without causing losses to either the financial institution or the taxpayers.

MAFIA STEPPING UP TO HELP WITH LENDING

Posted in Loans with tags , , , , , , , on March 3, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Mafia LoansIt has been reported that in in Italy, banks have literally stopped lending to businesses. They have always been rather tight in extending credit to businesses, but now that traditional bank lending almost does not exist, businesses are looking for lenders.

The mafia is always willing to help and “lend” a hand (or an arm and a leg).

It seems that with the hard times, and the tremendous paperwork it takes to get or even apply for a loan these days, the mafia lending is doing a brisk businesses, with a lot less paperwork or qualifying.

Maybe they need a few more lending offices for the Italian mafia in the USA, with all that easy lending policy and lack of paperwork, business should flourish now!

Their lending works like the payday lending offices we now see becoming so popular here in the USA.

The borrower, a business, writes a check for the total amount to be paid back in 30 days, with the service fee or interest, and signs the check.

In the meantime the business gets a cash advance less the interest or service fee.

What a great way to do business…no paperwork, no UCC forms, no complicated collateral. The lender simply gets your business if you do not pay when payment is due.

To date, approximately 180,000 Italian businesses are clients, and the rate is easy to understand-10% a month.

Everyone can qualify, office workers, factory workers, owners of small and large businesses.

And it is reported that the lender is easy to get along with. The lender like any lender prefers to get the money, rather than to take over your business. But, like all lenders, that is the last resort…and more an more businesses in Italy are now owned by “unknown” owners.

There are other matters that seem to go along with the lenders….the linen service even if you do not need a linen service, maybe a jukebox in your office, at an inflated rate, and there is also “insurance” to make sure that your business does not have an unexpected fire or vandalism. These other services are also apparently with minimal paperwork, and will not require looking at your FICO score.

Business has always found a way to get loans, no matter what the financial “crisis”, and the folks in Italy may be showing us the way to do it in the USA.

Now think about it….in the USA, the government has muscled its way into AIG, CITI BANK, BANK AMERICA and other big financial businesses and now also GM, Chrysler, etc.,, and it is using your tax money, to buy into the business without its owners (stockholders’ consent)! Is this our home grown Mafia ? many would agree that it is our version of a new unwanted “silent” partner who controls how much you get paid, what events you attend and the intrest you will pay.

The only difference is that they, so far in the USA version, will not break your leg or arm if you fail to pay, however they will use your money to lend, and you will get nothing for it!

At least in Italy, the mafia does not use your money, to lend to deadbeats who will not pay!

It is a true free market lender who does not ask to be bailed out by taxpayers.

By the way, that reminds me of the “mafia” interest rates we saw under President Jimmy Carter, as the prime rate alone shot up to 22% when money got tight and businesses could not get loans.

Again the government got involved…are we getting a feeling of “deja vu” again?

I really hope that we in the USA will not have to turn to the mafia for business lending.

DOW JONES AVERAGE BEATEN BY “MATTRESS” INVESTING

Posted in Stock Market with tags , , on March 3, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Dow Jones Mattress InvestingMy business associates and vendors have started asking me more and more about “what stock should I buy this year?”…”what will be the best performer this year?”.

I thought hard about that and came up with a list of stocks that seemed like they may have some staying power this year; it was a very short list.

Actually it seemed like a list of stocks that are likely not to GO DOWN as much as other stocks, so I thought about that some more. Why would I want to buy stocks that will go down, but not that much?

What is the alternative to this strategy, of NOT LOSING TOO MUCH?

It dawned on me that this was a pretty stupid strategy…to not lose too much, but yet lose some money.

I did a little more research, and it seems that the investment advice gurus throughout the country, all seemed to be touting the fact that some managers out there, lost LESS than others.

They had statistical tables and comparisons of who lost less then others…and these smaller losers were touted as be best of the best. Those who lost less than the 50% decline of the DOW JONES AVERAGE, were described as performers to follow, performers to recommend as investment gurus!

Imagine that; if your investment adviser lost less then 50% of your money in the last 12 months, he could be a genius! You should be proud of his “outstanding” performance on your behalf.

I would argue that he should be hung upside down, and then you get to pick up the change that falls out of his pockets as your own (as a minimum).

These charts of who lost less than the DJIA, all stopped in the negative…every one of the “well known” recognized experts lost money on the comparisons, some less than others, and some MORE!

So, I thought about that, and wondered how I, not a financial guru could be compared to these experts? What about my financial advice? How would my advice as to the financial strategy compare to these investment mavens in the lst 12 months?

The DOW Average lost 50% of its value, the gurus “beat” that performance by losing only 44%, 35%, 30%, 20% and the best performers lost 15%-19%!

WOW, I BEAT THEM ALL !!!!!!!

My advice caused absolutely NO LOSS. I was at 0% loss, and 0% gain…my advice was the best overall performer among all the gurus in the investment field!

My advice beat the DOW AVERAGE, and it beat all the well known names in the business all of whom LOST MONEY!

What is my advice for this outstanding performance?

Is this something that the average investor can use ?

YES, my secret strategy can now be revealed; IT IS YOUR VERY OWN MATTRESS!

Everyone has always known this secret, it is widely discussed (put your money into your mattress).

If all the investment gurus just put YOUR MONEY into a mattress, you would have done the best for yourself. Your investments would have been ZORO LOSS AND ZERO GAIN. You would have outperformed pretty much the entire invetment community, worldwide!

Even though past performance is no guarantee of future performance, (the usual disclaimer used by investment advisors) my suggestion for the next 12 months should again be a top performer!

PUT ALL YOUR MONEY INTO YOUR MATTRESS!

You’re FIRED…Due to “Stimulus” Plan!

Posted in Stimulus with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on March 2, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Donald Trump - Your Fired!You’re FIRED…due to ” Stimulus” plan, Letter from Jack, your boss

To All My Valued Employees,

There have been some rumblings around the office about the future of this company, and more specifically, your job. As you know, the economy has changed for the worse and presents many challenges. However, the good news is this: The economy doesn’t pose a threat to your job. What does threaten your job however, is the changing political landscape in this country.

However, let me tell you some little tidbits of fact which might help you decide what is in your best interests.

First, while it is easy to spew rhetoric that casts employers against employees, you have to understand that for every business owner there is a Back Story. This back story is often neglected and overshadowed by what you see and hear. Sure, you see me park my Mercedes outside. You’ve seen my home at last years Christmas party. I’m sure; all these flashy icons of luxury conjure up some idealized thoughts about my life.

However, what you don’t see is the BACK STORY :

I started this company 28 years ago. At that time, I lived in a 300 square foot studio apartment for 3 years. My entire living apartment was converted into an office so I could put forth 100% effort into building a company, which by the way, would eventually employ you.

My diet consisted of Ramen Pride noodles because every dollar I spent went back into this company. I drove a rusty Toyota Corolla with a defective transmission. I didn’t have time to date. Often times, I stayed home on weekends, while my friends went out drinking and partying. In fact, I was married to my business — hard work, discipline, and sacrifice.

Meanwhile, my friends got jobs. They worked 40 hours a week and made a modest $50K a year and spent every dime they earned. They drove flashy cars and lived in expensive homes and wore fancy designer clothes. Instead of hitting the Nordstrom’s for the latest hot fashion item, I was trolling through the discount store extracting any clothing item that didn’t look like it was birthed in the 70′s. My friends refinanced their mortgages and lived a life of luxury. I, however, did not. I put my time, my money, and my life into a business with a vision that eventually, some day, I too, will be able to afford these luxuries my friends supposedly had.

So, while you physically arrive at the office at 9am, mentally check in at about noon, and then leave at 5pm, I don’t. There is no “off” button for me. When you leave the office, you are done and you have a weekend all to yourself. I unfortunately do not have the freedom. I eat, and breathe this company every minute of the day. There is no rest. There is no weekend. There is no happy hour. Every day this business is attached to my hip like a 1 year old special-needs child. You, of course, only see the fruits of that garden — the nice house, the Mercedes, the vacations… you never realize the Back Story and the sacrifices I’ve made.

Now, the economy is falling apart and I, the guy that made all the right decisions and saved his money, have to bail-out all the people who didn’t. The people that overspent their paychecks suddenly feel entitled to the same luxuries that I earned and sacrificed decades of my life for.

Yes, business ownership has its benefits but the price I’ve paid is steep and not without wounds.

Unfortunately, the cost of running this business, and employing you, is starting to eclipse the threshold of marginal benefit and let me tell you why:

I am being taxed to death and the government thinks I don’t pay enough. I have state taxes. Federal taxes. Property taxes. Sales and use taxes. Payroll taxes. Workers compensation taxes. Unemployment taxes. Taxes on taxes. I have to hire a tax man to manage all these taxes and then guess what? I have to pay taxes for employing him. Government mandates and regulations and all the accounting that goes with it, now occupy most of my time. On Oct 15th, I wrote a check to the US Treasury for $288,000 for quarterly taxes. You know what my “stimulus” check was? Zero. Nada. Zilch.

The question I have is this: Who is stimulating the economy? Me, the guy who has provided 23 people good paying jobs and serves over 2,200,000 people per year with a flourishing business? Or, the single mother sitting at home pregnant with her fourth child waiting for her next welfare check? Obviously, government feels the latter is the economic stimulus of this country.

The fact is, if I deducted (Read: Stole) 50% of your paycheck you’d quit and you wouldn’t work here. I mean, why should you? That’s nuts. Who wants to get rewarded only 50% of their hard work? Well, I agree which is why your job is in jeopardy.

Here is what many of you don’t understand … to stimulate the economy you need to stimulate what runs the economy. Had suddenly government mandated to me that I didn’t need to pay taxes, guess what? Instead of depositing that $288,000 into the Washington black-hole, I would have spent it, hired more employees, and generated substantial economic growth. My employees would have enjoyed the wealth of that tax cut in the form of promotions and better salaries. But you can forget it now.

When you have a comatose man on the verge of death, you don’t defibrillate and shock his thumb thinking that will bring him back to life, do you? Or, do you defibrillate his heart? Business is at the heart of America and always has been. To restart it, you must stimulate it, not kill it. Suddenly, the power brokers in Washington believe the poor of America are the essential drivers of the American economic engine. Nothing could be further from the truth and this is the type of change you can keep.
So where am I going with all this?

It’s quite simple.

If any new taxes are levied on me, or my company, my reaction will be swift and simple. I fire you. I fire your co-workers. You can then plead with the government to pay for your mortgage, your SUV, and your child’s future. Frankly, it isn’t my problem any more.

Then, I will close this company down, move to another country, and retire. You see, I’m done. I’m done with a country that penalizes the productive and gives to the unproductive. My motivation to work and to provide jobs will be destroyed, and with it, will be my citizenship.

So, if you lose your job, it won’t be at the hands of the economy; it will be at the hands of a political hurricane that swept through this country, steamrolled the constitution, and will have changed its landscape forever. If that happens, you can find me sitting on a beach, retired, and with no employees to worry about….

Signed, THE BOSS
Jack

The 2% Illusion

Posted in Taxes with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , on February 26, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Take everything they earn, and it still won’t be enough.

President Obama has laid out the most ambitious and expensive domestic agenda since LBJ, and now all he has to do is figure out how to pay for it. On Tuesday, he left the impression that we need merely end “tax breaks for the wealthiest 2% of Americans,” and he promised that households earning less than $250,000 won’t see their taxes increased by “one single dime.”

[Review & Outlook]

This is going to be some trick. Even the most basic inspection of the IRS income tax statistics shows that raising taxes on the salaries, dividends and capital gains of those making more than $250,000 can’t possibly raise enough revenue to fund Mr. Obama’s new spending ambitions.

Consider the IRS data for 2006, the most recent year that such tax data are available and a good year for the economy and “the wealthiest 2%.” Roughly 3.8 million filers had adjusted gross incomes above $200,000 in 2006. (That’s about 7% of all returns; the data aren’t broken down at the $250,000 point.) These people paid about $522 billion in income taxes, or roughly 62% of all federal individual income receipts. The richest 1% — about 1.65 million filers making above $388,806 — paid some $408 billion, or 39.9% of all income tax revenues, while earning about 22% of all reported U.S. income.

Note that federal income taxes are already “progressive” with a 35% top marginal rate, and that Mr. Obama is (so far) proposing to raise it only to 39.6%, plus another two percentage points in hidden deduction phase-outs. He’d also raise capital gains and dividend rates, but those both yield far less revenue than the income tax. These combined increases won’t come close to raising the hundreds of billions of dollars in revenue that Mr. Obama is going to need.

But let’s not stop at a 42% top rate; as a thought experiment, let’s go all the way. A tax policy that confiscated 100% of the taxable income of everyone in America earning over $500,000 in 2006 would only have given Congress an extra $1.3 trillion in revenue. That’s less than half the 2006 federal budget of $2.7 trillion and looks tiny compared to the more than $4 trillion Congress will spend in fiscal 2010. Even taking every taxable “dime” of everyone earning more than $75,000 in 2006 would have barely yielded enough to cover that $4 trillion.

Fast forward to this year (and 2010) when the Wall Street meltdown and recession are going to mean far few taxpayers earning more than $500,000. Profits are plunging, businesses are cutting or eliminating dividends, hedge funds are rolling up, and, most of all, capital nationwide is on strike. Raising taxes now will thus yield far less revenue than it would have in 2006.

Mr. Obama is of course counting on an economic recovery. And he’s also assuming along with the new liberal economic consensus that taxes don’t matter to growth or job creation. The truth, though, is that they do. Small- and medium-sized businesses are the nation’s primary employers, and lower individual tax rates have induced thousands of them to shift from filing under the corporate tax system to the individual system, often as limited liability companies or Subchapter S corporations. The Tax Foundation calculates that merely restoring the higher, Clinton-era tax rates on the top two brackets would hit 45% to 55% of small-business income, depending on how inclusively “small business” is defined. These owners will find a way to declare less taxable income.

The bottom line is that Mr. Obama is selling the country on a 2% illusion. Unwinding the U.S. commitment in Iraq and allowing the Bush tax cuts to expire can’t possibly pay for his agenda. Taxes on the not-so-rich will need to rise as well.

On that point, by the way, it’s unclear why Mr. Obama thinks his climate-change scheme won’t hit all Americans with higher taxes. Selling the right to emit greenhouse gases amounts to a steep new tax on most types of energy and, therefore, on all Americans who use energy. There’s a reason that Charlie Rangel’s Ways and Means panel, which writes tax law, is holding hearings this week on cap-and-trade regulation.

Mr. Obama is very good at portraying his agenda as nothing more than center-left pragmatism. But pragmatists don’t ignore the data. And the reality is that the only way to pay for Mr. Obama’s ambitions is to reach ever deeper into the pockets of the American middle class.

From The Wall Street Journal

“WE WILL RECOVER”- WHO EXACTLY IS “WE”??

Posted in American Recovery And Reinvestment Act, Stimulus with tags , , , , , , , , , , , on February 25, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Finally the long anticipated words for America’s recovery were uttered by our President…”We will rebuild, we will recover, and the United States of America will emerge stronger then before.”

Those were the words of our new President to a joint session of Congress.

Who exactly is the “WE” he is referring to in this speech? It did not come across clearly to me at least.

Maybe he was talking about people I do not know, politicians maybe, or their relatives or people that they all know…..I must have missed something…who is the “WE” again?

I listened intently to the entire speech, since as an employer and business owner, I was very interested in knowing all about the “WE” thing.

I too am eager to see the recovery and the “rebuilding” thing he mentioned. I wanted to feel good and upbeat and I wanted to start to cheer on the President and his proposals to help ME and our country.

I waited….I waited….I waited and I listened. I did not even go to make myself a sandwich so as not to miss any part of what he said.

As I waited, started hearing things that did not make me want to cheer, but rather make me want to throw my shoe at the TV set. “What is he talking about?”, I thought to myself.

He wanted to “invest” on my behalf in energy ?

He wanted to “invest” in health-care ?

He wanted to “invest” in alternative energy and conquer the global warming crisis?

These investments, he explained were necessary to …”restore America’s economic strength…”.

Huh?

What does that mean ? How are these “investments” going to restore what ?

I kept asking myself how are these “investments” going to impact me ?

No answers were forthcoming and at the end of the speech, I knew nothing more than I heard previously. I wanted to cheer, I was all ready to cheer the recovery, and cheer for our President as his number one cheerleader, but he gave me nothing to cheer about. NOTHING!

I did not want him to invest my money, seeing how well the government has invested it so far such as those great investments in AIG, GM, Chrysler, CITI BANK, FANNIE and FREDDIE, etc….you name it and their investment strategy gives no comfort.

I would not hire them to invest for me based solely on their track record of losing on every investment so far.

Remember, they are mostly lawyers and politicians that do not know the difference between DOW JONES and Bobby Jones, so trusting them to invest for us is probably the dumbest thing that we can do.

Just yesterday at the President’s economic forum, Larry Summers was shown falling asleep while attending that meeting (asleep at the switch so to speak).

These apparently are the folks that will be “investing” for us.

I can safely say that none of these investments are going to do anything for me, for my company or for my employees…correct that; the apparent increase in unemployment benefits now mandated to states that accept the stimulus money will give my laid-off employees some more weeks of payments than they could have had previously.

The laid off employees can now wait a little longer for the recovery to kick in, while they collect the unemployment benefits.

They can also marvel at the new electronic health records available at the free clinic (since they can hardly afford the COBRA payments), and watch and wait for fuel to be made from potatoes, swine dung, and bird excrement-the new bio-fuel technologies that billions are allocated for.

Too bad all these technologies have not yet been invented, and none of them will be working at those new technological plants right after their unemployment insurance payments run out.

Oh yes, the final key ingredient of the recovery will be that all possible employers and their management, will be taxed more-that will surely speed up the recovery. Tax the wealthy, that is the secret to the recovery. Tax those last 5%, who pay most of the taxes now…make them pay for the recovery. Everyone else, according to our President, will get a “break”.

The top 5% however, will be punished. The US based corporations that sometimes produce almost all its profit abroad, while maintaining a fleeting remnants of their US business, will be punished. High salaries will be punished by mandating lower salaries. there was even a movement in congress to cap all salaries !

So the only “WE” I could gather out of this plan was the part about how my part of the recovery was that I could expect to pay more in taxes, pay more for the services that will be government mandated and also that “health-care reform” and more government regulations (which apparently were not sufficient so far) was next to stimulate all us employers.

I did not see any assistance to my employees, to my business or any hope for improvement in the future, as it stands now. How can there be a recovery when nobody that is capable of creating the recovery is being motivated to do so ?

There is a saying…”I never got a job from a poor person…” So how is this going to work by punishing the job providers?

How exactly is this recovery going to work for the “WE” he keeps talking about?

Maybe WE need a new word here…perhaps such as “very few”; “select”; those in select secret societies”; “those who do not want to work”; “special relatives”; “certain endangered mice varieties in Nancy Pelosi’s district”; “sea otters”; “whales”; “polar bears”; “those who can not read contracts for financing $400,000 houses that they can not afford.”.

Why can I not be a “WE” that he described? Why am I cursed to be a success in America, and then be punished?

I want my share of the pot taken from those top 5%! I want to be poor, I want to be in “crisis” so that I can get to be part of the “WE”. It no longer pays to be “rich” or aspire to be rich, I guess.

I almost forgot, the last part of the speech stated that America will emerge from this “crisis” “stronger than ever before”.

How exactly is that supposed to happen, after the employers are discouraged from making money, and if they do they have not the fruits of their labor to look forward to, but rather higher costs, more regulation and taxes??

Oh boy, “….and this is only the start…”said the President.

Frustrated, and Puzzled
New York

FICO REVENGE, THE ATTACK OF THE FICO PEOPLE!

Posted in FICO with tags , , , , , on February 23, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Morlocks

It was bound to happen, it finally happened…the long anticipated but always misunderstood FICO people attacked !!!!

Who are these FICO people?

Well in case you never had a credit card or bought anything ever on credit, you my fellow Americans, are not actually human (surprise!) you are just a FICO score!

Secret computers calculate everything you have done financially; bought a car, paid a loan, even a utility bill timely or late payment, may be considered by these faceless computers in determining you FICO score.

So, your entire life is down to your FICO score.

Based on this score, you can get a high or a low rate for your credit cards. Based on this score, you can get or not get auto insurance and the rate you pay will also be based on this score.

You may or may not get a job based on this score…but most importantly, your ability to get a home loan and at what rate, and terms, will be determined by your FICO score.

So my friends, the most important thing in YOUR life is not your spouse, your children or grand-children, but it is your FICO score.

During this financial “crisis”, your FICO score is very important since it will determine if you can re-finance your home, or not. It will determine if your credit card company will give you a larger credit limit on your charge cards. It will determine if, after being tossed out of your house through foreclosure (a real FICO score killer), you will be able to rent an apartment.

More and more people now understand thei FICO score and know how to obtain it. The services that offer this, love the business, because you feel compelled to check it at least monthly, and each month is a fee to them to satisfy your curiosity.

Each of the three credit bureaus (you know who they are) can never seem to agree on what you FICO score is, so they each give you their version of your FICO. For instance, in my FICO score, one of the bureaus is always lower than the others even though all report the same information.

So much for computers! FICO this, you faceless computers!

The revenge was bound to happen..it happened on live TV on CNBC…a most unlikely place.

Its Chicago well known reporter (Rick…….) started ranting about the mortgage bailout being available only to the losers…to those low FICO score people (sort of a “Morlock” race) who all the rest of us other FICO’s are forced to support.

The people around him on the floor of the CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) started howling how they agreed with him and then he wanted to send a message to President Obama…that they will not accept such actions; rewarding the low score FICO people, the losers at the expense of the higher FICO people…those who are working , those 97% that are not getting anything out of the rescues, bailouts, tax credits, etc….

The FICO attack has started. All the FICO people now want money, help, bailouts, mortgage rate adjustments, principal resuctions on their debt,…they do not want all this to only go the the low FICO’s.

Why not, everyone needs a FICO improvement….not just those that have been lying on their applications for loans they could not afford, and those who are not responsible in their financial affairs.

A poll was taken and showed 94% of people polled siding with Rick…..2% were NOT SURE.

Well Rick…we’re with you….lead the FICO attack!

GENERAL MOTORS, CHRYSLER-ZOMBIE COMPANIES ATTACK AGAIN

Posted in Auto Industry with tags , , , , , , , , on February 23, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

ricknosferatuThe ZOMBIE companies are back for more money, their life line. Without this money they are DEAD…well not really, they will go into a debtor’s “heaven”, called bankruptcy reorganization.

The leader of GM, Rick Wagoner (also known as NOSFERATU), was back with his Zombie plan to keep the Zombie company alive another few months….and with him, as the me too Zombie, Jr., -Chrysler…the “minnie me” Zombie.

These are true Zombies, Zombie companies, truly the walking dead!

They are back looking for $39 BILLION now!

Why do WE have to feed the Zombies ?

GM and Chrysler do nothing to help us the consumer….nothing. Let me correct that, they raise prices on automobiles beyond the ability of the average Joe to afford them, and they artificially cause wages and benefits to exist for work that is not at a competitive rate.

If people do not want to buy a car because it is too expensive, or lacks the expected standards of workmanship, why do we or our government have to keep them propped up, on life support ?

Why does the government think that it needs to support an unaffordable product…?

Why would this company be able to pull out a miracle by just borrowing more money that it can NOT repay?

That thinking does not make any sense…..lending more money to a company that is in a death spiral due to costs that are out of line and will continue to be so?

Both GM and Chrysler need to get their costs in line though a new employee contract that brings wages and benefits to the new reality….not a fantasy!

If the companies are allowed to reorganize, they will become viable…they will never be viable as ZOMBIES…do we need this many auto companies to begin with????/

The entire auto industry worldwide has the capacity to produce 90 million vehicles (1500 different models)….yet this year it would not likely produce 60 million.

If we lose a name or two, or if they offer less vehicles, so what!

Maybe they can merge, maybe they can get more creative etc….maybe they can make cars people want to buy NOW.

Do not feed the Zombies, they will eventually take over it you do, as is clarly the case with these two Zombie companies.

Worst of all, the government is providing funding to BAD companies, to losers that will never pay back the loans, and it is cutting off credit to worthy companies that are making it that are providing jobs and a future for their employees and stockholders.

Go figure…in the “real” world, not the fantasy world of political agendas, the good companies get the loans…..not the one’s that will not repay them.

STIMULUS, SWIMULUS, OH NO, NOTHING HAPPENS NOW

Posted in Uncategorized with tags , , , , , , , , , , , on February 18, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

fat-pigsThe government has now spent our money, our kids money and their children’s money and their children’s money on a STIMULUS plan.

Now mind you that NOBODY knows what it really is, as the drafters have not “read” it, before leaving on world-wide junkets. They voted for it however….and like the dummies that they are, they do not know what is really in it…in its fine print.

One thing for sure though is that we will average $13 a week in that bill just for us, to spend as we see fit.

No government program will stimulate the economy…it will help a few road-building companies, and it will pay some past due Medicaid bills to doctors throughout the states that have not paid their bills.

But it WILL NOT make anyone, in the general population feel stimulated. Correct that, those recipients of SS benefits and disability payment recipients will get about $250….that’s just about enough to pay about 15 days worth of heating bills this winter.

The plain fact that our politicians do not understand is that the world is oversupplied by goods, goods made in countries with cheap labor.

These goods are in over-supply, and they compete with domestic produced products.

So, to make this simple, as the economy is stimulated, which goods will you buy…the more expensive domestically produced goods, or the cheaper versions flooding our stores to compete for your stimulus dollars…those $13 weekly dollars you have to spend now?

The government programs that were announced will do absolutely nothing for the economy, and will not stimulate any consumer spending, other than the $13 weekly, which will probably go towards the interest paid on your credit card bills.

Are the people we elected this clueless?

Yes, apparently they are…at least those who voted for the STIMULUS.

Oversupply is a problem. One can boost demand, but what will the stimulated consumers buy?

It is not likely to be a GM car since it is too expensive for people whose FICO scores just tanked, and their home was foreclosed. Count those people out…that is probably about 30 million people, that is fully about a third of all working Americans.

The world can produce 90 million new vehicles annually, it however will produce about 60 million, if that in 2009. Add to that the problem with a lack of financing, and you got nothing stimulating demand.

The resulting lower prices for all types of goods will be great for consumers, since everything will cost less…but these goods will be competing for the consumer dollars with domestic producers and foreign producers including car makers and steel producers, and producers (manufacturers) of just about everything.

Keep in mind that there will be plenty of products, mostly foreign, and they will be demanded to be sold at the lowest possible price.

So how is this going to stimulate anything?

Here is the second part of all this….

The domestic manufacturers will start showing losses, and that in turn will cause their banks to restrict lending to losing companies, which in turn will cause them to lay off employees.

Now multiply this by 13 million businesses in America. If each business only lays off one employee, that’s another 13 million unemployed!

Do you think that each business will only lay off 1 employee?

The credit crunch will get worse since the requirements for every well run bank would be to lend to profitable businesses, and therefore they will restrict lending to marginal businesses, and those businesses will have to lay off employees.

Is this becoming clearer? The government is only lending money to businesses that are losers, yet the banks can only lend to businesses that are not losers….so go figure.

Our government is NOT supporting the lending to strong business that can prosper and survive, they are instead lending to the losers, and restricting lending to the marginal businesses or the profitable businesses by advising banks to be careful who THEY lend to.

Go figure…feel stimulated yet ?

Lost in Manhattan

GM and FORD Opening China Plants, Closing US Plants

Posted in Auto Industry with tags , , , , , , , , , , , on February 18, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Bitten General Motors LogoWe need billions, please give us billions, is the cry from General Motors and the US auto industry.

Ok, that worked for GM it may get $25 billion? or as they say, if they do not get the money to stay afloat another few months to pay the salaries of the overpaid executives there, it may cost the government $100 billion in a bankruptcy…..let them fail, already and stop this nonsense.

What the Washington crowd does not understand or even ask, is that GM has auto manufacturing facilities all over, including…..China, where it is probably the largest builder of cars.

GM has invested $3 billion into a new plant there, Ford has invested similarly into two plants.

So while the US plants are closing, and using up wads of money to stay afloat only to delay the inevitable, the China plants are growing.

Will the new funds also go to support the China operations ?

There are no limitations on the use in the company’s operations of the billions given them as a loan….

There was a great line in the movie FORREST GUMP…..”stupid is as stupid does.”

Our congress spending our money…maybe there should be a rule that they have to put in their money into the loan too ?

I wonder if that would result in a different result????

$13 STIMULUS JUST FOR ME! WOW, thanks Harry Reid

Posted in Stimulus with tags , , , , , , , , , , , , on February 12, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Great DepressionWell, the proud Senators, most of whom have never in their lives employed somebody (although many have made the “honest” mistake of employing illegal aliens and “forgetting” to pay their payroll taxes in employing them), finally let us working stiffs know what all those promises of lowering our taxes was all about.

THE GREAT PLAN WAS FINALLY ANNOUNCED, THIS IS THE PLAN WE HAVE WAITED FOR HOLDING OUR BREATH.

We finally know the great plan to save us, to save America, to start the great economic recovery; $13 a week over the next year or so, directly into our pockets! Ok, so there are some conditions, but what the heck, it’s $13 bucks, directly into our pocket.

Ok, that’s the maximum…but you can still get something….unless you are an “employer” making the really big bucks….well not really the big bucks…at some point you get nothing (the assumption is that you do not need the generous $13 bucks), you have plenty of bucks already.

Now let’s see, here are my options for how to spend this stimulating amount, after all I want to help all I can and put in my contribution toward the economic recovery of America. But wait, was this supposed to go into my pocket, or was I supposed to immediately take the $13 bucks and put it into another guy’s pocket…sort of like that game where I get $13 bucks, and I give it to you, and you give it to another guy, and he gives it to another guy…etc..

So, exactly how is this $13 bucks going to stimulate, and whom, and how ?

Now I’m lost. I get $13 bucks, but I have to spend it as quickly as I can, preferably on instantly disposable stuff like paying the kid next door to rake my leaves so he can go out and buy a video game (it would have to be a used game at Game Stop since none are so cheap)made in China and sold at the WAL-MART?

The other option is that I can do something more meaningful and buy something bigger.

Perhaps I can go and get a stereo, a computer or a TV at the RENT-A-CENTER, even if I have absolutely no credit, since they advertise that if I can pay $13 a week, I need no credit to get this stuff from them, and, best of ,after only 500 weeks of those payments,(overstated for hilarity purposes) I will own it outright!

I can use the entire savings provided me by the Congressional generosity to get stuff for me, thanks to Senator Harry Reid and Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi.

Also notable is that all this generosity could never have been possible without the help of those three “brave” Republican Senators who “crossed the isle” (that isle must be quite a dangerous place) and voted those $13 bucks for me (wait a minute, won’t that $13 bucks come out from me by adding to the deb that I and my kids are going to repay?) the “little guy” that they always fight for…for me, they are truly my champions!

I did just some basic thinking about what $800 billion represents to the typical working person in America….let’s calculate about 100 million working adults…if the government took that $800 billion, and divided it equally among all those working people, they could each get about $8,000. That’s without denying these funds to the rich..those let’s say making $50,000 a year.

If every adult in America got $8,000…..they would surely feel stimulated to buy something…maybe even something made in America. Surely this spending spree would be noticed in the economy…will the $13 bucks be noticed, or $8,000 bucks be noticed?

The bottom line is that billions and billions will go to businesses that will not in ANY WAY impact any of YOUR present endeavors or your lifestyle, but they will surely stimulate the BIG businesses that are failing like the American car industry rust buckets to stay on life support a little longer, without disconnecting them from the ventilator.

A lot of the money will go to prop-up mismanaged state governments that have deficits and can not finance them.

Ask yourself this question….if you are an employer or an employee….
“What will I, or my company get because the government is spending $800 billion, besides the $13 bucks reduction in my witholding each week?”

Now that you thought about it ……There is your answer…NOTHING, right?

So, maybe the next $800 billion will be better spent, maybe.

P.S. Oh, but wait, all that stuff is made in China or Vanuatu (where is that anyway?) or Croatia, not in the USA….so am I really contributing to the economic recover of the USA? Too late now to think about it, it was important that the plan got passed as soon as possible.

An Optimist…..

DEADBEAT COUNTRY (ALMOST)…..USA

Posted in Loans with tags , , , , , , , , on February 6, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

DEADBEAT COUNTRY (ALMOST)…..USA

What if you had a banker or another creditor who did not really like you, but you owed him $1.3 TRILLION dollars?

What if you however, want or desperately need more and more money to be borrowed from this person?

Under those circumstances, could you say and do anything you want and risk getting this person angry?

But, what if this person had run out of money to lend you any more money to support your apparently lavish lifestyle which obviously requires more and more borrowings from him?

WELL FOLKS THE LENDER IN THIS CASE IS CHINA AND JAPAN, AND THE NEEDY DEADBEAT IS THE GOOD OLE USA.

The USA needs money to support its “lifestyle”, but its biggest creditors are running out of money to buy TREASURY securities, since their economies are not generating the cash surpluses any more, which could then be used to buy more of the securities.
Is that simple to understand?

What if then, instead of buying more debt, the creditors simply say that they need the money back?

Think about that, what happens when you do not have the money to pay back YOUR creditor….your FICO score suffers, and you pay exorbitant interest rates!

Then another thing happens….as consumers and businesses of every type try to borrow money they will be competing for the available money with the government!
So far, it does not sound like a recovery is coming, does it?

Get A Loan from These Stupid Lenders

Posted in Loans with tags , , , , , , , , on February 6, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

Get A Loan from These Stupid Lenders

Don’t you just feel great is you walked into a bank to get a loan, and you discovered that there was no lending standards?

You just happened to come into the bank during a special lending period during which there were no requirements for collateral, nobody cared if your business was profitable, nor did you have to make any sense explaining how you were going to pay back the loan?

In reality the only thing you had to say was that “you needed the loan, now, today preferably, before you walked out of the bank. And if possible, could it be for a billion dollars, no, make that $25 billion!

Well folks ,that is the short explanation of what public education educated congressional watchdogs of our tax money are now doing. So, get in line, the patients are running the asylum !
Any lender, in fact anybody with any brains will tell you that a bank will consider lending money to a business with a history of successful operations, and a profit forecast that shows how the loan can be repaid.

Our politicians, most of whom have never had a real job or ever run a business, do not know this “secret” to successful lending.

They in fact are ONLY willing to lend money to borrowers with NO CREDIT, NO possibility of repayment of the loans, and only if they are in business models destined to never make money, such as the auto industry in America. They are only lending money to losers, instead of successful businesses that will continue to operate at a profit, and will actually continue to employ people.

They are not even remotely considering lending money to any successful business. They are only supporting losers. They say that they are doing this to save jobs.

This is what they would have said to the last horse buggy manufacturers, and the last street gas light manufacturers, and the last steam locomotive manufacturers, and the last horse plow manufacturers and the last horse rental business, and the last musket manufacturers. “We have to save these jobs!”.

Dummies….this is elementary…the auto industry will NEVER be saved by government supported artificially unrealistic wages and benefits of $75 an hour. Nobody can afford the cars that they build.

I just saw at a WAL-MART, a Chrysler Charger automobile with a sticker price of $45,000!
The last time I bought it, it was $3,900, and therefore it was affordable.

The auto industry needs no saving. There will be a need for autos, and they will always be built by some company. Do these autos have to be built by companies that are pricing their product out of reach of their buyers? Yes….so go figure, they want to save an industry from shutting down even though consumers do not want their product…go figure.

There will always be auto companies to meet consumer demand….at some price and on some terms that only a free market will dictate.

Just name one thing the government can do correctly ? Go ahead…Think about health care the government way…think the VA hospitals for instance; rats, mice mold and dicey healthcare provided by people that can hardly speak English.

Now, they only want to lend money to losing businesses…what a business model for guaranteed failure.

I will give you odds as a bookie on how much GM and Chrysler will re-pay of the loans…make that 100 to 1 that they will never repay the loans…..

DOW JONES AVERAGE down to 6,000 or 5,500???

Posted in Stock Market with tags , , , , on February 5, 2009 by sterlingcooperinc

2009…..DOW JONES AVERAGE down to 6,000 or 5,500 ?????

Investors all over the world follow the DOW index of 30 stocks…that’s right, I am amazed at how few people know that this index is composed of only such a small group of stocks.

These 30 stocks alone, have the daily eye of the world, investors all over the world watch this number….the “Dow was up 200 points, the Dow was down 400 points..”etc.

As I watched the forecasters who are attempting to predict where the market will be this year, their predictions are as varied as one can only speculate. Some are calling for it to go back to 10,000-11,000, other see it “steady…in a range of 7,800-8,000.”

Do these people live on the same planet ?

Do these forecasters do any research to back up their forecasts, or do they just talk not knowing at all what comprises the DOW-what makes it move up or down…???

I did my own non scientific analysis of the individual stock that comprise this daily index. As a result, I liked the fact that McDonald’s was on it since their dollar menu items and coffee choices are driving up their profits. I like spending $1 on a meal that presents a great value.

Then as I looked at the other stocks that comprise this index, I started feeling that there was a great black cloud over it, and I wondered how could anyone in his right mind consider that this group of stocks are going to go up in price/value this year.

For instance, there was General Motors-a long lived component of this index.

I can safely predict that it’s over for this stock, even though it does not have far to go to get to ZERO.

Other components included an industrial metals producer, a manufacturer of earth moving equipment, and engines for trucks, a retailer of building products for the home and for building contractors, a theme part operator, a computer manufacturer, a prestigious credit card issuer who is writing off unpaid balances from high FICO score clients who are not paying their bills.

There is also a mix of  others that also scared me, but not as much as this group listed above.

Now let’s start the analysis:

If people are out of work or have diminished incomes do they spend $2,000 a day at a theme park in a far away expensive resort, that sells a soda for $5 ? No.

If the home building is at a low point that nobody can even remember, is the home building products retailer going to sell lot’s of lumber and things related to building ? No.

Are contractors going to buy new earth moving equipment and new trucks with engines that have new mandates for pollution, and there is less business for them to haul ? No.

If  people with high previous credit scores can not pay their bills, will they pay their unsecured fancy credit card balances ? No.

Will we all go out and buy a lot of new personal computers ? NO.

Well that’s our analysis of where these stocks will go. Would you see a reason to buy any of these, if their 2009 future looks bleak ? No.

There are those that may well do ok, like WAL-MART which is a component of this index, but the others look like SELL candidates to me, rather than HOLD  candidates.

Do if these all decline, where will the DOW be this year ?

Remember, in 1987, the last great market decline…the Dow was at 1,000 !!!!!!! Does that feel that long ago ?

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